Salford City22 – 1Crawley Town1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.80

The read

Both teams score few first-half goals, especially Salford at home, so a level first half is the single most likely outcome.

• Salford home first-half goals for and against are both 0.17 per game.
• Crawley average 0.42 first-half goals for and 0.92 against.
• Salford's overall first-half goals for average is 0.45.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Salford score most of their goals after the break and are the stronger side, so they often take the second half.

• Salford average 1.0 second-half goals per game and concede 0.55.
• At home Salford average 0.83 second-half goals for and 0.5 against.
• Salford have won four straight league games.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostSalford CityEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Salford's home matches are tight and low-scoring, with their defence conceding very little.

• Salford's 5 home league games have produced 7 goals in total (5 for, 2 against).
• Salford average 1.0 scored and 0.67 conceded per home game.
• Crawley average 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded per away game.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.15

The read

Salford's home defence is the strongest part of the evidence and often shuts opponents out.

• Salford have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 home matches and concede 0.67 per home game.
• Salford have 4 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
• Crawley have scored 8 goals in 12 competitive matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Salford's home matches tend to be low-scoring and their wins are often by a single goal.

• Salford average 1.0 goals per home match.
• Salford scored exactly one in each of the three home matches in the recent sample.
• Salford have 4 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostSalford City under 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Salford's home first halves are especially quiet, so a goalless opening period is a realistic outcome.

• Salford home first-half goals for and against average 0.17 each.
• Salford overall average 0.45 first-half goals for and 0.55 against.
• Crawley average 0.42 first-half goals for.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side's second-half totals are high, so fewer than two goals is a slight favourite.

• Salford home second-half totals average 1.33 goals (0.83 for, 0.5 against).
• Crawley away second-half totals average 1.57 (0.71 for, 0.86 against).
• Salford concede only 0.55 second-half goals per game overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Salford generate plenty of corners at home while Crawley concede a lot from wide areas, so the total can pass the line.

• Salford average 8.33 corners at home and concede 2.83.
• Crawley concede 5.86 corners per away game.
• Salford average 6.36 corners per game overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Salford's home defence limits opponents' accurate shots, keeping the combined total below the line.

• Salford home matches average 7.17 shots on target in total (4.67 for, 2.5 against).
• Salford allow only 2.5 shots on target per home game.
• Crawley average 3.71 shots on target per away game.