Mili Poljicak #264Croatia00 – 2Max Schoenhaus #312Germany2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Poljicak's superior first-serve effectiveness and slightly better quality-of-opposition trend on clay give him a moderate edge in a close matchup.

• Poljicak last 15 on clay: 8-7 record, 50.5% games won, 76% first-serve points won
• Schoenhaus last 14 on clay: 8-6 record, 52.1% games won, 67.5% first-serve points won
• Poljicak ranking 264 vs Schoenhaus 318; Poljicak has stronger recent top-250 wins (Varillas, Muller, Basilashvili)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Poljicak's matches trend longer on clay and both players' near-even games-won rates point to a competitive match likely exceeding 21.5 games.

• Poljicak last 15 clay matches average 25.1 total games per match
• Schoenhaus last 14 clay matches average 20.3 total games per match
• Both players have similar games-won percentages (50.5% vs 52.1%), suggesting competitive sets

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Poljicak's higher career first-set conversion and recent clay first-set consistency support a slight edge in the opening set.

• Poljicak first-set win conversion career 84%, Schoenhaus 77%
• Poljicak has won first set in 6 of last 8 clay matches; Schoenhaus in 5 of last 8 clay matches