Radu Albot #512Moldova22 – 0Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #429France0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.60

The read

Bittoun Kouzmine's superior recent hard-court form and stronger serve/return structural metrics give him the edge over Albot.

• Bittoun Kouzmine has won 11 of his last 15 matches (73.3%) on hard courts, while Albot has won 3 of his last 5 hard-court matches (60%) but only 8 of 15 overall (53.3%).
• Bittoun Kouzmine's last-15 hard-court break point save rate is 67.2% vs Albot's 55.0% on hard, and his first-serve points won is 68.1% vs Albot's 63.3%.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's 2026 hard-court record is 31-20 (60.8%), while Albot is 5-4 (55.6%) on hard in 2026.
• Bittoun Kouzmine has a higher total points won percentage on hard (51.7%) than Albot (49.9%) in the last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players' recent hard-court matches have been competitive with multiple three-setters, supporting a higher total games count.

• Albot's last 5 hard-court matches averaged 23.4 games per match, with three of those matches going to three sets.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's last 15 hard-court matches averaged 24.1 games per match, with 8 of 15 matches going to three sets.
• Both players have similar return points won percentages (Albot 39.7%, Bittoun Kouzmine 41.5% on hard), suggesting competitive rallies and potential breaks.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bittoun Kouzmine's better recent hard-court performance and stronger serve metrics support a handicap cover of -2.5 games.

• Bittoun Kouzmine has a higher games won percentage on hard (54.8%) than Albot (48.0%) in their recent matches.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's average margin of victory in his last 15 hard-court wins is 3.2 games, while Albot's is 2.8 games in his last 5 hard-court wins.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's superior break point save rate (67.2% vs 55.0%) suggests he can hold serve more effectively and cover the handicap.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bittoun Kouzmine's higher set win percentage and strong first-set conversion rate suggest he is more likely to take the opening set.

• Bittoun Kouzmine has won 25 of 38 sets (65.8%) in his last 15 hard-court matches, while Albot has won 7 of 13 sets (53.8%) in his last 5 hard-court matches.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's first-set win conversion rate is 87% career, while Albot's is 84% career.
• Bittoun Kouzmine's recent hard-court matches show strong starts, winning the first set in 9 of his last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of three-set matches in both players' recent hard-court histories supports the likelihood of a deciding set.

• Bittoun Kouzmine has played 8 three-set matches in his last 15 hard-court matches (53.3%).
• Albot has played 3 three-set matches in his last 5 hard-court matches (60%).
• Both players have similar return points won percentages, suggesting breaks are likely and sets may be extended.