SK Beveren2Sint-Truiden0

HT 0–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–118%

Edges0–40%

PossPossession 40%–60%ShotsShots 11–11On targetOn target 4–0CornersCorners 1–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Sep 2026, 23:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Sint-Truiden are slight favourites, but the odds offer no value on the away win, double chance, over 2.5 goals, or both teams to score.

SK Beveren's perfect home defensive record makes the goals markets especially risky. Avoid the main markets and look for alternative angles or wait for in-play opportunities.

Context

SK Beveren sit 12th in the Jupiler Pro League with 6 points from 5 matches.
Their home record is strong: two wins from two, scoring 4 and conceding 0. Away, they have lost all three, scoring only 1 and conceding 10. This match is at home, so their home form is the relevant sample. However, the away struggles show a team that can be vulnerable when not at their own ground.
- Home record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 4 goals for, 0 against.
- Away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 1 goal for, 10 against.
- Most recent home match: 3-0 win vs OH Leuven on 2026-09-06.
Sint-Truiden are 8th in the Jupiler Pro League with 8 points from 5 matches.
In the league, they have won 1 and drawn 1 away, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their away loss to Omonia Nicosia in the Europa League shows they can be beaten on the road, but in domestic play they have been effective. This suggests they can compete away from home against Beveren.
- Away league record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses, 7 goals for, 4 against.
- Most recent away league match: 4-1 win at Antwerp on 2026-08-30.
- Europa League away: 2-4 loss at Omonia Nicosia on 2026-08-27.
Sint-Truiden's attack has been productive in the Jupiler Pro League.
They have scored 12 goals in 5 league matches, including 4 against Antwerp and 4 against RAAL La Louvière. SK Beveren have conceded 10 goals in 5 matches, though all of those came away from home. This suggests Sint-Truiden can create chances, but Beveren's home defense has been solid so far.
- Sint-Truiden league goals: 12 in 5 matches.
- SK Beveren league goals conceded: 10 in 5 matches, all away.
- Sint-Truiden recent scoring: 4 vs RAAL La Louvière (2026-09-05), 4 vs Antwerp (2026-08-30).
The most recent Jupiler Pro League match between SK Beveren and Sint-Truiden was on 2021-04-06, a 4-2 away win for Sint-Truiden. Since then, the teams have not met in a competitive fixture. With such a long gap, that result offers little insight into this match.
- Last competitive meeting: 2021-04-06, Sint-Truiden won 4-2 away.
- No meetings since 2021 in the Jupiler Pro League.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Sint-Truiden

2.15fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 46.5%

0.0ppshort

Sint-Truiden's stronger overall and away form makes them slight favourites, but the edge is negative against the offered odds.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Sint-Truiden

1.38fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 72.5%

0.0ppshort

Sint-Truiden's unbeaten away record and superior overall points suggest they are unlikely to lose, but the odds offer no value.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Sint-Truiden's away matches average 5.5 total goals, but Beveren's home defense is strong, making the over less certain than the raw away average suggests.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.48fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 67.6%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have scored consistently, but Beveren's home defensive solidity and Sint-Truiden's occasional away blanks reduce the BTTS probability below the market's implied.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sint-Truiden's stronger overall and away form, combined with SK Beveren's poor away record but perfect home record, makes the away side slight favorites, though the home advantage narrows the gap.
- Sint-Truiden away record: 1W-1D-0L, 7 goals scored, 4 conceded in 2 away league matches
- SK Beveren home record: 2W-0D-0L, 4 goals scored, 0 conceded in 2 home league matches
- Sint-Truiden overall form: 2W-2D-1L, 12 goals scored, 8 conceded in 5 matches
- SK Beveren overall form: 2W-0D-3L, 5 goals scored, 10 conceded in 5 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSint-TruidenEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sint-Truiden's unbeaten away record and superior overall points suggest they are unlikely to lose, making double chance a safer play.
- Sint-Truiden unbeaten away: 1W-1D-0L in 2 away matches
- SK Beveren home wins: 2W-0D-0L in 2 home matches
- Sint-Truiden overall points: 8 from 5 matches vs SK Beveren 6 from 5
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Sint-TruidenEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first half is likely to be tight with both teams evenly matched, making a draw at halftime a plausible outcome.
- Sint-Truiden first half results: 40% led, 27% trailed, 33% drew
- SK Beveren first half results: 47% led, 27% trailed, 26% drew
- Both teams have similar first half goal averages (0.9 vs 1.1)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sint-Truiden's superior squad depth and form may give them an edge in the second half as the game opens up.
- Sint-Truiden second half goal difference: +0.4 per match (1.1 scored - 0.7 conceded)
- SK Beveren second half goal difference: +0.3 per match (1.0 scored - 0.7 conceded)
- Sint-Truiden stronger overall form suggests better second half performance
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostSint-TruidenEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Sint-Truiden win is a plausible scenario given their ability to improve in the second half.
- Sint-Truiden drew at halftime in 33% of matches and won 40% overall
- SK Beveren drew at halftime in 26% and won 40% overall
- Sint-Truiden away matches: 1 draw at halftime, 1 win at halftime
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Sint-TruidenEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sint-Truiden's away games have been high-scoring, and while SK Beveren's home defense is solid, the visitors' attacking output should push the total over 2.5.
- Sint-Truiden away matches average 5.5 total goals (7 scored, 4 conceded in 2 games)
- SK Beveren home matches average 2.0 total goals (4 scored, 0 conceded in 2 games)
- Sint-Truiden overall matches average 4.0 total goals (12 scored, 8 conceded in 5 games)
- SK Beveren overall matches average 3.0 total goals (5 scored, 10 conceded in 5 games)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Sint-Truiden's defense has been leaky, making both teams scoring likely.
- Sint-Truiden scored in all 5 league matches (12 goals total)
- SK Beveren scored in 4 of 5 league matches (5 goals total)
- Sint-Truiden conceded in 4 of 5 league matches (8 goals total)
- SK Beveren conceded in 3 of 5 league matches (10 goals total)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, but the low average first-half goals suggest a cautious over 1.5 line.
- Sint-Truiden first half goals: 0.9 average per match, conceded 0.7
- SK Beveren first half goals: 1.1 average per match, conceded 0.7
- Sint-Truiden led at halftime in 40% of matches, SK Beveren in 47%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second half tends to see more goals as both teams push for results, with a combined average above 1.5.
- Sint-Truiden second half goals: 1.1 average per match (2.0 total - 0.9 first half)
- SK Beveren second half goals: 1.0 average per match (2.1 total - 1.1 first half)
- Combined second half average: 2.1 goals per match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and the combined average is just above the 9.5 line.
- Sint-Truiden average corners: 5.3 per match, opponent corners: 4.9
- SK Beveren average corners: 4.9 per match, opponent corners: 5.3
- Combined average corners: 10.2 per match
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined shots on target average is above the 8.5 line, suggesting a decent chance of hitting the over.
- Sint-Truiden average shots on target: 5.0 per match, opponent: 4.4
- SK Beveren average shots on target: 4.4 per match, opponent: 5.0
- Combined average shots on target: 9.4 per match
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average yellow cards is exactly 4.0, making over 3.5 a reasonable bet given the competitive nature of the match.
- Sint-Truiden average yellow cards: 2.4 per match, opponent: 1.6
- SK Beveren average yellow cards: 1.6 per match, opponent: 2.4
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.0 per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%