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Predictions graded

Alice Tubello #209France1Priscilla Hon #155Australia2

Sets 4-6 · 6-4 · 2-6Tue 25 Aug 2026, 19:02 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions2–433%

Edges0–20%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantagePriscilla Hon · 54 places

Alice Tubello

France

Current ranking No. 209 is supplied in the structured match data. No reliable current public profile detail was established for the remaining display fields.

Current ranking: #209
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Priscilla Hon

Australia

Current ranking No. 155 and right-handed playing style are supplied in the structured match data. No reliable current public profile detail was established for the remaining display fields.

Current ranking: #155
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Aug 2026, 16:08 · Europe/Bucharest

Tubello's superior recent form and return game make her the value pick over Hon, who has lost 12 of her last 15 matches.

Back Tubello to win the match and first set, and consider the under on total aces. Avoid Hon at short odds and be cautious with the 2-0 set betting due to limited hard-court data.

Context

Tubello last 15 overall record: 7-8 (46.7%) vs Hon 3-12 (20%).
- Tubello last 15 return points won: 44.9% vs Hon 35.5%.
- Hon has lost 10 of her last 12 matches on hard courts.
- Tubello has won 5 of her last 7 matches, including two on hard courts.
Hon last 15 hard-court record: 3-7 (30%), with 30% of sets won.
- Tubello last 15 hard-court record: 1-1 (50%), with 75% of sets won, but only 2 matches tracked.
- Hon's career hard-court win percentage is 52.7%, higher than Tubello's 48.4%, but her current level is much lower.
Tubello career first-set win conversion: 88%.
- Hon last 15 sets won: 25% (8/32).
- Tubello last 15 hard-court sets won: 75% (3/4), but small sample.
- Hon last 15 hard-court sets won: 30% (6/20).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Tubello's superior recent form and return game, especially on hard courts, give her a clear edge over Hon, who has struggled badly in her last 15 matches.
- Last 15 overall record: Tubello 7-8 (46.7%) vs Hon 3-12 (20%)
- Last 15 hard-court record: Tubello 1-1 (50%) vs Hon 3-7 (30%)
- Last 15 return points won: Tubello 44.9% vs Hon 35.5%
- Career hard-court win percentage: Tubello 45/93 (48.4%) vs Hon 227/431 (52.7%)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAlice TubelloEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches average around 20 games, and a competitive first set could push the total over 20.5.
- Tubello last 15 average games per match: 21.5
- Hon last 15 average games per match: 20.1
- Tubello last 15 hard-court average games per match: 19.5
- Hon last 15 hard-court average games per match: 18.7
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent first sets average close to 10 games, suggesting a competitive opener.
- Tubello last 15 first-set average games: 9.9
- Hon last 15 first-set average games: 9.3
- Tubello last 15 hard-court first-set average games: 9.5
- Hon last 15 hard-court first-set average games: 9.2
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Tubello's strong first-set conversion rate and Hon's poor recent set-winning percentage make Tubello the likely first-set winner.
- Tubello first-set win conversion career: 88%
- Hon last 15 sets won: 25% (8/32)
- Tubello last 15 hard-court sets won: 75% (3/4)
- Hon last 15 hard-court sets won: 30% (6/20)
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostAlice TubelloEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average under 3 aces per match, making a combined total under 5.5 likely.
- Tubello last 15 aces per match: 1.4
- Hon last 15 aces per match: 2.5
- Tubello last 15 hard-court aces per match: 2.5
- Hon last 15 hard-court aces per match: 2.1
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined double fault averages exceed 4.5, and pressure situations could increase errors.
- Tubello last 15 double faults per match: 2.9
- Hon last 15 double faults per match: 2.2
- Tubello last 15 hard-court double faults per match: 2.0
- Hon last 15 hard-court double faults per match: 2.1
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Hon's recent form and return stats do not support a -0.5 handicap at this price.

Prediction history

Alice Tubello has been moderately reliable when projected to win

In her last 6 matches where she was the predicted winner, Alice Tubello fulfilled 4 predictions, a 67% success rate. Her average estimated probability was 66.3%, with an expected 4 fulfilled predictions, so she performed exactly as expected. The two missed predictions both resulted in straight-set losses, and her current probability of 62% sits within her historical range of 58-72%.

Recent evidence for Alice Tubello6 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

8 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#229Alice Tubello2-0#242Caroline Werner

BetBugsAlice Tubello to win·62%

Matched

8 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#229Alice Tubello2-0#242Caroline Werner

Alice Tubello to win

62%probability

Alice Tubello won

Matched

7 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#229Alice Tubello2-1#311Yufei Ren

BetBugsAlice Tubello to win·72%

Matched

7 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#229Alice Tubello2-1#311Yufei Ren

Alice Tubello to win

72%probability

Alice Tubello won

Matched

9 Jun·WTA Modena

#113Dominika Salkova2-1#226Alice Tubello

BetBugsAlice Tubello to win·58%

Missed

9 Jun 2026

WTA Modena

#113Dominika Salkova2-1#226Alice Tubello

Alice Tubello to win

58%probability

Dominika Salkova won

Missed

2 Jun·WTA Foggia

#226Alice Tubello0-2#196Carole Monnet

BetBugsAlice Tubello to win·62%

Missed

2 Jun 2026

WTA Foggia

#226Alice Tubello0-2#196Carole Monnet

Alice Tubello to win

62%probability

Carole Monnet won

Missed

6 May·WTA Istanbul

#256Alice Tubello2-0#224Elizara Yaneva

BetBugsAlice Tubello to win·72%

Matched

6 May 2026

WTA Istanbul

#256Alice Tubello2-0#224Elizara Yaneva

Alice Tubello to win

72%probability

Alice Tubello won

Matched

Alice Tubello

7W 8L

4-6 5-3 ret.#505Emily Appleton

7-6(3) 6-2#508Angella Okutoyi

3-6 6-3 6-4#117Leolia Jeanjean

6-3 6-3#287Caroline Werner

2-6 7-5 6-4#332Yufei Ren

3-6 7-6(5) 6-2#195Anastasiia Sobolieva

6-3 7-5#135Lisa Pigato

7-6(7) 6-2#311Tessa Johanna Brockmann

7-6(3) 7-6(8)#216Julie Struplova

6-1 6-3#493Andreea Prisacariu

6-2 6-0#187Elena Pridankina

6-1 3-6 6-4#123Dominika Salkova

6-3 6-2#196Carole Monnet

6-3 6-2#34Donna Vekic

6-3 6-4#113Alina Charaeva

Priscilla Hon

3W 12L

6-2 6-0#265Ayana Akli

7-6(3) 6-4#101Taylah Preston

6-3 6-4#760Ellie Schoppe

6-3 6-1#64Tereza Valentova

7-5 6-3#140Carol Young Suh Lee

6-3 ret.#534Karman Kaur Thandi

6-2 6-2#225Nao Hibino

4-6 6-4 6-3#97Polina Kudermetova

6-0 6-2#20Alexandra Eala

7-5 6-2#269Jessika Ponchet

6-7(5) 6-4 7-5#168Susan Bandecchi

6-1 6-4#105Mananchaya Sawangkaew

6-4 7-6(6)#343Sakura Hosogi

6-2 6-2#291Yuki Naito

6-1 6-7(2) 6-3#89Katie Volynets

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ATAlice TubelloTubello

Last 15

4–5

9 core stats · 0 even

Priscilla HonHonPH

Priscilla Hon carries the stronger recent form — Alice Tubello's route runs through return.

Serve · 1–4

1st Serve In68.4%+8.3pp60.1%

1st Serve Won57.5%+4.4pp61.9%

2nd Serve Won45.8%+1.2pp47.0%

Aces / Match1.4+1.12.5

Double Faults / Match2.90.7 fewer2.2

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won44.9%+9.4pp35.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted44.9%+8.0pp36.9%

Break Pts Saved51.4%+2.9pp54.3%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won49.4%+3.5pp45.9%

Serve · 1–4

68.4%1st Serve In+8.3pp60.1%

57.5%1st Serve Won+4.4pp61.9%

45.8%2nd Serve Won+1.2pp47.0%

1.4Aces / Match+1.12.5

2.9Double Faults / Match0.7 fewer2.2

Return · 1–0

44.9%Return Pts Won+9.4pp35.5%

Pressure · 1–1

44.9%Break Pts Converted+8.0pp36.9%

51.4%Break Pts Saved+2.9pp54.3%

Points · 1–0

49.4%Total Pts Won+3.5pp45.9%

Alice Tubello

Priscilla Hon

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Alice Tubello

Alice Tubello

Result0 of 1 landed

Games2 of 2 landed

Sets0 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Priscilla Hon (-0.5) @ 1.62

Alice Tubello

Priscilla Hon

Stat Battle