Club Brugge3Sint-Truiden2

HT 2–0Sun 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–0100%

Edges7–0100%

PossPossession 53%–47%ShotsShots 12–8On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 4–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 00:53 · Europe/Bucharest

Club Brugge's perfect home league record — four wins, 10 scored and one conceded — meets a Sint-Truiden team that has scored 10 goals in four away league games.

Brugge should win, but 1.30 is thin for that. The two prices that hold: Sint-Truiden to score at least once at 1.45, and Sint-Truiden to take more than 2.5 corners at 1.40.

Context

Across eight league games to 24 October 2026, Brugge are 7W-0D-1L with 19 scored and four conceded; the home split is four wins from four and a 10-1 goal count. Sint-Truiden's visit tests a record built on few concessions in Bruges. The caveat: the visitors have scored 10 in four away league games, so a clean sheet is not a given.
- Jupiler Pro League table to 24 October 2026: Club Brugge home record 4 played, 4 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats, 10 goals for, 1 against.
- Same table: overall 8 played, 7 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat, 19 goals for, 4 against, 21 points, second place.
The away split reads 1W-1D-2L from four league trips, so Sint-Truiden games on the road have been open in both directions. That is the main counterweight to Brugge's four home wins and single goal conceded. It rests on a sample of four matches, so it describes this season's pattern rather than a settled rate.
- Jupiler Pro League table to 24 October 2026: Sint-Truiden away record 4 played, 1 win, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 10 goals for, 10 against.
- Same table: overall 8 played, 2 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats, 15 goals for, 16 against, 8 points, 13th place.
The most recent league meeting at Club Brugge's home ground ended 2-0 on 9 May 2026. It gives this fixture a concrete recent head-to-head reference, including the scorers from that match. The result came in the previous season, however, so it does not establish current selection or tactical conditions for this October meeting.
- Club Brugge won 2-0 against Sint-Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League on 9 May 2026.
- Nicolò Tresoldi scored in the 12th minute and Carlos Forbs scored in the 51st minute.
- The match was played at Jan Breydelstadion before 23,487 spectators.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 00:51 · Europe/BucharestPro League match pagewww.proleague.be · 9 May 2026
The other four meetings since 15 February 2025 brought three Club Brugge wins, including 2-0 in Bruges on 21 September 2025 and again on 9 May 2026, plus one draw. The 3-2 shows the visitors can hurt Brugge in a game that opens up. That result is more than ten months old, and Brugge have won both meetings played since.
- Head-to-head, 6 December 2025: Sint-Truiden 3-2 Club Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Head-to-head, 11 April 2026: Sint-Truiden 1-2 Club Brugge; 9 May 2026: Club Brugge 2-0 Sint-Truiden.
- The five recorded meetings since 15 February 2025 include a 2-2 draw and three Club Brugge wins.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Club Brugge

1.30fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 76.9%

−8.9ppshort

Brugge have swept their home league games while Sint-Truiden have lost four of eight and sit in the bottom half.

Home Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Club Brugge over 1.5

1.25fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 80%

−6.0ppshort

Brugge have scored at least twice in most home league outings and have never been shut out this season.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.33fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 75.2%

−15.2ppshort

Both teams' matches run at well over three goals per game and Sint-Truiden's away fixtures have been especially open.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.17fair 1.30

BetBugs 77% · Market 85.5%

−8.5ppshort

Both sides' first-half scoring and conceding rates point to an early goal in this fixture.

Double Chance First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Club Brugge or Draw

1.10fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 90.9%

−18.9ppshort

Brugge usually start strongly at home, and Sint-Truiden have shown they can be behind by half-time on the road.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Brugge have swept their home league games while Sint-Truiden have lost four of eight and sit in the bottom half.
- Club Brugge: 10W-0D-2L in 12 competitive matches, 2.42 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game
- Home league record 4W-0D-0L, 10 goals scored and 1 conceded
- Sint-Truiden sit 13th with 8 points from 8 league games (2W-2D-4L, 15 scored, 16 conceded)
- Brugge won the most recent home league meeting 2-0 and have won three of the last five head-to-heads
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonClub BruggeEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.10
The read
Brugge usually start strongly at home, and Sint-Truiden have shown they can be behind by half-time on the road.
- Club Brugge average 1.08 first-half goals for against 0.5 against
- They scored in the first half in the recent league wins over Genk and Antwerp
- Sint-Truiden have trailed at the break in away games such as Mechelen (3-1 down at half-time)
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonClub Brugge or DrawEstimated chance72%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Brugge have scored at least twice in most home league outings and have never been shut out this season.
- Club Brugge scored in all 12 competitive matches tracked
- 2.29 goals per game at home in competitive matches; 10 goals in 4 home league games
- Sint-Truiden conceded in 9 of 13 competitive games and ship 1.62 per game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonClub Brugge over 1.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Sint-Truiden have found the net in nearly every away game this season, including a three-goal trip to Mechelen.
- Sint-Truiden scored in 5 of their 6 away matches tracked
- 10 goals in 4 away league games, 2.5 per game on the road
- Club Brugge kept only 5 clean sheets in 7 home competitive matches and conceded 1 goal in 4 home league games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSint-Truiden over 0.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Both teams' matches run at well over three goals per game and Sint-Truiden's away fixtures have been especially open.
- Club Brugge's matches average 3.25 total goals (2.42 for, 0.83 against)
- Sint-Truiden's matches average 3.54 total goals (1.92 for, 1.62 against)
- Sint-Truiden away games average 4.5 combined goals across 6 matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17
The read
Both sides' first-half scoring and conceding rates point to an early goal in this fixture.
- Club Brugge average 1.08 first-half goals for and 0.5 against
- Sint-Truiden average 0.77 first-half goals for and 0.77 against; 1.0 for and 1.0 against away
- Brugge scored in the first half of their last three home league matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance77%

Match stats4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner totals sit just under the line, with Sint-Truiden's matches averaging nine.
- Club Brugge average 6.73 corners for and 3.55 against (about 10.3 per match)
- Sint-Truiden average 5.5 corners for and 3.5 against (about 9.0 per match)
- Brugge's most recent home Champions League game had only 6 corners in total
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 10.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Sint-Truiden generate a steady supply of corners even on the road, comfortably above this low line.
- Sint-Truiden average 5.5 corners per match overall and 4.83 in away matches
- They took 7 and 8 corners in recent away games at Midtjylland and Mechelen
- Club Brugge concede 3.55 corners per match at home
BetBugs · Away CornerswonSint-Truiden over 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' booking rates add up to around four cards per game, just below the line.
- Club Brugge average 2.0 yellow cards and their opponents 2.3
- Sint-Truiden average 2.08 yellow cards with opponents on just 1.17
- No red cards recorded in either side's most recent league outings
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 4.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side converts possession into a consistently high volume of on-target attempts, keeping the combined count near the line.
- Club Brugge average 6.36 shots on target and concede 5.09 (about 11.4 per match)
- Sint-Truiden average 4.75 shots on target and concede 4.33, though away games run at 5.5 for and 5.33 against
- Sint-Truiden were limited to 4 shots on target at Beveren and 4 conceded at home to Iberia
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 11.5Estimated chance56%