Dimitar Kuzmanov #38700 – 2Harold Mayot #255France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48

The read

Mayot's larger hard-court sample and higher-level wins give him the edge, though Kuzmanov's small-sample hard form is also strong.

• Mayot last 15 on hard: 5-1 record, 71.4% sets won, 59.4% games won
• Kuzmanov last 15 on hard: 3-1 record, 77.8% sets won, 58.1% games won (small 4-match sample)
• Mayot ranking 267 vs Kuzmanov 382; Mayot has stronger recent hard-court wins (Cretu 230, Heide 128)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent first sets have been tight, making over 9.5 games plausible.

• Kuzmanov last 15 first-set average games: 9.4 (from recent form)
• Mayot last 15 first-set average games: 9.3
• Both have played multiple 7-5 or 7-6 first sets recently

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mayot's slightly better first-serve effectiveness on hard courts supports a modest first-set edge.

• Mayot first-set win conversion career 89% vs Kuzmanov 86%
• Mayot hard-court first serve points won 72.8% in last 6 hard matches
• Kuzmanov first serve points won 69.7% in last 4 hard matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' double fault rates are low enough to favor under 5.5 total double faults.

• Kuzmanov last 15 double faults per match 2.4; Mayot 2.3
• Both players average under 3 double faults per match recently
• Hard-court double fault rates similar to overall

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined ace rates suggest a moderate chance of exceeding 7.5 total aces.

• Mayot last 15 aces per match 4.6; Kuzmanov 2.3
• Mayot hard-court aces per match 4.8 in last 6 hard matches
• Kuzmanov hard-court aces per match 3.5 in last 4 hard matches