FK IMT1Radnik Surdulica0

HT 1–0Sat 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–380%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 46%–54%ShotsShots 13–10On targetOn target 6–3CornersCorners 3–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Oct 2026, 04:28 · Europe/Bucharest

IMT's home defence against Radnik's winless away form is the core tension: the hosts have conceded once in four home league games, while Radnik have not won on the road.

IMT are the likelier winners, though a draw is a genuine threat. The 1.85 for an IMT win and 1.22 for IMT or draw both ask for more than the evidence justifies. The 1.83 for both teams to score No is the one quoted price that offers something.

Context

That defensive record is the strongest part of IMT's season, and it aligns with Radnik's away struggles: Radnik have scored only three goals in four league games on the road. The combination makes a low-scoring home performance the most likely shape, though Radnik's 4-4 draw with Partizan shows they can occasionally break such patterns.
- IMT's home league record shows three clean sheets in four matches, with one goal conceded and two wins, one draw and one defeat.
Radnik's most recent league game produced eight goals, a 4-4 home draw with Partizan on 19 September 2026, and they have drawn three of their last five league matches (D D D W L) while scoring 14 and conceding 15 in ten games. That points to a side that plays in open, high-event matches rather than controlling them, which shapes how this fixture against IMT can be read. The eight-goal draw came at home in Surdulica and this trip is to Belgrade, so both the venue and the opponent change, making it a single opponent-specific result rather than a settled pattern.
- Radnik Surdulica drew 4-4 at home with Partizan on 19 September 2026 in their most recent Super Liga match.
- Their last five league matches read D D D W L, and they have three wins and two defeats from ten games, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded.
- Ghanaian forward Emmanuel Quarshie was among the scorers in that 4-4 draw.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 04:25 · Europe/BucharestSuperliga Srbije team pagewww.superliga.rs · 19 Sep 2026
That heavy defeat is the clearest single example of Radnik's away-day vulnerability, part of a road record that shows no wins and eight goals conceded in four league games. It is one match, but it underlines the defensive risk they carry into this trip.
- On 29 August 2026, Radnik Surdulica lost 5-1 away at Železničar Pančevo in the Super Liga.
The most recent meeting between the two clubs was a 0-0 draw at IMT on 2 March 2026, in Super Liga round 25 of the previous season. It shows the fixture has been low-scoring in its most recent edition even as Radnik's current form line looks open, so it gives some counterweight to expectations of an end-to-end game. The limitation is that it is a single match from last season, played by different squads in different circumstances, so it works better as context than as a guide to this meeting.
- The most recent meeting between IMT and Radnik was a 0-0 draw at IMT on 2 March 2026.
- It was played in Super Liga round 25 of the 2025-26 season.
ReportedSources checked 8 Oct 2026, 04:25 · Europe/BucharestEurofotbal match previewwww.eurofotbal.cz · 2 Mar 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

FK IMT or Draw

1.22fair 1.30

BetBugs 77% · Market 82%

−5.0ppshort

IMT have conceded once in four home league games while Radnik have not won away and ship goals on the road. Both recent head-to-head meetings were goalless and Radnik's season is built on draws.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Under 2.5

1.73fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.8%

−2.8ppshort

IMT's home games have been tight and low-scoring, which caps the likely total.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

FK IMT

1.85fair 2.13

BetBugs 47% · Market 54.1%

−7.1ppshort

IMT have conceded once in four home league games while Radnik have not won away and ship goals on the road.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.85
The read
IMT have conceded once in four home league games while Radnik have not won away and ship goals on the road.
- IMT home league split: 2W-1D-1L, 6 scored and 1 conceded in 4 home matches
- Radnik away league split: 0W-2D-2L with 3 scored and 8 conceded
- IMT overall league record 4W-3D-3L with 7 scored and 6 conceded
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFK IMTEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both sides produce very little before the break, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
- IMT average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 against
- Radnik average 0.75 first-half goals for and 0.33 against
- IMT have scored 1 first-half goal in their last 6 league matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves in IMT's matches have been tight, with the hosts usually managing just one goal.
- IMT average 0.9 second-half goals for and 0.2 against
- Radnik average 0.42 second-half goals for and 1.33 against
- IMT have kept second-half clean sheets in 3 of 4 home matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
IMT have conceded once in four home league games while Radnik have not won away and ship goals on the road. Both recent head-to-head meetings were goalless and Radnik's season is built on draws.
- IMT home league split: 2W-1D-1L, 6 scored and 1 conceded in 4 home matches
- Radnik away league split: 0W-2D-2L with 3 scored and 8 conceded
- Radnik have drawn 6 of 12 competitive matches this season
- The last two league meetings between these sides finished 0-0
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFK IMT or DrawEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IMT do slightly more in opening periods than Radnik manage on their travels. Both sides produce very little before the break, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
- IMT average 0.5 first-half goals at home, 0.3 overall
- Radnik average 0.6 first-half goals conceded away and 0.33 overall
- IMT average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 against
- Radnik average 0.75 first-half goals for and 0.33 against
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonFK IMT or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals7 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73
The read
IMT's home games have been tight and low-scoring, which caps the likely total.
- IMT home matches total 7 goals in 4 games (1.75 per match)
- IMT overall average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded per match
- Radnik away matches average 0.6 goals scored by them
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
IMT's home defence and Radnik's thin away scoring make a clean sheet for the hosts the likelier outcome.
- IMT clean sheets: 4 in 10 overall, 3 in 4 home matches
- Radnik have scored 3 goals in 4 away league matches
- Both teams scored in only 4 of IMT's 10 league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
IMT's overall scoring rate is modest and their matches are usually decided by one goal.
- IMT have scored 6 goals in 4 home league matches
- IMT have failed to score more than once in 3 of their last 6 league games
- IMT average 1.2 goals per match overall
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonFK IMT under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radnik's away output is well under two goals per game and IMT barely concede at home.
- Radnik away goals: 3 in 4 league games (0.6 per match)
- IMT home goals conceded: 1 in 4 matches
- IMT have 4 clean sheets in 10 league games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonRadnik Surdulica under 1.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
IMT have shut out opponents in three of four home games and Radnik struggle to score away.
- IMT have 3 clean sheets in 4 home league matches, conceding 1 goal
- Radnik average 0.6 goals per away match
- Radnik have scored 3 goals in 4 away league matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonRadnik Surdulica not to scoreEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IMT score in most home games and Radnik concede heavily away from home.
- IMT have scored in 3 of 4 home league matches
- Radnik away goals conceded: 8 in 4 league games, 2.6 per match
- IMT have scored 7 goals in 10 league matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFK IMT to scoreEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half goal totals in IMT's games have tended to stay at one or two.
- IMT average 1.1 second-half goals in total per match (0.9 for, 0.2 against)
- Radnik average 1.75 second-half goals in total per match
- IMT home second-half total: 1.0 per match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance56%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have mostly stayed at or below nine corners.
- IMT home matches average 8 total corners
- Radnik away matches average 8.6 total corners
- IMT recent six matches average 7.3 corners in total
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IMT's home matches are low-volume and Radnik's shot counts alone are not enough to push the total over thirty.
- IMT concede 8.7 shots per match and only 5.25 at home
- Radnik matches average 27.8 total shots
- IMT recent six matches average 21.5 total shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 29.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
IMT's home games have been low on cards, dragging the combined total under the line.
- IMT average 1.25 yellows in home matches
- IMT home opponents average 0.5 yellows
- Combined season card averages for both sides sit near 4.7 per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 5.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D0-0IMT Novi BeogradvRadnik SurdulicaJul 10, 2026FRI

D0-0IMT Novi BeogradvRadnik SurdulicaMar 2, 2026SUP

W0-1Radnik SurdulicavIMT Novi BeogradOct 29, 2025CUP

L2-0Radnik SurdulicavIMT Novi BeogradSep 26, 2025SUP

L5-2IMT Novi BeogradvRadnik SurdulicaMay 1, 2024SUP

FK IMT: 3 clean sheetsRadnik Surdulica: 3 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	FK IMT Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	10	4	3	3	12-7	15	DLDWL
7	Radnik Surdulica Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)	10	3	5	2	14-15	14	DDDWL