SwitzerlandWTA MontreuxFinished

Predictions graded

Martina Trevisan #325Italy1Guiomar Zuleta De Reales #209Spain2

Sets 2-6 · 6-4 · 6-7Thu 10 Sept 2026, 15:20 Predictions gradedSecond RoundClay

Predictions1–713%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGuiomar Zuleta De Reales · 116 places

Martina Trevisan

Italy

Reached a career-high No. 18 in May 2023. A foot operation delayed her return to competition; she was back playing WTA 125 clay events in July 2026.

Current ranking: #325
Peak ranking: #18 · 2023
Current age: 32
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Left handed
Height: 160 cm

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

Spain

The supplied structured profile lists her at No. 209 and right-handed. No additional reliable player-profile facts were established.

Current ranking: #209
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 03:27 · Europe/Bucharest

Trevisan's superior recent form and return game give her a clear edge over Zuleta De Reales.

Back Trevisan on the moneyline at 2.10 for a 14.4-point value edge. Expect a straight-set win for Trevisan, with low aces and no tiebreak.

Context

Trevisan, 32, is a left-hander ranked 325 but has a career clay win percentage above 60%.
Her recent 11-4 clay run includes wins over players ranked inside the top 150, and she is winning 52.5% of return points. That return pressure could trouble Zuleta De Reales, who has been less effective on serve.
- Trevisan's last 15 matches are all on clay with an 11-4 record.
- She has won 52.5% of return points in that span.
- Her last five matches include three straight wins this week in Montreux.
Zuleta De Reales, 26, is ranked 210 and has a career clay win percentage around 60%.
Her recent clay form is mixed: she beat Marina Bassols Ribera 6-2 6-1 in the first round here, but lost 6-2 6-2 to Jenny Lim and 6-4 6-3 to Alicia Herrero Linana in August. That volatility makes her level hard to trust.
- Zuleta De Reales is 8-5 on clay in her last 13 matches.
- She lost 6-2 6-2 to Jenny Lim (ranked 356) on August 4.
- She lost 6-4 6-3 to Alicia Herrero Linana (ranked 301) on August 11.
Trevisan's first-serve percentage is 68.6%, but her second serve is a clear weakness.
If Zuleta De Reales can attack Trevisan's second serve, she may earn break chances. However, Trevisan's return game is strong enough to keep her in rallies and create pressure on the Spaniard's serve.
- Trevisan wins 42.8% of second-serve points in her last 15 matches.
- She averages 5.1 double faults per match.
- She wins 52.5% of return points, which is above average.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Trevisan's stronger recent form and superior return game on clay give her the edge in this Bo3 match.
- Last 15 overall record: Trevisan 11-4 (73.3%) vs Zuleta De Reales 9-6 (60%)
- Last 15 clay record: Trevisan 11-4 (73.3%) vs Zuleta De Reales 8-5 (61.5%)
- Trevisan last 5: 4-1, including three straight wins this week; Zuleta De Reales last 5: 3-2
- Trevisan return points won 52.5% vs Zuleta De Reales 46.6% in last 15
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMartina TrevisanEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive clay-court match with both players capable of holding serve suggests a moderately high game total.
- Trevisan average match duration 101.7 min; Zuleta De Reales 98.1 min in last 15
- Trevisan games won 58.4% vs Zuleta De Reales 56.4% in last 15
- Both players have similar break point conversion rates (Trevisan 53.2%, Zuleta De Reales 54.3%)
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be closely contested with several service holds and breaks.
- Trevisan first serve points won 59.2% vs Zuleta De Reales 64.1% in last 15
- Zuleta De Reales first serve in 63.7% vs Trevisan 68.6% in last 15
- Both players have break point save rates around 50-59%
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Trevisan's recent momentum and slightly better overall point-winning percentage support her taking the opening set.
- Trevisan first set win conversion career 86% vs Zuleta De Reales 88%
- Trevisan has won first set in 4 of last 5 matches; Zuleta De Reales in 3 of last 5
- Trevisan total points won 53.3% vs Zuleta De Reales 52.2% in last 15
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostMartina TrevisanEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low ace counts from both players make the under on total aces likely.
- Trevisan aces per match 0.5 in last 15; Zuleta De Reales 1.4 in last 15
- Combined average aces per match 1.9 in last 15
- Both players rely more on rallying than big serving on clay
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The low frequency of tiebreaks in recent matches suggests a tiebreak is unlikely.
- Trevisan tiebreak win percentage 53% career; Zuleta De Reales 56% career
- Only 2 of Trevisan's last 15 matches featured a tiebreak; 1 of Zuleta De Reales' last 15
- Both players have moderate first serve points won percentages (59-64%)
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Trevisan's high double fault rate and weak second serve could push total double faults over the line.
- Trevisan double faults per match 5.1 in last 15; Zuleta De Reales 3.7 in last 15
- Combined average double faults per match 8.8 in last 15
- Trevisan second serve points won only 42.8% in last 15
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

Previous match context available

Martina Trevisan

11W 4L

7-5 0-6 6-4#217Jennifer Ruggeri 6-0 6-1—Elsa Bonelli 6-1 6-0#384Julia Stusek

6-3 6-1#256Elena Ruxandra Bertea

3-6 6-3 6-2#189Nuria Brancaccio

6-1 7-5#239Francesca Curmi

6-4 6-1#324Francesca Pace

6-3 6-4#256Elena Ruxandra Bertea

2-6 6-1 6-1#104Francesca Jones

4-6 6-2 6-2#166Elizara Yaneva

6-1 7-6(1)#296Aurora Zantedeschi

6-0 6-3#149Tyra Caterina Grant

6-4 6-1#147Julia Riera

6-2 4-6 6-4#394Katerina Tsygourova

6-2 6-0#865Victoria Pohle

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

9W 6L

6-2 6-1#133Marina Bassols Ribera

7-5 6-3#146Tamara Zidansek

7-6(1) 6-4#674Jodie Anna Burrage

6-4 6-3#301Alicia Herrero Linana

6-2 6-2#356Jenny Lim

7-5 6-4#217Jennifer Ruggeri

7-5 6-0#170Elizabeth Mandlik

6-1 6-0#362Aran Teixido Garcia

6-2 6-4#262Anastasia Tikhonova

3-6 6-4 6-3#107Kaitlin Quevedo

6-4 6-4#168Kaja Juvan

6-4 6-1#397Julie Belgraver

6-4 6-3#39Donna Vekic

6-0 6-2#193Laura Pigossi

6-2 6-7(4) 6-1#169Storm Hunter

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MTMartina TrevisanTrevisan

Last 15

3–6

9 core stats · 0 even

Guiomar Zuleta De RealesRealesGR

Guiomar Zuleta De Reales carries the stronger recent form — Martina Trevisan's route runs through return.

Serve · 1–4

1st Serve In68.6%+4.9pp63.7%

1st Serve Won59.2%+4.9pp64.1%

2nd Serve Won42.8%+2.6pp45.4%

Aces / Match0.5+0.91.4

Double Faults / Match5.11.4 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won52.5%+5.9pp46.6%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted53.2%+1.1pp54.3%

Break Pts Saved50.4%+8.4pp58.8%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.3%+1.1pp52.2%

Serve · 1–4

68.6%1st Serve In+4.9pp63.7%

59.2%1st Serve Won+4.9pp64.1%

42.8%2nd Serve Won+2.6pp45.4%

0.5Aces / Match+0.91.4

5.1Double Faults / Match1.4 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

52.5%Return Pts Won+5.9pp46.6%

Pressure · 0–2

53.2%Break Pts Converted+1.1pp54.3%

50.4%Break Pts Saved+8.4pp58.8%

Points · 1–0

53.3%Total Pts Won+1.1pp52.2%