United StatesWTA US OpenFinished

Predictions graded

Yeon Woo Ku #176South Korea1Storm Hunter #174Australia2

Sets 6-4 · 6-7 · 0-6Wed 26 Aug 2026, 21:53 Predictions gradedQ2Hard

Predictions3–350%

Edges1–150%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageStorm Hunter · 2 places

Yeon Woo Ku

South Korea

Ku reached a career-best singles ranking of No. 171 in July 2026. No verified active injury, withdrawal, or current comeback context surfaced in the specified searches.

Current ranking: #176
Peak ranking: #171 · 2026
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Storm Hunter

Australia

The supplied player data lists Hunter at No. 174 in singles, left-handed, and 166 cm. She is also identified as a former world No. 1 doubles player.

Current ranking: #174
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 166 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 15:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Yeon Woo Ku's stronger recent hard-court form and return game give her a clear edge over Storm Hunter in this US Open qualifying match.

The best betting angle is Ku to win at 2.30, with a 14.5-point value edge. Avoid totals markets, but consider Under 5.5 aces as a secondary play.

Context

Ku last 15 on hard: 9-5 record, 54.5% games won, 48.9% return points won
- Hunter last 15 on hard: 2-3 record, 49.1% games won, 41.2% return points won
- Ku's recent hard-court wins include victories over players ranked 90, 119, and 122
- Hunter's hard-court losses include defeats to players ranked 12, 58, and 180
Ku return points won on hard: 48.9% (507/1037)
- Hunter return points won on hard: 41.2% (119/289)
- Ku break points converted on hard: 57.1% (72/126)
- Hunter break points saved on hard: 44.4% (16/36)
Hunter last 15 on hard: 2-3 record
- Hunter's hard-court matches tracked: 5 out of 15
- Hunter's hard-court games won percentage: 49.1%
- Hunter's recent hard-court losses include a 6-3 6-2 defeat to Belinda Bencic

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Ku's stronger recent hard-court form and superior return game give her the edge in this qualifying match.
- Yeon Woo Ku last 15 on hard: 9-5 record, 54.5% games won, 48.9% return points won
- Storm Hunter last 15 on hard: 2-3 record, 49.1% games won, 41.2% return points won
- Yeon Woo Ku overall last 15: 60% match win rate vs Hunter 40%
- Yeon Woo Ku 2026 hard-court season: 18-13; Hunter 11-6
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYeon Woo KuEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent hard-court matches average over 22 games, suggesting a competitive contest.
- Ku last 15 hard average duration: 108.4 minutes
- Hunter last 15 hard average duration: 103.8 minutes
- Ku last 15 hard games per match: 23.1
- Hunter last 15 hard games per match: 22.0
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be closely contested given the players' comparable serving numbers.
- Ku last 15 hard: 54.5% games won
- Hunter last 15 hard: 49.1% games won
- Both players have similar first-serve points won percentages (Ku 61.7%, Hunter 63.1%)
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Ku's higher set win rate on hard courts in the recent window supports her taking the opening set.
- Ku first-set win conversion career: 85%
- Hunter first-set win conversion career: 83%
- Ku last 15 hard: 61.8% sets won
- Hunter last 15 hard: 41.7% sets won
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonYeon Woo KuEstimated chance56%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Ku's higher set win rate suggests she may close out sets without needing tiebreaks.
- Ku tiebreak win percentage career: 46%
- Hunter tiebreak win percentage career: 47%
- Ku last 15 hard: 61.8% sets won
- Hunter last 15 hard: 41.7% sets won
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player is a big server, making a low total ace count likely.
- Ku last 15 hard: 1.0 aces per match
- Hunter last 15 hard: 1.5 aces per match
- Combined average aces per match: 2.5
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 3.5 double faults per match, pushing the combined total above 7.5.
- Ku last 15 hard: 3.8 double faults per match
- Hunter last 15 hard: 4.3 double faults per match
- Combined average double faults per match: 8.1
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

Previous match context available

Yeon Woo Ku

9W 6L

6-4 6-3#894Astra Sharma

6-1 4-6 6-3#167Mai Hontama

6-2 6-3#326Anna Sinclair Rogers

4-6 6-2 7-6(6)#887Emma Dong

7-6(3) 7-6(5)#245Caroline Dolehide

6-4 6-2#119Lucrezia Stefanini

6-4 2-6 6-2#122Mary Stoiana

3-6 6-3 6-4#90Darja Vidmanova

6-2 6-2#412Reina Goto

1-6 7-6(6) 6-4#370Miho Kuramochi

6-1 6-4#171Teodora Kostovic

6-4 6-3#90Darja Vidmanova

3-6 6-4 6-1#182Martyna Kubka

6-4 6-3#224Viktoria Hruncakova

6-4 7-5#119Lucrezia Stefanini

Storm Hunter

6W 9L

6-3 6-0#134Maddison Inglis

7-5 7-5#58Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

5-7 6-1 6-3#454Sofia Johnson

5-7 6-1 7-5#136Aliaksandra Sasnovich

7-5 6-4#155Sofia Costoulas

6-3 4-6 7-5#81Antonia Ruzic

5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4)#136Aliaksandra Sasnovich

6-2 7-5#82Xiyu Wang

6-3 6-1#539Tahlia Kokkinis

6-2 6-7(4) 6-1#209Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

6-4 6-1#160Polina Iatcenko

6-2 6-7(3) 6-1#62Ashlyn Krueger

6-2 5-7 6-3#225Lucie Havlickova

6-2 4-6 6-2#180Rebeka Masarova

6-3 6-2#12Belinda Bencic

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

YKYeon Woo KuKu

Last 15

6–3

9 core stats · 0 even

Storm HunterHunterSH

Yeon Woo Ku carries the stronger recent form — Storm Hunter's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In14/15 · 14/1566.8%+2.4pp64.4%

1st Serve Won14/15 · 14/1560.7%+2.2pp62.9%

2nd Serve Won14/15 · 14/1543.9%+2.9pp46.8%

Aces / Match14/15 · 14/151.1+0.61.7

Double Faults / Match14/15 · 14/153.90.9 fewer4.8

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won14/15 · 14/1548.0%+6.8pp41.2%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted14/15 · 14/1554.9%+12.2pp42.7%

Break Pts Saved14/15 · 14/1548.7%+7.8pp40.9%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won14/15 · 14/1551.4%+2.4pp49.0%

Serve · 2–3

66.8%1st Serve In14/15 · 14/15+2.4pp64.4%

60.7%1st Serve Won14/15 · 14/15+2.2pp62.9%

43.9%2nd Serve Won14/15 · 14/15+2.9pp46.8%

1.1Aces / Match14/15 · 14/15+0.61.7

3.9Double Faults / Match14/15 · 14/150.9 fewer4.8

Return · 1–0

48.0%Return Pts Won14/15 · 14/15+6.8pp41.2%

Pressure · 2–0

54.9%Break Pts Converted14/15 · 14/15+12.2pp42.7%

48.7%Break Pts Saved14/15 · 14/15+7.8pp40.9%

Points · 1–0

51.4%Total Pts Won14/15 · 14/15+2.4pp49.0%