Colon de Santa Fe or Draw
BetBugs 82% · Market 87.7%
Colón's strong home record and Almirante Brown's weak away form favour the hosts. Almirante Brown's tendency to draw away games keeps a share of the points plausible.
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Predictions gradedPre-match view
Colón host Almirante Brown in round 34 with a Reducido place already secured and Almirante Brown defending the last qualification spot.
Colón's home record points to a narrow home win in a low-scoring game. The quoted prices — Colón at 1.65, Colón or draw at 1.14, under 2.5 goals at 1.43 and both teams not to score at 1.48 — all ask for more than the form supports, so none is worth taking.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 82% · Market 87.7%
Colón's strong home record and Almirante Brown's weak away form favour the hosts. Almirante Brown's tendency to draw away games keeps a share of the points plausible.
BetBugs 63% · Market 67.6%
Almirante Brown's low away output against a solid home defence makes a home clean sheet likely.
BetBugs 60% · Market 69.9%
Both sides score few goals and keep frequent clean sheets.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
1 of 5 comparable winner projections favouring Colon de Santa Fe matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colon de Santa FePromotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 39-25 | 53 |
| 8 | Almirante BrownPromotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 26-22 | 47 |

