GermanyAugsburg - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Svyatoslav Gulin #576Russia1Martin Krumich #255Czechia2

Sets 6-4 · 4-6 · 1-6Wed 26 Aug 2026, 10:40 Predictions gradedSecond RoundClay

Predictions3–350%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMartin Krumich · 321 places

Svyatoslav Gulin

Russia

Russian player born 4 December 2002. Reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 358 in June 2025; no reliable preferred-surface designation was found in the requested searches.

Current ranking: #576
Peak ranking: #358 · 2025
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Martin Krumich

Czechia

Krumich is a 23-year-old Czech right-hander. ITF records list clay as his preferred surface and No. 268 as his career-high ATP singles ranking, reached in June 2026.

Current ranking: #255
Peak ranking: #268 · 2026
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 188 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 03:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Gulin's stronger recent clay form, better serve metrics, and prior H2H win give him a clear edge over Krumich.

The betting market undervalues Gulin at 2.75 odds, offering a 25.6-point edge. Back Gulin to win, with a straight-sets victory a plausible outcome.

Context

Gulin beat Peter Fajta 7-6(4), 6-3 in qualifying on 23 August.
- He then beat Denis Yevseyev 6-3, 7-6(3) and Henri Haupt 6-3, 6-2 in the main draw.
- All three wins came on clay at this tournament, giving him current-event match practice.
H2H record: Gulin leads 1-0.
- The match was on clay, the same surface as this one.
- Gulin won in straight sets, showing he can handle Krumich's game.
Krumich last 15 double faults per match: 2.9.
- Gulin last 15 double faults per match: 1.5.
- Krumich's first-serve percentage is 53.9%, lower than Gulin's 60.1%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.75
The read
Gulin's stronger recent form, better clay-court numbers, and prior H2H win give him a clear edge over Krumich.
- Last 15 overall record: Gulin 66.7% (10-5) vs Krumich 53.3% (8-7)
- Last 15 clay games won: Gulin 57.3% vs Krumich 50.6%
- H2H: Gulin won their only meeting 6-4 6-3 on clay in March 2025
- Gulin has won 3 straight matches this week in Augsburg qualifying/main draw
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSvyatoslav GulinEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent match lengths and Krumich's tendency for longer matches support a total over 21.5 games.
- Gulin last 15 average games per match: 20.1 (302 games / 15 matches)
- Krumich last 15 average games per match: 22.3 (334 games / 15 matches)
- Krumich's last 15 matches have averaged 111.8 minutes, indicating longer matches
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players' recent first sets averaging near 10 games.
- Gulin's last 15 first sets average 9.7 games (based on recent scores)
- Krumich's last 15 first sets average 9.9 games
- Both players have similar first-set competitiveness
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gulin's superior first-set conversion rate and current momentum make him the likely first-set winner.
- Gulin first set win conversion career: 91% vs Krumich 87%
- Gulin last 15 first serve points won: 72.6% vs Krumich 71.2%
- Gulin has won the first set in 4 of his last 5 matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSvyatoslav GulinEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined ace rates of both players suggest a total over 7.5 aces is plausible.
- Gulin last 15 aces per match: 3.7
- Krumich last 15 aces per match: 4.7
- Combined average aces per match: 8.4
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

1-0 (1 meetings)

W6-4 6-3Svyatoslav Gulin#621vMartin Krumich#262Mar 28, 2025

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Svyatoslav Gulin

10W 5L

6-3 6-2—Henri Haupt

6-3 7-6(3)#440Denis Yevseyev 7-6(4) 6-3#735Peter Fajta

6-3 3-6 6-2#863Jakub Paul

6-4 1-6 6-4#201Lorenzo Giustino

6-3 6-2#588Amit Vales

6-1 6-2—Augustin Damonte

6-4 6-3#231Kilian Feldbausch

6-1 3-6 6-1#590Pierre Delage

7-5 6-1#148Pedro Martinez Portero

6-2 6-3#192David Jorda Sanchis

6-4 3-6 6-2#659Leo Raquillet

6-4 6-3#835Denys Klok

6-2 6-4—Dmytro Shirokyi

6-1 6-1—George Lazarov

Martin Krumich

8W 7L

6-2 6-3#268Dominic Stricker

2-6 6-4 6-4#433Javier Barranco Cosano

6-3 6-2#234Sumit Nagal

6-2 6-3#171Joel Schwaerzler

2-6 6-4 6-2#272Philip Henning

6-3 6-7(7) 6-2#177Max Alcala Gurri

6-4 6-2#147Stefano Travaglia

6-4 6-3#207Francesco Passaro

6-4 6-2#236Frederico Ferreira Silva

6-4 6-4#490Niels Mcdonald

7-5 4-6 6-3#393Samuele Pieri

6-3 3-6 6-3#257Felix Balshaw

6-4 6-2#339Marko Topo

6-4 4-6 6-4#510Miguel Tobon

7-5 6-0#278Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SGSvyatoslav GulinGulin

Last 15

8–1

9 core stats · 0 even

Martin KrumichKrumichMK

Svyatoslav Gulin carries the stronger recent form — Martin Krumich's route runs through serve.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In60.1%+6.2pp53.9%

1st Serve Won72.6%+1.4pp71.2%

2nd Serve Won55.0%+7.8pp47.2%

Aces / Match3.7+1.04.7

Double Faults / Match1.51.4 fewer2.9

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won44.0%+1.4pp42.6%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted39.8%+5.2pp34.6%

Break Pts Saved55.7%+8.8pp46.9%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won54.1%+3.2pp50.9%

Serve · 4–1

60.1%1st Serve In+6.2pp53.9%

72.6%1st Serve Won+1.4pp71.2%

55.0%2nd Serve Won+7.8pp47.2%

3.7Aces / Match+1.04.7

1.5Double Faults / Match1.4 fewer2.9

Return · 1–0

44.0%Return Pts Won+1.4pp42.6%

Pressure · 2–0

39.8%Break Pts Converted+5.2pp34.6%

55.7%Break Pts Saved+8.8pp46.9%

Points · 1–0

54.1%Total Pts Won+3.2pp50.9%