FS Jelgava00 – 1BFC Daugavpils1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

BFC are the stronger side and have avoided defeat in every recent meeting, while Jelgava's home record is poor.

• BFC Daugavpils sit 5th with 45 points; FS Jelgava are 7th with 32.
• BFC are unbeaten in the last five head-to-heads (3 wins, 2 draws).
• FS Jelgava's home record is 4W-2D-10L; BFC's away record is 3W-7D-6L.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or BFC DaugavpilsEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring and BFC often reach the break level.

• BFC Daugavpils were level at half-time in four of their last six matches.
• FS Jelgava were level at half-time in three of their last six matches.
• BFC's away first-half scoring average is only 0.25; Jelgava's home first-half scoring average is 0.17.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Both relevant splits are low-scoring and the recent head-to-heads have been tight.

• Four of the last five head-to-heads stayed under 2.5 goals.
• FS Jelgava's six-match home split has 2 goals for and 6 against (1.33 total per match).
• BFC Daugavpils' eight-match away split has 8 goals for and 7 against (1.88 total per match).

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45

The read

First halves in both teams' relevant splits have produced few goals.

• FS Jelgava's home first-half average is 0.17 scored and 0.83 conceded.
• BFC Daugavpils' away first-half average is 0.25 scored and 0.38 conceded.
• Samples cover six home and eight away matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Jelgava's scoring problems at home make one-sided scoring more likely.

• FS Jelgava scored in only one of six home matches in the recent home split.
• BFC Daugavpils kept three clean sheets in eight away matches.
• Both teams scored in two of the last five head-to-heads.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.14

The read

BFC have enough scoring output and Jelgava concede regularly at home.

• BFC Daugavpils scored in 10 of 15 tracked league matches.
• They scored in four of their last six matches.
• FS Jelgava conceded in five of six home matches in the recent home split.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBFC Daugavpils over 0.5Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Combined corner counts in the available samples point above the low 5.5 line.

• FS Jelgava's two tracked matches average 10.5 total corners.
• BFC Daugavpils' seven away matches average 7.4 total corners.
• Four of BFC's last five matches with corner data had over 5.5 total corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Available shot-on-target totals sit around or above the line, especially in BFC's away sample.

• BFC Daugavpils' away matches average 9.0 shots on target combined (4.29 for, 4.71 against).
• FS Jelgava's two tracked matches average 8.5 shots on target combined (2.5 for, 6 against).
• BFC's last five matches with data all had more than 7.5 combined shots on target.