Aberdeen00 – 1Falkirk1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Falkirk have matched up well against Aberdeen recently and are hard to beat on the road, while Aberdeen have been inconsistent in the league.

• Falkirk are unbeaten in the last three head-to-heads (two wins, one draw)
• Falkirk's league away record is 1W 3D 1L with 5 scored and 5 conceded
• Aberdeen sit ninth with a home league record of 2W 1D 2L
• Aberdeen's league form reads L-W-L-D-W

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or FalkirkEstimated chance61%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48

The read

Falkirk's first-half scoring away from home is the stronger of the two half-time profiles, and Aberdeen rarely lead early at Pittodrie.

• Falkirk away first-half record: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded across 6 matches
• Aberdeen home first-half record: 0.63 scored, 0.38 conceded across 8 matches
• Aberdeen overall concede 0.71 first-half goals per match
• Falkirk have led or been level at the break in most of their recent away games

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or FalkirkEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Falkirk have found a goal in every recent meeting with Aberdeen and carry enough away threat to do so again.

• Falkirk scored in all three recent head-to-head meetings
• Falkirk away record shows 5 goals in 6 matches
• Aberdeen kept only three clean sheets in eight home matches
• Aberdeen concede 0.63 goals per home match on average

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonFalkirk over 0.5Estimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Aberdeen are the corner-dominant side at home and Falkirk's away matches see opponents win plenty of corners.

• Aberdeen win 6.55 corners per match across 11 tracked games
• Falkirk concede 6.18 corners per match to opponents
• Aberdeen took 13 corners against St Johnstone and 8 at Dundee United
• Aberdeen have home possession and territory in most Pittodrie matches

BetBugs · Home CornerswonAberdeen over 4.5Estimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams give up a steady supply of on-target attempts, so the combined count should clear the line.

• Aberdeen matches average 8.36 shots on target combined (3.55 for, 4.82 against)
• Falkirk matches average 8.73 combined (4.00 for, 4.73 against)
• Aberdeen's last match had 9 on target combined, Falkirk's had 8
• Both sides allow more shots on target than they create

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches are busy in front of goal, with shot totals sitting just above the line on average.

• Aberdeen matches average 27.1 total shots (13.27 for, 13.82 against)
• Falkirk matches average 26.3 total shots (12.09 for, 14.18 against)
• Aberdeen's last match had 34 shots, Falkirk's had 28
• Four of each side's last six matches passed 25.5 total shots