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Predictions graded

Crawley Town1Tranmere Rovers1

HT 0–0Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–460%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 38%–62%ShotsShots 15–10On targetOn target 8–4CornersCorners 5–15

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 11:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Crawley, bottom and without a home league win, face Tranmere in Kevin Blackwell's first match as interim manager.

Tranmere have drawn six of 12 and won only once away, but they took both recent meetings 2-0. Three quoted prices hold up: Tranmere to avoid defeat at 1.5, Tranmere to win at 2.4 and no goals in the first half at 3.1; both teams to score at 1.57 and over 2.5 goals at 1.7 do not.

Context

Crawley went into the Shrewsbury game bottom of the table with one win from ten, and the stoppage-time 2-3 defeat ended the head coach's tenure within hours. Removing the head coach, his assistant and the director of football four days before a home fixture puts selection, set pieces and in-game plans in new hands, and players who had been out of the picture may come back into contention. The counterweight is that the squad and the league position are unchanged, so any lift is a plausible effect rather than a sourced one.
- Crawley Town parted with head coach Colin Kazim-Richards and assistant head coach Julian Gray on 20 October 2026, with director of football Erdem Konyar also leaving.
- The decisions came hours after a 2-3 League Two home defeat by Shrewsbury Town, who won it in stoppage time.
- Crawley had won one of their opening ten League Two matches and were bottom of the table.
- After the Shrewsbury loss, Kazim-Richards said the squad needed more experience in game management and that he was unsure whether he would be given time.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 11:17 · Europe/Bucharest
Blackwell's last job in the English league was at Bury in 2013, with recent work as a manager in Thailand and as a director of football in Poland's second tier, so his first selections and shape are the main unknown around this fixture. He inherits a side bottom of League Two with one win from ten, which limits how much a single match can show. The interim tag and an unfinished search for a permanent head coach mean the appointment may not outlast the coming weeks, and no team-sheet signal has been published.
- Crawley Town appointed Kevin Blackwell as interim manager on a short-term basis on 21 October 2026, while the club completes its search for a permanent head coach.
- Blackwell is 67 and spent much of his coaching career as Neil Warnock's assistant at several clubs.
- The Tranmere fixture comes three days after his appointment, and he was described as likely to be in charge for it.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 11:17 · Europe/Bucharest
A defender scoring from a header in a 1-0 away win is the kind of concrete detail Crawley's brand new interim staff can plan against, particularly at set pieces. Faulkner then fronted the pre-match media alongside Clarke, the strongest available signal that he stays in the side for Saturday. A single goal is thin evidence of a lasting role, though, and Tranmere's XI for the trip has not been published.
- Bobby Faulkner scored the only goal, a second-half header, in Tranmere Rovers' 1-0 League Two win at Northampton Town on 20 October 2026.
- It was Tranmere's first away win of the season.
- Faulkner joined manager Darrell Clarke for the club's pre-match media duties on 22 October, ahead of the Crawley game.
- B. Faulkner started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 285 minutes across 4 appearances.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 11:17 · Europe/Bucharest
Ending a six-month wait for an away league win at Northampton gives Clarke's side something they have lacked all season, and a win at the bottom club would be the first real check on whether that was a turning point rather than a one-off. Clarke has repeatedly framed Tranmere's problem as finishing rather than creating, so the sequencing of results matters more than the performance data. The counterpoint is that Crawley's managerial change makes this an unusually hard fixture to read, and Tranmere's two recent victories were both by a single-goal margin.
- Tranmere Rovers won 1-0 at Northampton Town on 20 October 2026, their first away league win of the season.
- Tranmere had gone roughly six months without an away league win before that result.
- Tranmere's last consecutive league wins came in December 2025, beating Grimsby away and then Barrow 3-0 away.
- Tranmere had won two of their opening ten League Two matches of the season.
ReportedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 11:17 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Tranmere's stronger league record and recent wins in this fixture make an away win the most likely single result.
- Tranmere are 13th with 15 points from 12; Crawley are 24th with 5 from 10.
- Tranmere won the last two meetings 2-0 and 2-0.
- Crawley have 0 home league wins and have conceded 11 goals in 5 home league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTranmere RoversEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, and Tranmere's away first halves have been especially quiet.
- Crawley average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.83 against in home matches.
- Tranmere average 0.17 first-half goals for and 0.5 against in away matches.
- Tranmere's last two matches were 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Tranmere's high draw rate and Crawley's home struggles make a share of the points a strong possibility. Tranmere's stronger league record and recent wins in this fixture make an away win the most likely single result.
- Tranmere have drawn 6 of 12 league games.
- Crawley's home league record includes one draw in five.
- Tranmere are 13th with 15 points from 12; Crawley are 24th with 5 from 10.
- Tranmere won the last two meetings 2-0 and 2-0.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Tranmere RoversEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, and Tranmere's away first halves have been especially quiet. Tranmere have led at the break regularly and Crawley have conceded more first-half goals than they have scored at home.
- Crawley average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.83 against in home matches.
- Tranmere average 0.17 first-half goals for and 0.5 against in away matches.
- Tranmere led at half-time in three of their last six matches.
- Crawley have conceded 0.83 first-half goals per home match and scored 0.5.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Tranmere RoversEstimated chance78%

Goals1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Crawley's league matches have been high-scoring, and Tranmere's defence has conceded 15 in 12.
- Crawley's 10 league games have produced 31 goals; Tranmere's 12 have produced 30.
- Crawley have scored 11 and conceded 20 in the league.
- Five of Crawley's last six matches went over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both sides score in a majority of their recent matches and Crawley's home games have had goals at both ends.
- Both teams scored in 8 of 14 competitive matches for each side.
- Both teams scored in four of each side's last six matches.
- Crawley have scored 5 and conceded 11 in five home league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals have appeared regularly in both teams' recent matches.
- Crawley's last six matches all had at least one first-half goal.
- Four of Tranmere's last six matches had a first-half goal.
- Crawley's matches average 1.29 first-half goals; Tranmere's average 0.71.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have generally cleared 23.5 total shots.
- Crawley's last six total shots: 29, 26, 30, 27, 31 and 35.
- Tranmere's last six total shots: 29, 29, 23, 32, 28 and 15.
- Ten of the combined 12 recent matches cleared 23.5 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 23.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Crawley's matches have produced plenty of shots on target, and Tranmere's recent games have had some open spells.
- Crawley's last six total shots on target: 15, 9, 10, 13, 12 and 12.
- Tranmere's last six total shots on target: 5, 8, 5, 13, 13 and 4.
- Nine of the combined 12 recent matches cleared 7.5 shots on target.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Crawley's matches have been card-heavy, and the combined averages sit above the line.
- Crawley average 2.71 yellow cards and 2.86 for opponents; Tranmere average 2.0 and 2.0.
- Crawley's last six matches had yellow-card totals of 5, 0, 7, 7, 5 and 6.
- Five of Crawley's last six matches cleared 4.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance57%

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L2-0TranmerevCrawley TownFeb 14, 2026LEA

L0-2Crawley TownvTranmereAug 23, 2025LEA

W1-3TranmerevCrawley TownMar 23, 2024LEA

W3-2Crawley TownvTranmereSep 16, 2023LEA

W2-1Crawley TownvTranmereApr 15, 2023LEA

Tranmere Rovers: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

League Two 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
24	Crawley Town Relegation - National League	10	1	2	7	11-20	5	LLDLL
13	Tranmere Rovers	12	3	6	3	15-15	15	WLDLD

10pt gap between teamsCrawley Town in relegation zone

Recent Form

Crawley Town

L2-3ShrewsburyOct 20LEA

L1-2Salford CityOct 17LEA

D2-2ChesterfieldOct 10LEA

W4-0BromleyOct 6EFL

L1-4Milton Keynes DonsSep 22EFL

L0-2GrimsbySep 19LEA

L1-3CheltenhamSep 12LEA

L2-3Accrington STSep 5LEA

D1-1NorthamptonSep 1LEA

L0-2Bristol RoversAug 29LEA

W2-1RochdaleAug 22LEA

L0-1CreweAug 15LEA

L0-1WatfordAug 8LEA

W2-0YorkAug 3LEA

L0-1ReadingJul 31FRI

Tranmere Rovers

W1-0NorthamptonOct 20LEA

L1-2BarnetOct 17LEA

D1-1RochdaleOct 10LEA

L2-4ChesterfieldOct 3LEA

D1-1WalsallSep 26LEA

W1-0ShrewsburySep 22EFL

D0-0Exeter CitySep 19LEA

L0-2GillinghamSep 12LEA

W2-0OldhamSep 5LEA

D2-2RotherhamSep 1LEA

D2-2Newport CountyAug 29LEA

D1-1Port ValeAug 22LEA

W2-0ShrewsburyAug 15LEA

W2-0BlackpoolJul 18FRI

D1-1GrimsbyMay 2LEA

Squad & Injuries

Crawley Town

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Tranmere Rovers

29 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere Rovers

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

Yes

Over 2.5

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 3 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Crawley Town

Tranmere Rovers

Squad & Injuries

Crawley Town

Tranmere Rovers