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Predictions graded

Vojvodina2Radnik Surdulica1

HT 0–0Sun 9 Aug 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–640%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 12–14On targetOn target 5–7CornersCorners 8–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Aug 2026, 00:10 · Europe/Bucharest

Vojvodina’s perfect home record and Radnik’s scoring struggles make the hosts strong favorites, but the best betting value is on Vojvodina Over 1.5 Team Goals (+9.4% edge) and Both Teams to Score – No (+8.8% edge).

Avoid the efficient match winner and Over 2.5 goals markets; the Over 4.5 Cards at 5.50 offers a high-risk, high-reward opportunity.

Context

Beat Macva 2-0 and OFK Beograd 4-0 at home in the Super Liga.
- Kept clean sheets in both matches, with 6 goals scored and 0 conceded.
- Averaged 3.0 goals per home game this season.
Drew 1-1 at home to Mladost Lucani and 0-0 away at OFK Beograd.
- Failed to score in the away match, managing only 1 shot on target.
- Last five competitive away results: 0-0, 0-5, 1-1, 1-2, 0-0 (no wins).
Radnik's 3-1 win in Nov 2025 is their only victory in the last five H2H matches.
- Vojvodina won the other four, including a 4-1 away win in May 2026.
- Vojvodina scored 2+ goals in four of the last five H2H encounters.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's perfect home record with clean sheets and strong H2H dominance, combined with Radnik's lack of wins, makes a home victory highly likely.
- Vojvodina home record this season: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 6 goals scored, 0 conceded.
- Radnik Surdulica away record this season: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 0 goals scored, 0 conceded.
- Vojvodina won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings, including 4-1 away win in May 2026.
- Vojvodina overall form: 2 wins, 1 loss in last 3 league matches; Radnik: 2 draws in 2 matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVojvodinaEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's tendency to lead at half time is offset by recent home first-half blanks, making this a low-confidence lean toward the home side.
- Vojvodina led at half time in 40% of recent matches; Radnik trailed in 27%.
- Vojvodina home first half results: 0-0 vs Macva, 0-0 vs OFK Beograd.
- Radnik away first half result: 0-0 vs OFK Beograd.
- H2H first half results: Vojvodina led in 2 of last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostVojvodinaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's overall superiority suggests a HT/FT double is possible, but recent home first-half struggles reduce confidence.
- Vojvodina won both halves in 1 of 2 home matches (vs OFK Beograd, 4-0 after 0-0 HT).
- Radnik lost both halves in 0 of 1 away match (0-0 draw).
- H2H: Vojvodina led at HT and FT in 2 of last 5 meetings.
- Vojvodina overall win rate: 67% in league; Radnik win rate: 0%.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostVojvodina/VojvodinaEstimated chance40%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H trend strongly favors high-scoring games, and Vojvodina's attacking output at home suggests goals, though Radnik's defensive away record tempers confidence.
- Vojvodina home matches average 3.0 total goals (6 scored, 0 conceded in 2 games).
- Radnik away matches average 0.0 total goals (0 scored, 0 conceded in 1 game).
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals (scores: 4-1, 3-1, 2-0, 4-0, 3-0).
- Vojvodina overall goals per game: 2.3 scored, 1.0 conceded; Radnik: 0.5 scored, 0.5 conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's defensive solidity at home and Radnik's struggles to score away, combined with H2H clean sheet trend, point to at least one side failing to score.
- Vojvodina kept clean sheets in both home league matches this season.
- Radnik failed to score in their only away league match this season.
- In last 5 H2H meetings, Radnik scored in only 1 match (3-1 win in Nov 2025).
- Vojvodina conceded only 3 goals in 3 league matches overall.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's home defensive record is perfect, and Radnik's attacking output is minimal, making a home clean sheet probable.
- Vojvodina kept clean sheets in both home league matches this season.
- Radnik failed to score in their only away league match this season.
- Vojvodina kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings against Radnik.
- Radnik averaged 0.5 goals per game overall this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRadnik Surdulica not to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's strong home scoring form and historical H2H goal output against Radnik support them netting multiple goals.
- Vojvodina scored 6 goals in 2 home matches (3.0 per game).
- Vojvodina scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
- Radnik conceded 1 goal in 1 away match, but faced limited attacks.
- Vojvodina overall shots on target per game: 4.3, Radnik away conceded 7 shots on target vs OFK Beograd.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonVojvodina over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
While recent home first halves were goalless, overall trends and H2H history suggest at least one first-half goal is likely.
- Vojvodina first half goals at home: 0 and 0 in two matches, but overall first half goals average 0.9 per game.
- Radnik first half goals conceded average 0.6 per game; away match had 0-0 at half time.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 matches had first half goals (1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-0, 1-0).
- Vojvodina led at half time in 40% of recent matches; Radnik trailed in 27%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data and mixed averages make this a speculative over, with Radnik's away match producing 11 corners but Vojvodina's home games lower.
- Vojvodina home corners average: 3.5 per game (4 vs Macva, 3 vs OFK Beograd).
- Radnik away corners average: 3.0 per game (3 vs OFK Beograd).
- Combined average corners in Vojvodina home games: 7.5; Radnik away games: 11.0.
- H2H corner data unavailable for recent meetings.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a tendency for bookings, especially Radnik, and their away match saw 5 cards alone, making over 4.5 cards likely.
- Vojvodina average yellow cards: 2.0 per game; Radnik average: 3.2 per game.
- Vojvodina home matches: 5 yellows vs Macva, 1 vs OFK Beograd (avg 3.0).
- Radnik away match: 5 yellows vs OFK Beograd.
- Combined average cards in Vojvodina matches: 4.0; Radnik matches: 5.2.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 88% leaves no cushion vs our 85% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

4W · 0D · 1W

W1-4Radnik SurdulicavVojvodinaMay 4, 2026SUP

L3-1Radnik SurdulicavVojvodinaNov 21, 2025SUP

W2-0VojvodinavRadnik SurdulicaJul 20, 2025SUP

W0-4Radnik SurdulicavVojvodinaMar 29, 2024SUP

W3-0VojvodinavRadnik SurdulicaOct 22, 2023SUP

Vojvodina: 3 clean sheets3.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Vojvodina Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	3	2	0	1	7-3	6	WLW
11	Radnik Surdulica Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)	2	0	2	0	1-1	2	DD

4pt gap between teamsRadnik Surdulica in relegation zone

Recent Form

Vojvodina

W2-0MacvaAug 3SUP

L1-4AjaxJul 30UEF

L1-3FK Crvena ZvezdaJul 26SUP

L1-4AjaxJul 23UEF

W4-0OFK BeogradJul 19SUP

L0-3Ferencvarosi TCJul 16UEF

L1-2Ferencvarosi TCJul 9UEF

W3-0Universitatea ClujJul 2FRI

D1-1Ararat-ArmeniaJun 27FRI

L1-2Gyori ETO FCJun 24FRI

W3-0Novi PazarMay 23SUP

W2-1OFK BeogradMay 17SUP

W1-0CukarickiMay 8SUP

W4-1Radnik SurdulicaMay 4SUP

W2-1GrafičarApr 29CUP

Radnik Surdulica

D0-0OFK BeogradJul 25SUP

D1-1Mladost LucaniJul 19SUP

W1-0Novi PazarJul 9FRI

W3-1Buducnost PodgoricaJul 4FRI

L0-5Levski SofiaJun 30FRI

L0-5FK PartizanMay 23SUP

D0-0FK Crvena ZvezdaMay 17SUP

D1-1Železničar PančevoMay 9SUP

L1-4VojvodinaMay 4SUP

D1-1OFK BeogradApr 26SUP

W2-0Novi PazarApr 22SUP

D2-2CukarickiApr 18SUP

D0-0OFK BeogradApr 9SUP

L1-2FK Crvena ZvezdaApr 5SUP

W3-1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVMar 20SUP

Squad & Injuries

Vojvodina

31 available

Attackers10

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Radnik Surdulica

28 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Over 1.5

Over 4.5

Vojvodina

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Vojvodina or Draw

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Vojvodina

Radnik Surdulica

Squad & Injuries

Vojvodina

Radnik Surdulica