Under 3.5
Market 34.5% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams' recent home/away goal totals point to a low-scoring game, with Getafe's away attack especially blunt.
Copa del ReyFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Getafe's season away from home reads no win in seven, two goals scored and no first-half goal, yet they arrive as the top-flight side.
A low-scoring night with the lower-division hosts hard to beat is the likelier shape. Four quoted prices are worth a look: Under 3.5 goals at 2.9, UB Lebrijana to score at 3.1, Under 1.5 first-half goals at 2.38 and UB Lebrijana to win or draw at 15. Both teams to score – No at 1.30 asks too much.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 34.5% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams' recent home/away goal totals point to a low-scoring game, with Getafe's away attack especially blunt.
UB Lebrijana over 0.5Market 32.3% · BetBugs 70%
UB Lebrijana have scored regularly at home and face a Getafe side that concedes over two goals per away game.
Market 42% · BetBugs 65%
First halves involving these sides have been low-scoring, with Getafe yet to score before half-time away from home.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The 1.07 price requires 93.5%, above our 85.0% estimate.
