Super LigaFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Vojvodina1FK IMT1

HT 1–0Sat 19 Sept 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 8–14On targetOn target 2–2CornersCorners 1–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Sep 2026, 21:20 · Europe/Bucharest

Vojvodina are strong favourites at home, but the odds offer no value on a win or double chance.

The clearest market inefficiency is the first-half over 0.5 goals line, which is priced far too short (implied 80% vs model 65%) and should be avoided.

Context

Vojvodina sit second in the Super Liga with 21 points, one behind leaders FK Crvena Zvezda. They have won all five home matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding only two.
IMT Novi Beograd are fourth with 14 points and have been competitive on the road, winning two, drawing one, and losing two of five away games. This match pits Vojvodina's strong home form against an IMT side that has already beaten FK Partizan away and drawn with OFK Beograd. The contrast suggests Vojvodina's home advantage may be tested, though their defensive record at home is notably strong.
- Vojvodina home record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 11 goals for, 2 against.
- IMT away record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 5 goals for, 5 against.
- Vojvodina's last home league win was 2-1 against Zemun on 2026-09-06.
- IMT's last away league result was a 1-1 draw at OFK Beograd on 2026-09-07.
The last three Super Liga meetings between these teams have produced two IMT wins and one draw.
IMT won 3-1 at Vojvodina on 2025-11-02 and 1-0 on 2025-02-22, then drew 0-0 at home on 2026-04-04. This recent head-to-head record suggests IMT have found a way to frustrate Vojvodina, particularly away from home. However, Vojvodina's current home form is much stronger than in those previous encounters.
- 2026-04-04: IMT 0-0 Vojvodina (Super Liga).
- 2025-11-02: Vojvodina 1-3 IMT (Super Liga).
- 2025-02-22: Vojvodina 0-1 IMT (Super Liga).
Vojvodina head coach Marko Savić has already moved on from the 3-2 win at Partizan on 13 September and started preparing for IMT.
Savić's immediate focus on IMT supports a fully competitive approach rather than a lower-priority reset after the derby. The team's preparation is therefore likely to be normal and detailed for this league fixture.
- Vojvodina beat Partizan 3-2 in Super Liga round 9 on 13 September.
- Savić said the team had already begun preparing for IMT.
- Savić said it was important for Vojvodina to perform well consistently.
ConfirmedSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 21:19 · Europe/BucharestDnevnik: Savić after the Partizan winwww.dnevnik.rs · 13 Sep 2026
Vojvodina's home scoring record is the best in the league among teams with five home games.
They have scored at least two goals in four of their five home matches, including a 4-0 win over OFK Beograd and a 2-1 win over Zemun. IMT's away defence has conceded five goals in five games, so Vojvodina's attacking output could be a key factor. However, IMT have kept two clean sheets away from home this season.
- Vojvodina home goals: 11 in 5 matches (2.2 per game).
- Vojvodina 4-0 OFK Beograd on 2026-07-19.
- Vojvodina 2-1 Zemun on 2026-09-06.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Vojvodina

1.60fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Vojvodina's perfect home record and superior overall form make them clear favourites, but the odds already reflect that.

1 St Half ResultwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Vojvodina

2.05fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 48.8%

0.0ppshort

Vojvodina's home advantage and IMT's tendency to trail at half-time give Vojvodina a slight edge to lead at the break.

HT/FTlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Vojvodina at half-time / Vojvodina at full-time

2.38fair 2.50

BetBugs 40% · Market 42%

0.0ppshort

Vojvodina's overall dominance and IMT's poor first-half record make a Vojvodina lead at half-time and full-time plausible.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.57fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Vojvodina's high-scoring home games and overall attacking output suggest a good chance of at least three goals, though IMT's solid defense may keep it close.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.67fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Vojvodina's occasional defensive lapses make it likely IMT will find the net.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Vojvodina's tendency to score early, especially at home, makes a first-half goal likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's perfect home record and superior overall form, combined with their strong home scoring, make them clear favourites despite IMT's recent H2H success.
- Vojvodina home record: 5 wins in 5, 11 goals scored, 2 conceded.
- Vojvodina overall: 7 wins, 2 losses, 20 goals scored, 9 conceded.
- IMT away record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 5 goals scored, 5 conceded.
- H2H last 5: Vojvodina 2 wins, IMT 2 wins, 1 draw; but Vojvodina won last home meeting 3-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVojvodinaEstimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's dominant home form and IMT's inconsistent away performances make a Vojvodina win or draw highly likely.
- Vojvodina home record: 5 wins in 5, no draws.
- IMT away record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses.
- Vojvodina overall: 7 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses.
- IMT overall: 4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonVojvodina or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's home advantage and IMT's tendency to trail at half-time give Vojvodina a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Vojvodina led at half-time in 20% of matches (2 of 10).
- IMT trailed at half-time in 53% of matches (5 of 9).
- Vojvodina first half goals: 0.8 per match.
- IMT first half goals conceded: 0.5 per match.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonVojvodinaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's overall dominance and IMT's poor first-half record make a Vojvodina lead at half-time and full-time plausible.
- Vojvodina led at half-time in 20% of matches.
- Vojvodina won 7 of 9 league matches.
- IMT trailed at half-time in 53% of matches.
- IMT lost 3 of 9 league matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostVojvodina/VojvodinaEstimated chance40%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's high-scoring home games and overall attacking output suggest a good chance of at least three goals, though IMT's solid defense may keep it close.
- Vojvodina home matches average 2.6 total goals (11 scored, 2 conceded in 5).
- IMT away matches average 2.0 total goals (5 scored, 5 conceded in 5).
- Vojvodina overall average 3.2 total goals per match (20 scored, 9 conceded in 9).
- IMT overall average 1.9 total goals per match (11 scored, 6 conceded in 9).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Vojvodina's occasional defensive lapses make it likely IMT will find the net.
- Vojvodina scored in 8 of 9 league matches.
- IMT scored in 7 of 9 league matches.
- Vojvodina conceded in 6 of 9 league matches.
- IMT conceded in 5 of 9 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
IMT's ability to score away from home and Vojvodina's occasional defensive vulnerability make a home clean sheet less likely.
- Vojvodina kept clean sheets in 3 of 5 home matches.
- IMT failed to score in only 2 of 9 league matches.
- IMT scored in 3 of 5 away matches.
- Vojvodina conceded in 2 of 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFK IMT to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's tendency to score early, especially at home, makes a first-half goal likely.
- Vojvodina first half goals: 0.8 per match average.
- IMT first half goals conceded: 0.5 per match average.
- Vojvodina scored in first half in 5 of 9 league matches.
- IMT conceded in first half in 5 of 9 league matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vojvodina's stronger second-half scoring and IMT's occasional defensive lapses suggest a moderate chance of multiple second-half goals.
- Vojvodina second half goals: 1.0 per match average (total 1.8 - first half 0.8).
- IMT second half goals conceded: 0.4 per match average (total 0.9 - first half 0.5).
- Vojvodina scored in second half in 6 of 9 league matches.
- IMT conceded in second half in 4 of 9 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average suggests a close call around the 9.5 line.
- Vojvodina average corners: 4.3 per match.
- IMT average corners: 5.2 per match.
- Vojvodina opponent corners average: 5.3 per match.
- IMT opponent corners average: 3.3 per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 5 shots on target, and the combined expected total slightly exceeds 8.5.
- Vojvodina average shots on target: 5.7 per match.
- IMT average shots on target: 5.3 per match.
- Vojvodina opponent shots on target average: 4.5 per match.
- IMT opponent shots on target average: 3.1 per match.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average yellow cards for both teams is around 4.2, making the over/under 4.5 a coin flip.
- Vojvodina average yellow cards: 2.4 per match.
- IMT average yellow cards: 1.8 per match.
- Vojvodina opponent yellow cards average: 2.5 per match.
- IMT opponent yellow cards average: 2.1 per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 22.2% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 23%; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D0-0IMT Novi BeogradvVojvodinaApr 4, 2026SUP

L1-3VojvodinavIMT Novi BeogradNov 2, 2025SUP

L0-1VojvodinavIMT Novi BeogradFeb 22, 2025SUP

W0-3IMT Novi BeogradvVojvodinaSep 22, 2024SUP

W1-3IMT Novi BeogradvVojvodinaMar 12, 2024SUP

Vojvodina: 2 clean sheetsFK IMT: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Vojvodina Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	9	7	0	2	20-9	21	WWWWL
4	FK IMT Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	9	4	2	3	11-6	14	LDWLD