FC Nordsjaelland0Odense BK0

HT 0–0Fri 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–847%

Edges5–183%

PossPossession 57%–43%ShotsShots 21–10On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 9–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 4 Oct 2026, 23:49 · Europe/Bucharest

Can Nordsjaelland's perfect home record survive an Odense side that has won two of its last three league visits to Nordsjaelland?

The home side look the likelier winners, but 1.48 is short and 1.15 for Nordsjaelland or a draw is thinner still. The prices that hold up: both teams not to score at 2.4, under 2.5 goals at 2.8, no goals in the first half at 3.8, and the half-time draw at 2.7.

Context

Nordsjaelland's home form has been the backbone of their season so far.
Conceding once in seven home games means Odense will have to be efficient with whatever they create, while 2.71 goals per home match points to a steady supply of chances at the other end. The sample covers 30 July to 13 September 2026 and says nothing about how any single game will go.
- Nordsjaelland won all seven tracked home matches between 30 July and 13 September 2026.
- They averaged 2.71 goals scored and 0.14 conceded per home match, with six clean sheets in seven.
- They scored in all seven home matches and conceded in only one of them.
Odense's away games have usually been competitive without ever being locked down.
They have scored in five of the seven, so the threat is real, but conceding at least once in every away match puts the burden on their attack to keep pace with a Nordsjaelland side that scores regularly at home. The window runs from 24 July to 13 September 2026 and includes cup as well as league trips.
- Odense's tracked away record is three wins, two draws and two defeats in seven matches between 24 July and 13 September 2026.
- They averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per away match, with no clean sheets in seven.
- Both teams scored in five of those seven away matches.
The one recent result that sits awkwardly against Nordsjaelland's home record came on their travels.
It shows the defence can be opened up heavily when the setting is not their own ground, and it is the freshest competitive evidence about the side. It is a single away match, so it does not cancel out seven home wins, but it gives Odense something to work with.
- Nordsjaelland lost 1-4 at Viborg on 20 September 2026 in the Superliga.
- They trailed 1-3 at half-time.
- They recorded two shots on target to Viborg's six, and 14 shots to Viborg's 20.
Odense's 4-2 win at Nordsjaelland on the 14th matchday of the 2025/26 Superliga came with a Jay-Roy Grot hat-trick and a further Owusu goal, while the hosts answered through Røjkjaer and Prince Junior. It supplies the clearest recent picture of this pairing, in which the away side scored four times on Nordsjaelland's ground and took the points. The limitation is that it dates from the previous season, so the line-ups and form behind the scoreline may have changed; it reads as head-to-head colour rather than a reliable guide to the current sides.
- Odense won 4-2 away to Nordsjaelland on the 14th matchday of the 2025/26 Superliga.
- Jay-Roy Grot scored a hat-trick, with goals in the 49th, 78th and 89th minutes.
- Leeroy Owusu also scored for Odense, while Nicklas Røjkjaer and Prince Junior scored for Nordsjaelland.
ConfirmedSources checked 4 Oct 2026, 23:47 · Europe/BucharestNordsjaelland 2-4 Odense match tickerwww.kicker.de · 2 Nov 2025

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Nordsjaelland have won every home match in the sample while barely conceding, and Odense's away league record is modest.
- Nordsjaelland have won all 7 home matches in the tracked sample, scoring 2.71 and conceding 0.14 per game.
- Their league home record is 4 wins from 4 with 7 scored and 1 conceded.
- Odense's league away record is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 5 scored and 6 conceded.
- Odense sit 9th with 9 points from 9 league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFC NordsjaellandEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland start games on the front foot at home, while Odense's first-half scoring is modest.
- Nordsjaelland average 1.07 first-half goals and concede 0.50; at home that is 1.14 scored and none conceded.
- Odense average 0.64 first-half goals and 0.55 against.
- Nordsjaelland led at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFC NordsjaellandEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland are much stronger after the break, scoring heavily at home while Odense fade late in games.
- Nordsjaelland average 1.29 second-half goals and concede 0.29; at home it is 1.57 scored and 0.14 conceded.
- Odense average 0.45 second-half goals and concede 0.91.
- Odense conceded 3 second-half goals at Copenhagen and 1 at Viborg in September 2026.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostFC NordsjaellandEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Nordsjaelland have won every home match in the sample while barely conceding, and Odense's away league record is modest. Odense have drawn a fair share of away games, but Nordsjaelland's home record shows they seldom drop points there.
- Nordsjaelland have won all 7 home matches in the tracked sample, scoring 2.71 and conceding 0.14 per game.
- Their league home record is 4 wins from 4 with 7 scored and 1 conceded.
- Odense have drawn 3 of 11 competitive matches and 2 of their 5 away league games.
- Nordsjaelland have drawn only 1 of 14 competitive matches in the tracked sample.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFC Nordsjaelland or DrawEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland start games on the front foot at home, while Odense's first-half scoring is modest. Both sides have often reached the break without a lead, and first-half scoring on both sides is around one goal.
- Nordsjaelland average 1.07 first-half goals and concede 0.50; at home that is 1.14 scored and none conceded.
- Odense average 0.64 first-half goals and 0.55 against.
- Nordsjaelland were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches; Odense in 1 of 6.
- Nordsjaelland average 1.07 first-half goals for and 0.50 against; Odense 0.64 and 0.55.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonFC Nordsjaelland or DrawEstimated chance82%

Goals4 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches sit close to three goals on average, and Nordsjaelland score heavily at home.
- Nordsjaelland's 14 competitive matches average 3.14 total goals.
- Nordsjaelland home matches average 2.86 total goals in the tracked sample.
- Odense's 11 competitive matches average 2.55 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40
The read
Nordsjaelland's home defence has been almost untouched, and only four of their fourteen matches had goals at both ends.
- Nordsjaelland kept clean sheets in 9 of 14 competitive matches and 6 of 7 at home.
- Both teams scored in only 4 of Nordsjaelland's 14 matches.
- Odense failed to score in 3 of 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland have scored at least twice in most home games and Odense concede regularly on the road.
- Nordsjaelland average 2.71 goals per home match and scored in all 7 home matches tracked.
- They scored 7 goals in 4 league home games.
- Odense conceded 6 goals in 5 away league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostFC Nordsjaelland over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Odense's away scoring rate is modest and Nordsjaelland have barely conceded at home.
- Odense's 7 away matches produced 9 goals, 1.29 per game.
- Odense's league away record is 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 5 scored in 5.
- Nordsjaelland conceded 1 goal in 7 home matches, 0.14 per game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonOdense BK under 1.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland have shut out six of seven home opponents and conceded once at home in the league.
- Nordsjaelland kept clean sheets in 6 of 7 home matches and 9 of 14 competitive matches.
- They conceded 1 goal in 4 league home games.
- Odense failed to score in 3 of 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOdense BK not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland have scored in every home game in the sample and Odense have not shut anyone out away from home.
- Nordsjaelland scored in all 7 home matches and 13 of 14 competitive matches.
- Odense kept no clean sheet in 7 away matches.
- Odense conceded 1.14 goals per away match in the tracked sample.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostFC Nordsjaelland to scoreEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Odense carry a real scoring threat on the road, and Nordsjaelland do not win every game at home.
- Odense scored in 5 of 7 away matches and in both of the last two head-to-head meetings.
- Odense won the last meeting at this ground 4-2.
- Nordsjaelland do not win every match, and any draw or defeat counts here.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring averages point to roughly one goal before the break.
- Nordsjaelland average 1.07 first-half goals and their opponents 0.50.
- Odense average 0.64 first-half goals and 0.55 against.
- Only 3 of the last 12 combined matches involving these teams reached half-time 0-0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland's low corner counts pull the combined expectation close to the line.
- Nordsjaelland's 13 matches with corner data average 8.4 total corners.
- Nordsjaelland's last five matches produced 9, 6, 7, 2 and 9 corners.
- Odense's matches average 12.4 total corners across 9 games with data.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 11.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shot averages for both teams sit below the line, with Nordsjaelland's matches landing around thirty-two.
- Nordsjaelland's matches average 32.1 total shots across 13 games.
- Odense's matches average 29.0 total shots across 9 games.
- Nordsjaelland's last five matches produced 34, 31, 32, 31 and 31 shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 33.5Estimated chance60%