Landvetter IS3Torslanda IK1

HT 1–0Fri 25 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions15–0100%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Sep 2026, 16:26 · Europe/Bucharest

The table's best team hosts a mid-table side, but Torslanda score in almost every game and Landvetter have kept one clean sheet in their last six.

Landvetter should still win — they took the April meeting 4-1 and are 9-0-2 at home — yet 1.5 for that win asks too much, and 1.95 for them to lead at half-time does too. Under 2.5 goals at 2.63 is the one price worth backing.

Context

This is the only 2026 meeting on record and the clearest single result separating the sides — Landvetter scored four away from home against the team they now host. The two 2022 meetings were far tighter, a 2-2 draw at Torslanda and a 2-1 Landvetter win at home, so the fixture has not always been one-sided. It supports Landvetter as the stronger team while showing Torslanda have taken points off them before.
- 2 April 2026: Torslanda 1-4 Landvetter IS (Division 2 Västra Götaland).
- 12 August 2022: Torslanda 2-2 Landvetter IS.
- 22 April 2022: Landvetter IS 2-1 Torslanda.
The standings as of 23 September 2026 put Landvetter first on 48 points and Torslanda 11th on 25, and the draw columns of these two venue records run in opposite directions. Landvetter have either won or lost every home league game this season, so a draw would be out of character for them. Torslanda have drawn five of 11 on the road and lost only four, which makes a share of the points the likeliest way they take anything from this game.
- Standings to 23 September 2026: Landvetter 22 games, 15W-3D-4L, home 9W-0D-2L (11 games, 19 scored, 8 conceded).
- Torslanda 22 games, 6W-7D-9L, away 2W-5D-4L (11 games, 19 scored, 19 conceded).
Scoring often while shutting out almost nobody shapes the goals side of this fixture more than league position does. Across those 15 matches Torslanda average 1.67 goals scored and 1.93 conceded, with a 3W-4D-8L record. It argues against a comfortable Landvetter clean sheet and supports the expectation that Torslanda score at least once even in a game they are expected to lose.
- Tracked window 14 May to 18 September 2026: 15 competitive matches, 3W-4D-8L, scored in 14, conceded in 14, both teams scored in 13, one clean sheet.
- Averages across the same 15 matches: 1.67 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game.
This is the sharpest counterweight to Landvetter's 9W-0D-2L home league record, since it is one of only two home defeats and it came in a game they controlled at the break. It shows the home defence can be opened up late, which matters against a Torslanda side that scores in nearly every match. One result does not overturn a season, but it is the reason a straightforward home win carries some risk.
- 4 September 2026: Landvetter IS 3-4 Kongahälla (Division 2 Västra Götaland), half-time 2-0.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.22fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 82%

−2.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches almost always contain a first-half goal, making a goalless first half unlikely.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Landvetter IS

1.50fair 1.64

BetBugs 61% · Market 66.7%

−5.7ppshort

The league leaders have been dominant at home and have already won comfortably at Torslanda this season.

First Half WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Landvetter IS

1.95fair 2.04

BetBugs 49% · Market 51.3%

−2.3ppshort

Landvetter start home games strongly while Torslanda have been conceding early on the road.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
The league leaders have been dominant at home and have already won comfortably at Torslanda this season.
- Landvetter are 1st on 48 points from 22 (15W-3D-4L, 38 scored, 18 conceded); Torslanda are 11th on 25 (6W-7D-9L, 36 scored, 39 conceded).
- Landvetter's home league record is 9W-0D-2L with 19 scored and 8 conceded in 11 games.
- Torslanda are 2W-5D-4L away, 19 scored and 19 conceded in 11 games.
- Landvetter won the April 2026 meeting 4-1 at Torslanda.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLandvetter ISEstimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.95
The read
Landvetter start home games strongly while Torslanda have been conceding early on the road.
- Landvetter concede 0.125 first-half goals per home match (1 in 8).
- Torslanda concede 1.43 first-half goals per away match.
- Torslanda conceded three first-half goals at Böljan and three at Qviding.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonLandvetter ISEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landvetter are the stronger side overall, though the second-half numbers for both teams at these venues are close to even.
- Landvetter average 0.88 second-half goals at home and 0.75 conceded.
- Torslanda average 1.0 second-half goals away and concede 0.57.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonLandvetter ISEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The league leaders have been dominant at home and have already won comfortably at Torslanda this season. Torslanda's away season has produced plenty of draws, so a share of the points is possible if they defend better than in recent weeks.
- Landvetter are 1st on 48 points from 22 (15W-3D-4L, 38 scored, 18 conceded); Torslanda are 11th on 25 (6W-7D-9L, 36 scored, 39 conceded).
- Landvetter's home league record is 9W-0D-2L with 19 scored and 8 conceded in 11 games.
- Torslanda have drawn 5 of their 11 away league matches.
- Landvetter have drawn none of their 11 home league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLandvetter IS or DrawEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter start home games strongly while Torslanda have been conceding early on the road. Both teams' first-half scoring rates sit below one goal per game, so a level first half is plausible.
- Landvetter concede 0.125 first-half goals per home match (1 in 8).
- Torslanda concede 1.43 first-half goals per away match.
- Landvetter average 0.88 first-half goals at home; Torslanda average 0.86 away.
- Landvetter conceded only one first-half goal in eight tracked home matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonLandvetter IS or DrawEstimated chance82%

Goals10 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have produced goals regularly, with Torslanda conceding two or more in five of their last six.
- Landvetter home league games average 2.45 goals (19 for, 8 against in 11).
- Torslanda away league games average 3.45 goals (19 for, 19 against in 11).
- Torslanda's six listed recent matches produced 28 goals.
- Landvetter's most recent home match was a 3-4 defeat to Kongahälla.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda find the net consistently and Landvetter have conceded in most of their recent games.
- Torslanda scored in all six of their most recent listed matches.
- Both teams scored in 13 of Torslanda's 15 league matches.
- Landvetter have conceded in five of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter have scored at least twice in each of their recent home games and face an away defence conceding regularly.
- Landvetter scored 19 goals in 11 home league games.
- They scored two or more in each of their last three home league matches (3, 2, 2).
- Torslanda conceded 19 goals in 11 away league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonLandvetter IS over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's home defence has conceded few goals, which limits Torslanda to at most one.
- Landvetter conceded 0.5 goals per home match in the tracked venue window (4 in 8).
- Landvetter kept clean sheets in four of eight home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonTorslanda IK under 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda's record of scoring in almost every match makes a Landvetter clean sheet less likely than not.
- Torslanda scored in each of their last six matches.
- Both teams scored in 13 of Torslanda's 15 league matches.
- Landvetter conceded four goals at home to Kongahälla on 4 September.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonTorslanda IK to scoreEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's home scoring rate and Torslanda's poor shutout record point to the away side conceding.
- Landvetter scored 19 in 11 home league games and 2 or more in each of their last three at home.
- Torslanda kept one clean sheet in 15 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLandvetter IS to scoreEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda's habit of scoring means a Landvetter win with a clean sheet is the less likely outcome.
- Torslanda have scored in each of their last six matches.
- Landvetter lost 3-4 at home to Kongahälla on 4 September.
- Both teams scored in 13 of Torslanda's 15 league matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams' recent matches almost always contain a first-half goal, making a goalless first half unlikely.
- Landvetter average 0.88 first-half goals at home and 0.125 conceded.
- Torslanda's away matches average 0.86 first-half goals scored and 1.43 conceded.
- All six of Torslanda's most recent matches had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's strong home first-half defence makes it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Landvetter's tracked home window shows one first-half goal conceded in eight matches.
- Torslanda have scored in the first half in two of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half goal rates for both teams sit just above one and a half, and Torslanda's recent games have been busy after the break.
- Landvetter's home second halves average 1.63 goals (0.88 for, 0.75 against).
- Torslanda's away second halves average 1.57 goals (1.0 for, 0.57 against).
- All six of Torslanda's most recent matches produced at least two second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance51%