SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Benjamin Hassan #5142Geoffrey Blancaneaux #365France1

Sets 7-6 · 4-6 · 7-6Thu 20 Aug 2026, 12:00 Predictions gradedQuarter-FinalClay

Predictions3–350%

Edges0–20%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGeoffrey Blancaneaux · 149 places

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #514
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

France

French right-hander whose ATP singles career high is No. 134, reached in November 2022. ITF lists clay as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #365
Peak ranking: #134 · 2022
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Aug 2026, 22:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Blancaneaux's superior clay form and return game make him the favorite, with a 62% win probability and value on the moneyline and first-set winner.

Total games over 21.5 is a solid angle, while the 2-1 set betting line should be avoided due to Blancaneaux's straight-set trend.

Context

Blancaneaux last-15 clay record: 12-2 (85.7%), Hassan: 8-6 (57.1%).
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay return points won: 45.0%, Hassan: 38.3%.
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay games won: 62.5%, Hassan: 50.8%.
H2H: Blancaneaux won 6-3 6-2 on hard court in 2023.
- The match was played on hard court, not clay, so surface relevance is limited.
Hassan's last three Sion matches: 3-6 6-1 6-4, 7-6(4) 6-3, 6-3 2-6 7-5.
- Blancaneaux's last two Sion matches: 6-3 6-4 and 6-1 3-6 7-5.
- Hassan's average match duration on clay is 102.1 minutes, Blancaneaux's is 118.8 minutes.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Blancaneaux's superior recent clay form and return game give him a clear edge over Hassan in this quarter-final.
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay record 12-2 (85.7%), Hassan 8-6 (57.1%)
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay return points won 45.0% vs Hassan 38.3%
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay games won 62.5% vs Hassan 50.8%
- H2H: Blancaneaux won 6-3 6-2 on hard in 2023
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGeoffrey BlancaneauxEstimated chance62%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive clay rallies and solid break-point saving suggest a match that extends beyond 21.5 games.
- Hassan last-15 clay average 22.9 games per match
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay average 20.0 games per match
- Both players have high break-point save rates (Hassan 59.6%, Blancaneaux 64.4%)
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be closely contested, with both players holding serve at a high rate.
- Hassan last-15 clay first-set average 9.6 games
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay first-set average 9.1 games
- Both players have first-set win rates above 50% on clay
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Blancaneaux's stronger serve and return metrics in recent clay matches make him the likely first-set winner.
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay first-serve points won 71.6% vs Hassan 69.1%
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay break-point conversion 49.5% vs Hassan 47.7%
- Blancaneaux has won 9 of last 10 matches, Hassan 4 of last 5
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostGeoffrey BlancaneauxEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's higher ace rate and Blancaneaux's moderate ace output make over 6.5 total aces plausible.
- Hassan last-15 clay aces per match 4.2
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay aces per match 2.8
- Combined average 7.0 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 3 double faults per match on clay, making over 6.5 total double faults a near coin-flip.
- Hassan last-15 clay double faults per match 3.6
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay double faults per match 3.1
- Combined average 6.7 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-3 6-2Benjamin Hassan#514vGeoffrey Blancaneaux#365Nov 11, 2023

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Benjamin Hassan

8W 7L

3-6 6-1 6-4#280Sandro Kopp

7-6(4) 6-3#617Oleksandr Ovcharenko

6-3 2-6 7-5#665Leo Raquillet 4-0 ret.—Flynn Thomas

6-3 6-4#512Radu Albot

1-6 6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 3-6 7-6(3)#302Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-2#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 6-2#524Alex Marti Pujolras

6-2 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-3 5-7 7-5#330Daniel Michalski

6-4 6-2#284Filip Cristian Jianu

7-5 5-3 ret.#141Hugo Dellien

6-4 2-6 6-3#193Lautaro Midon

6-4 6-3#122Nicolas Mejia

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

12W 3L

6-3 6-4#891Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg 6-1 3-6 7-5#339Juan Estevez

6-4 6-4#348Michael Geerts

6-4 7-5—Noah Schlagenhauf

6-0 6-1—Sep De Visser

6-2 6-4#104Damir Dzumhur

6-1 6-2—Filip Krolo

2-6 6-4 6-2#472Jack Loge

5-7 6-2 6-4#711Vincent Marysko

7-6(5) 6-3—David Fix

6-0 6-3—Alessio Basile

6-1 6-2#570Yanis Ghazouani Durand

4-6 6-2 6-3—Mathys Domenc

6-2 6-0—Matisse Martin

7-6(4) 1-0 ret.#839Federico Coria

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BHBenjamin HassanHassan

Last 15

2–7

9 core stats · 0 even

Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneauxGB

Geoffrey Blancaneaux carries the stronger recent form — Benjamin Hassan's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In51.2%+11.2pp62.4%

1st Serve Won68.8%+2.2pp71.0%

2nd Serve Won52.6%+1.6pp51.0%

Aces / Match4.2+1.62.6

Double Faults / Match3.80.8 fewer3.0

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won37.7%+6.5pp44.2%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted47.2%+1.9pp49.1%

Break Pts Saved60.7%+0.8pp61.5%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won49.5%+4.4pp53.9%

Serve · 2–3

51.2%1st Serve In+11.2pp62.4%

68.8%1st Serve Won+2.2pp71.0%

52.6%2nd Serve Won+1.6pp51.0%

4.2Aces / Match+1.62.6

3.8Double Faults / Match0.8 fewer3.0

Return · 0–1

37.7%Return Pts Won+6.5pp44.2%

Pressure · 0–2

47.2%Break Pts Converted+1.9pp49.1%

60.7%Break Pts Saved+0.8pp61.5%

Points · 0–1

49.5%Total Pts Won+4.4pp53.9%