SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandRET

Predictions graded

Lorenzo Giustino #198Italy1Benjamin Hassan #5141

Sets 6-3 · 2-3Fri 21 Aug 2026, 15:20 Predictions gradedSemi-FinalClay

Predictions2–433%

Edges1–325%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLorenzo Giustino · 316 places

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

Provided structured data lists Giustino at No. 198, right-handed with a two-handed backhand. No additional reliable current profile fact was established.

Current ranking: #198
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #514
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Giustino is the moderate favorite due to better serve efficiency and ranking, but Hassan's recent match activity and second-serve strength could keep it close.

The best betting value is on Over 22.5 total games and Over 9.5 games in the first set, as both players average high game counts and play competitive clay-court tennis.

Context

Hassan's last four matches in Sion are wins: 4-0 ret., 7-5 6-2, 7-6(4) 6-3, 3-6 6-1 6-4, 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(2).
- Three of those wins went to three sets, showing he can handle long matches.
- Giustino's last match was on 20 August, so both players have recent activity, but Hassan has more matches this week.
Giustino last15 first-serve points won: 74.5% (488/655).
- Hassan last15 first-serve points won: 68.6% (398/580).
- Giustino's first-serve percentage is 56.8% vs Hassan's 51.0%, so he gets more first serves in play.
Hassan last15 second-serve points won: 53.7% (299/557).
- Giustino last15 second-serve points won: 46.3% (231/499).
- This gap could help Hassan hold serve in pressure situations.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Lorenzo Giustino

1.60fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Giustino's stronger recent form and serve efficiency on clay give him a moderate edge over Hassan.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Giustino's stronger recent form and serve efficiency on clay give him a moderate edge over Hassan.
- Giustino last15 overall record 10-5 (66.7%) vs Hassan 8-7 (53.3%)
- Giustino last15 clay record 10-5 (66.7%) vs Hassan 8-6 (57.1%)
- Giustino ranking 195 vs Hassan 514
- Giustino last15 first serve points won 74.5% vs Hassan 68.6%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLorenzo GiustinoEstimated chance58%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches average over 23 games, and their competitive clay-court styles support a longer match.
- Giustino last15 average 24.9 games per match (373 games / 15 matches)
- Hassan last15 average 23.8 games per match (357 games / 15 matches)
- Both players have played multiple three-set matches recently
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 22.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both players average close to 10 games per set, making a competitive first set likely.
- Giustino last15 average 9.9 games per set (373 games / 38 sets)
- Hassan last15 average 9.6 games per set (357 games / 37 sets)
- Both players have strong first serve points won percentages
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Giustino's superior serve performance in recent matches suggests he is slightly more likely to take the opening set.
- Giustino last15 first set win rate not directly available, but overall record 66.7%
- Giustino first serve points won 74.5% in last15
- Hassan first serve points won 68.6% in last15
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLorenzo GiustinoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players have a high frequency of three-set matches in recent form, indicating a closely contested match.
- Giustino last15: 8 of 15 matches went to three sets
- Hassan last15: 7 of 15 matches went to three sets
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 50%
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have a high frequency of tiebreaks in recent matches, and their competitive styles increase the likelihood of at least one tiebreak.
- Giustino last15: 5 of 15 matches featured a tiebreak
- Hassan last15: 6 of 15 matches featured a tiebreak
- Both players have tiebreak win percentages around 50%
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages of both players slightly exceed the 8.5 line, though variance is high.
- Giustino last15 aces per match 4.7
- Hassan last15 aces per match 3.9
- Combined average 8.6 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault averages are right at the line, making this a coin-flip proposition.
- Giustino last15 double faults per match 3.6
- Hassan last15 double faults per match 3.9
- Combined average 7.5 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-1 6-3Lorenzo Giustino#195vBenjamin Hassan#514May 31, 2019

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Lorenzo Giustino

10W 5L

6-3 5-7 6-1#387Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-4 3-6 7-6(3)#436Henry Bernet

6-4 6-3#694Thiago Cigarran

6-3 7-6(4)#179Jerome Kym

4-6 7-5 7-6(4)#251Matej Dodig

3-6 7-6(3) 6-4#191Vitaliy Sachko

3-6 6-3 6-2#415Olle Wallin

6-4 6-2#174Federico Cina

6-2 6-4—Nico Hipfl

2-6 6-2 6-1#237Franco Roncadelli

6-7(4) 6-4 6-1#293Florian Broska

7-6(3) 6-3#302Miguel Damas

7-5 6-4#472Jack Loge

6-3 6-4#637Emilien Demanet

6-3 4-6 6-2#665Leo Raquillet

Benjamin Hassan

8W 7L

7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(2)#365Geoffrey Blancaneaux 3-6 6-1 6-4#280Sandro Kopp

7-6(4) 6-3#617Oleksandr Ovcharenko

6-3 2-6 7-5#665Leo Raquillet 4-0 ret.—Flynn Thomas

6-3 6-4#512Radu Albot

1-6 6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 3-6 7-6(3)#302Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-2#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 6-2#524Alex Marti Pujolras

6-2 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-3 5-7 7-5#330Daniel Michalski

6-4 6-2#284Filip Cristian Jianu

7-5 5-3 ret.#141Hugo Dellien

6-4 2-6 6-3#193Lautaro Midon

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

LGLorenzo GiustinoGiustino

Last 15

4–3

9 core stats · 2 even

Benjamin HassanHassanBH

Lorenzo Giustino carries the stronger recent form — Benjamin Hassan's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In56.8%+5.8pp51.0%

1st Serve Won74.5%+5.9pp68.6%

2nd Serve Won46.3%+7.4pp53.7%

Aces / Match4.7+0.83.9

Double Faults / Match3.60.3 fewer3.9

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won37.0%—36.3%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted47.4%+0.8pp48.2%

Break Pts Saved52.9%+6.7pp59.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won49.9%—49.2%

Serve · 4–1

56.8%1st Serve In+5.8pp51.0%

74.5%1st Serve Won+5.9pp68.6%

46.3%2nd Serve Won+7.4pp53.7%

4.7Aces / Match+0.83.9

3.6Double Faults / Match0.3 fewer3.9

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

37.0%Return Pts Won—36.3%

Pressure · 0–2

47.4%Break Pts Converted+0.8pp48.2%

52.9%Break Pts Saved+6.7pp59.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

49.9%Total Pts Won—49.2%