Phan Thiet - VietnamFinished

Predictions graded

Kenta Miyoshi #495Japan0Filip Peliwo #555Canada2

Sets 6-7 · 3-6Thu 10 Sept 2026, 02:40 Predictions gradedSecond RoundHard

Predictions3–538%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageKenta Miyoshi · 60 places

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

Reliable public profile details beyond the supplied ranking and playing style were limited in the requested search. No current injury or availability report surfaced for 17 July–16 August 2026.

Current ranking: #495
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Filip Peliwo

Canada

Peliwo reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 161 in May 2018. The ITF lists hard as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #555
Peak ranking: #161 · 2018
Current age: 32
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 03:09 · Europe/Bucharest

Kenta Miyoshi's superior recent form, hard-court consistency, and stronger serve make him a clear favorite over Filip Peliwo.

While the match winner odds offer no value, betting angles like Miyoshi -3.5 games, over 21.5 total games, and over 8.5 total aces present better opportunities. Expect Miyoshi to win, likely in straight sets.

Context

Miyoshi, 467th, is a right-hander who has played exclusively on hard courts in his last 15 matches, winning 11 of them.
His 73.3% win rate in that span is built on a 54.1% total points won and a 43.2% return points won, which is solid for this level. Peliwo's 40% win rate and 48.2% total points won suggest he has been less effective recently, though his first-serve percentage is slightly higher at 60.9% compared to Miyoshi's 54.6%.
- Miyoshi's last 15 matches: 11 wins, 4 losses, all on hard courts.
- Peliwo's last 15 matches: 6 wins, 9 losses, with 14 on hard courts and 1 on indoor hard.
- Miyoshi's total points won in last 15: 54.1%; Peliwo's: 48.2%.
Peliwo, 560th, has a career return points won of 41%, but his recent numbers are lower.
In his last 15 matches, Peliwo's return points won is 36.5%, and he has converted only 29.2% of break points. Miyoshi's first serve points won is 76.1%, so Peliwo may struggle to create chances. However, Miyoshi's first serve percentage is only 54.6%, which could give Peliwo some opportunities on second serves.
- Peliwo's return points won in last 15: 36.5% (370/1014).
- Peliwo's break points converted in last 15: 29.2% (28/96).
- Miyoshi's first serve points won in last 15: 76.1%.
Miyoshi's recent form includes wins over players ranked 171, 659, 686, 300, and 823.
His last five wins have come against opponents with an average ranking around 528, while his losses have been to players ranked 200, 286, 185, 343, and 433. Peliwo is ranked 560, which is closer to the level of Miyoshi's recent wins, so this pattern may not be decisive, but it shows Miyoshi has not been tested against top-200 players recently.
- Miyoshi's last five wins: opponents ranked 171, 659, 686, 300, 823.
- Miyoshi's last five losses: opponents ranked 200, 286, 185, 343, 433.
- Peliwo's current ranking: 560.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Kenta Miyoshi

1.08fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 92.6%

0.0ppshort

Miyoshi's superior recent form and hard-court consistency give him a clear edge over Peliwo.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.08
The read
Miyoshi's superior recent form and hard-court consistency give him a clear edge over Peliwo.
- Miyoshi last 15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%), Peliwo 6-9 (40%)
- Miyoshi last 15 hard-court record 11-4, Peliwo 6-8 on hard
- Miyoshi last 15 total points won 54.1% vs Peliwo 48.2%
- Miyoshi ranking 467 vs Peliwo 560
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKenta MiyoshiEstimated chance72%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive baseline games and three-set potential support a higher total games line.
- Miyoshi last 15 average games per match 22.5 (338 games / 15 matches)
- Peliwo last 15 average games per match 20.7 (310 games / 15 matches)
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent form
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's superior game-winning percentage and straight-set wins support a handicap cover.
- Miyoshi last 15 games won percentage 56.2% vs Peliwo 45.2%
- Miyoshi last 15 average games won per match 12.7 vs Peliwo 9.3
- Miyoshi has won 8 of last 15 matches in straight sets
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostKenta Miyoshi -3.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive first sets from both players suggest a higher total games line in set 1.
- Miyoshi last 15 average set 1 games 9.8
- Peliwo last 15 average set 1 games 9.3
- Both players have had close first sets in recent matches
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's stronger serve and return numbers in recent matches make him likely to start fast.
- Miyoshi first-set win conversion career 89%
- Miyoshi last 15 first serve points won 76.1% vs Peliwo 68.6%
- Miyoshi last 15 return points won 43.2% vs Peliwo 36.5%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostKenta MiyoshiEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's ability to win in straight sets and Peliwo's frequent straight-set losses make 2-0 plausible.
- Miyoshi last 15 straight-set wins: 8 of 11 wins
- Peliwo last 15 straight-set losses: 6 of 9 losses
- Miyoshi first serve points won 76.1% vs Peliwo 68.6%
BetBugs · Set BettinglostKenta Miyoshi 2-0Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Miyoshi's strong ace rate and Peliwo's moderate ace count push combined aces over the line.
- Miyoshi last 15 aces per match 5.9
- Peliwo last 15 aces per match 3.1
- Combined average aces per match 9.0
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Close sets and both players' tiebreak experience suggest at least one tiebreak is likely.
- Peliwo career tiebreak win percentage 56%
- Miyoshi career tiebreak win percentage 43%
- Both players have played tiebreaks in recent matches
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Peliwo's higher double fault rate and Miyoshi's moderate rate make over 4.5 likely.
- Miyoshi last 15 double faults per match 1.8
- Peliwo last 15 double faults per match 2.9
- Combined average double faults per match 4.7
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

Previous match context available

Kenta Miyoshi

11W 4L

4-6 6-4 7-5#200Moise Kouame

6-2 4-6 6-2#286Pierre-Hugues Herbert

6-2 6-4#185Clement Chidekh

6-2 7-5#171Joel Schwaerzler

4-6 7-5 6-1#659Roger Pascual Ferra

6-0 6-1#686Arklon Huertas Del Pino

6-7(3) 6-1 6-4#343Lucas Poullain

6-3 6-2#300Mert Alkaya

6-3 7-6(0)#823Arda Azkara

6-2 6-4#717Hunter Heck

7-6(1) 6-2#609Erik Arutiunian

4-6 6-4 6-4#433Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

6-2 6-4#407Vadym Ursu

3-6 6-3 6-4#281Dan Added

6-2 6-2#900Shunsuke Nakagawa

Filip Peliwo

6W 9L

6-1 4-6 7-6(6)#896Grigoriy Lomakin

6-2 6-3#408Omar Jasika

6-3 7-6(3)#898Sheng Tang

3-6 6-2 6-4#755Joshua Charlton

6-1 6-1#237Charles Broom

6-4 2-6 7-6(7)#621Nicolas Tepmahc

6-4 6-2#891Giulio Perego

6-3 6-4#1765Luc Fomba

6-1 6-1—Filip Kiryllo

6-1 3-6 6-3#350Ivan Marrero Curbelo

6-3 6-0#1391Ronald Hohmann

6-1 6-3#889Zsombor Velcz

6-4 6-2—Andreas Scott

4-6 6-1 6-3#890Chirag Duhan

6-2 6-4#711Khololwam Montsi

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

KMKenta MiyoshiMiyoshi

Last 15

7–2

9 core stats · 0 even

Filip PeliwoPeliwoFP

Kenta Miyoshi carries the stronger recent form — Filip Peliwo's route runs through serve.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In54.6%+6.3pp60.9%

1st Serve Won76.1%+7.5pp68.6%

2nd Serve Won54.6%+7.1pp47.5%

Aces / Match5.9+2.83.1

Double Faults / Match1.81.1 fewer2.9

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won43.2%+6.7pp36.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted45.3%+16.1pp29.2%

Break Pts Saved55.1%+2.9pp58.0%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won54.1%+5.9pp48.2%

Serve · 4–1

54.6%1st Serve In+6.3pp60.9%

76.1%1st Serve Won+7.5pp68.6%

54.6%2nd Serve Won+7.1pp47.5%

5.9Aces / Match+2.83.1

1.8Double Faults / Match1.1 fewer2.9

Return · 1–0

43.2%Return Pts Won+6.7pp36.5%

Pressure · 1–1

45.3%Break Pts Converted+16.1pp29.2%

55.1%Break Pts Saved+2.9pp58.0%

Points · 1–0

54.1%Total Pts Won+5.9pp48.2%