Ajax55 – 1Willem II1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's superior form, attacking output, and Willem II's relegation struggles make a home win highly likely.

• Ajax average 2.9 goals per match over last 15, Willem II concede 1.5 per match.
• Ajax have won 3 of last 5 Eredivisie matches, Willem II have lost 3 of last 5.
• Willem II are 17th with 2 points from 5 games, Ajax are 5th with 10 points.
• Ajax have won 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAjaxEstimated chance78%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's strong form and H2H dominance make a Willem II win very unlikely.

• Ajax have not lost at home to Willem II in last 5 H2H meetings.
• Ajax are unbeaten in 4 of last 5 matches overall.
• Willem II have not won any of their last 5 matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonAjax or DrawEstimated chance92%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's early dominance and Willem II's slow starts make a first-half lead likely.

• Ajax led at half-time in 67% of recent matches.
• Willem II trailed at half-time in 33% of recent matches.
• Ajax average 1.3 first-half goals, Willem II average 0.5 first-half goals.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAjaxEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Ajax's ability to lead early and maintain control supports a half-time/full-time double.

• Ajax led at half-time in 67% of recent matches and won 60% of those matches.
• Willem II have not won any match this season.
• Ajax have won 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonAjax/AjaxEstimated chance50%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's high-scoring attack and Willem II's leaky defense point to multiple goals.

• Ajax average 2.9 goals scored per match, Willem II concede 1.5 per match.
• Ajax's last 5 matches have seen 4, 4, 4, 8, and 6 total goals.
• Willem II's last 5 matches have seen 2, 3, 4, 5, and 5 total goals.
• Ajax average 22.9 shots per match, Willem II allow 11.3 shots per match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's strong first-half scoring and Willem II's tendency to concede early support first-half goals.

• Ajax average 1.3 first-half goals per match.
• Willem II concede 0.6 first-half goals per match.
• Ajax led at half-time in 67% of recent matches.
• Willem II trailed at half-time in 33% of recent matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's attacking depth and Willem II's defensive fatigue should produce second-half goals.

• Ajax score 1.6 goals per second half on average.
• Willem II concede 0.9 goals per second half on average.
• Ajax's last 5 matches have averaged 2.4 second-half goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's attacking style and Willem II's defensive posture should generate a high corner count.

• Ajax average 8 corners per match, Willem II average 4.7 corners per match.
• Ajax's last 5 matches have averaged 10.2 total corners.
• Willem II's last 5 matches have averaged 9.4 total corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's high shot volume and Willem II's defensive weakness should lead to many shots on target.

• Ajax average 8.8 shots on target per match.
• Willem II allow 3.2 shots on target per match.
• Ajax's last 5 matches have averaged 10.4 shots on target.