La LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Getafe1Racing Santander0

HT 0–0Sun 23 Aug 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 12–6On targetOn target 1–3CornersCorners 8–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 05:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Getafe's Conference League congestion and incomplete squad make them vulnerable, but Racing's proactive style could open the game.

The model sees a low-scoring, tight match, yet all listed betting markets show negative value—avoid the short odds on Under 2.5, BTTS No, and double chance. Watch for team news and early intensity before considering any live wagers.

Context

Getafe are scheduled to play their Conference League first leg before hosting Racing on 23 August.
- The return leg on 27 August could involve a 5,200 km trip to Kostanay.
- Manager José Bordalás has admitted the squad is incomplete after losing key midfielders Luis Milla and Mauro Arambarri.
José Alberto said Racing will not abandon its principles or play to protect itself.
- Racing's opener was a 2-2 draw with Villarreal, showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerability.
- Racing averaged 2.1 goals per game in their last 15 matches.
Getafe's home record last season: 6 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses.
- Getafe averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded across their last 15 matches.
- Getafe's last 5 home matches produced only 4 goals scored.
The most recent five La Liga meetings were 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-1 and 0-0.
- No league meeting has occurred since 2012.
- Both teams have changed significantly since then.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

2.90fair 3.13

BetBugs 32% · Market 34.5%

0.0ppshort

Getafe's low-scoring home form and Racing's balanced away record suggest a closely contested match, with the draw a strong possibility given Getafe's lack of firepower and Racing's defensive lapses.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Lean

Getafe or Draw

1.20fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Getafe's home advantage and Racing's poor away record make a Getafe win or draw the most likely outcome, supported by Getafe's solid home defensive record.

1 St Half ResultwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

1.91fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 52.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have a tendency to be cautious early, leading to a high probability of a level score at the break.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.40fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

Getafe's defensive home style and Racing's lower away scoring support a low-scoring match.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

No

1.53fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Getafe's weak attack and Racing's road defensive improvements make it likely at least one team fails to score.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5

1.20fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Both teams start slowly, especially Getafe at home, making a low-scoring first half probable.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Getafe's low-scoring home form and Racing's balanced away record suggest a closely contested match, with the draw being a strong possibility given Getafe's lack of firepower and Racing's defensive lapses.
- Getafe averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded across their last 15 matches, with only 3 wins in that span.
- Racing Santander drew 2-2 with Villarreal in their opening La Liga match, showing attacking intent but defensive vulnerability.
- Getafe's last 5 home matches in all competitions: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Getafe's home advantage and Racing's poor away record make a Getafe win or draw the most likely outcome, supported by Getafe's solid home defensive record.
- Getafe have lost only 2 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Racing Santander have not won an away league match in their last 5 attempts (3 draws, 2 losses).
- Getafe's home form in La Liga last season: 6 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonGetafe or DrawEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to be cautious early, leading to a high probability of a level score at the break.
- Getafe were level at half-time in 8 of their last 15 matches.
- Racing Santander were level at half-time in 5 of their last 15 matches.
- Getafe's home matches last season were level at half-time in 50% of games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A low-scoring draw is a plausible outcome given both teams' defensive tendencies and lack of clinical finishing.
- Getafe drew 5 of their last 15 matches, with 3 of those draws being 0-0 at half-time.
- Racing Santander drew 4 of their last 15 matches, with 2 of those draws being level at half-time.
- The last meeting between these teams in 2012 ended 1-1.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Getafe's defensive style and low-scoring home matches, combined with Racing's tendency to be less prolific away from home, point towards a low-scoring affair.
- Getafe's last 15 matches averaged 1.8 total goals per game (0.7 scored, 1.1 conceded).
- Racing Santander's last 15 matches averaged 3.8 total goals per game, but their away matches averaged 3.2 total goals.
- Getafe's home matches last season averaged 2.1 total goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Getafe's poor scoring record and Racing's defensive improvements on the road make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Getafe failed to score in 6 of their last 15 matches.
- Racing Santander kept a clean sheet in only 2 of their last 15 matches, but Getafe's attack is weak.
- Getafe's home matches last season saw both teams score in only 40% of games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, especially Getafe at home, making a low-scoring first half highly probable.
- Getafe averaged 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded in their last 15 matches.
- Racing Santander averaged 1.1 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded, but their away first-half scoring drops to 0.6.
- Getafe's home matches last season averaged 0.8 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
As the game opens up, both teams are more likely to score in the second half, especially with Racing's attacking approach.
- Getafe's last 15 matches averaged 1.1 second-half goals (0.4 scored, 0.7 conceded).
- Racing Santander's last 15 matches averaged 1.9 second-half goals (1.0 scored, 0.9 conceded).
- Racing's away matches averaged 1.8 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Getafe's low corner count and Racing's reduced corner production away from home suggest a total under 10 corners.
- Getafe averaged 3.6 corners per match in their last 15 games.
- Racing Santander averaged 5.8 corners per match, but their away average drops to 4.8.
- Getafe's home matches last season averaged 8.2 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are physical and prone to bookings, especially Getafe under Bordalás, making a high card count likely.
- Getafe averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match in their last 15 games.
- Racing Santander averaged 2.7 yellow cards per match, with 0.5 red cards.
- Getafe's home matches last season averaged 5.2 total cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Getafe's lack of attacking threat and Racing's reduced accuracy away from home point to a low total shots on target.
- Getafe averaged 1.9 shots on target per match in their last 15 games.
- Racing Santander averaged 7.9 shots on target per match, but their away average drops to 5.2.
- Getafe's home matches last season averaged 7.0 total shots on target.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 83% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 1W

D1-1GetafevRacing SantanderMay 1, 2012LL

W1-2Racing SantandervGetafeJan 21, 2012LL

L0-1GetafevRacing SantanderFeb 20, 2011LL

W0-1Racing SantandervGetafeSep 26, 2010LL

1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

La Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
20	Getafe Relegation	1	0	0	1	0-3	0	L
4	Racing Santander Champions League league stage	1	0	1	0	2-2	1	D

1pt gap between teamsGetafe in relegation zone

Recent Form

Getafe

L0-3AlavesAug 15LL

D1-1TottenhamAug 8FRI

L0-1MonacoAug 6FRI

L1-4Atletico MadridJul 29FRI

D0-0ValladolidJul 25FRI

W2-1TenerifeJul 22FRI

W1-0ReadingJul 17FRI

L0-2Rayo VallecanoMay 3LL

L0-2BarcelonaApr 25LL

W1-0Real SociedadApr 22LL

L0-1LevanteApr 13LL

Racing Santander

D2-2VillarrealAug 16LL

W4-1Sporting GijonAug 7FRI

L0-3WolvesAug 1FRI

L0-3Athletic ClubJul 29FRI

L0-2OsasunaJul 24FRI

D1-1Real SociedadJul 18FRI

W4-1CadizMay 31SEG

D1-1MalagaMay 24SEG

W4-1ValladolidMay 16SEG

W2-1LeganesMay 10SEG

W4-2HuescaMay 3SEG

D0-0AD Ceuta FCApr 26SEG

W3-1Real Sociedad IIApr 17SEG

W5-1AlmeriaApr 12SEG

L2-6FC AndorraApr 5SEG

Squad & Injuries

Getafe

30 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Racing Santander

28 available

Attackers4

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Getafe1Racing Santander0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Getafe or Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Getafe or Draw

@ 1.40

@ 1.20

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Getafe

Racing Santander

Squad & Injuries

Getafe

Racing Santander