Primera DivisiónFull time

Predictions graded

Zamora Barinas1Trujillanos2

HT 0–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–645%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 17:00 · Europe/Bucharest

Zamora Barinas are strong favorites at home against a struggling Trujillanos side, with the double chance (Zamora or Draw) offering the highest confidence value at 80% estimated probability.

The Over 2.5 goals market also presents a solid edge at 60% probability against 47.6% implied, while the first-half Over 0.5 should be avoided due to negative value.

Context

Trujillanos have won only 2 of 21 league matches this season and have a goal difference of -22.
They are 14 points behind Zamora Barinas, who are 10th with 25 points. Trujillanos need points to climb out of the relegation zone, but their away record is poor: they have not won away in the Clausura, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 4 away matches. This match is an opportunity to improve, but their recent form is weak, with losses in their last two league games.
- Trujillanos are 14th in the annual table with 11 points from 21 matches, 14 points behind Zamora Barinas.
- Trujillanos have lost 14 of 21 league matches and have a goal difference of -22.
- In the Clausura away record, Trujillanos have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 4 away matches.
Zamora Barinas are 10th in the annual table with 25 points, but their home form has been inconsistent.
In their last three home league matches, they lost 5-2 to Deportivo Tachira on September 2, won 2-0 against UCV on August 22, and lost 1-0 to Puerto Cabello on August 9. They have conceded 7 goals in those three home games, which suggests defensive issues at home. However, they did win their most recent home match in the Copa Venezuela 5-0 against Real Frontera on August 26, so they can score goals.
- Zamora Barinas lost 5-2 at home to Deportivo Tachira on September 2, 2026.
- Zamora Barinas lost 1-0 at home to Puerto Cabello on August 9, 2026.
- Zamora Barinas won 2-0 at home against UCV on August 22, 2026.
Trujillanos' latest league match against Caracas produced their clearest chance from a second-post corner.
Zamora's defensive setup on corners will need to account for that delivery, especially with Christian Santos attacking the second post. The sample is limited to one recent match, but it identifies a specific route that can affect marking assignments.
- Liga FUTVE reported that a corner was delivered to the second post for Christian Santos.
- Santos won the aerial duel, but goalkeeper Frankarlos Benítez saved the header.
- The match finished Trujillanos 0-1 Caracas in Clausura matchday eight.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 16:59 · Europe/BucharestLiga FUTVE match report: Caracas beat Trujillanosligafutve.org · 7 Sep 2026
Trujillanos are struggling overall, but their away form is particularly weak.
In the Clausura, they have scored only 1 goal in 4 away matches and conceded 7. Their most recent away league match was a 4-1 loss to Metropolitanos on September 3. This suggests they struggle to create chances and defend on the road, which could be a problem against Zamora Barinas.
- Trujillanos have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 4 away matches in the Clausura.
- Trujillanos lost 4-1 away to Metropolitanos on September 3, 2026.
- Trujillanos have scored 1 goal and conceded 7 in those 4 away matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zamora Barinas' superior attacking output and Trujillanos' poor season-long form give the home side a clear edge.
- Zamora Barinas average 1.6 goals scored per match over last 15, while Trujillanos average 0.7.
- Trujillanos have lost 14 of 21 league matches this season and sit in the relegation zone.
- Zamora Barinas won the most recent H2H 3-0 away in March 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostZamora BarinasEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Trujillanos' inability to win consistently makes Zamora Barinas or Draw a very safe outcome.
- Zamora Barinas have drawn 7 of 21 league matches, showing resilience.
- Trujillanos have only 2 wins in 21 league matches.
- Zamora Barinas are 14 points ahead of Trujillanos in the overall table.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostZamora Barinas or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zamora Barinas' stronger first-half scoring record gives them an edge to lead at the break.
- Zamora Barinas led at half-time in 33% of their last 15 matches.
- Trujillanos trailed at half-time in 27% of their last 15 matches.
- Zamora Barinas average 0.9 first-half goals compared to Trujillanos' 0.3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostZamora BarinasEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A Zamora Barinas lead at half-time and full-time is possible given Trujillanos' poor form.
- Zamora Barinas have won 6 of 21 league matches this season.
- Trujillanos have lost 14 of 21 league matches.
- Zamora Barinas won the most recent H2H 3-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostZamora Barinas/Zamora BarinasEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zamora Barinas' ability to score in both halves could see them win each half against a struggling Trujillanos.
- Zamora Barinas have scored in both halves in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Trujillanos have conceded in both halves in 5 of their last 15 matches.
- Zamora Barinas average 0.9 first-half and 0.7 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostZamora BarinasEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zamora Barinas are unlikely to lose the first half given Trujillanos' poor first-half scoring.
- Zamora Barinas led at half-time in 33% and drew at half-time in 40% of recent matches.
- Trujillanos trailed at half-time in only 27% of recent matches.
- Trujillanos' first-half goal average is just 0.3.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonZamora Barinas or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent defensive vulnerabilities and Zamora's attacking threat support a higher-scoring game.
- Zamora Barinas average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match over last 15.
- Trujillanos average 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match over last 15.
- Combined average goals per match across both teams is 3.0.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown they can score while also conceding regularly, making BTTS a plausible outcome.
- Zamora Barinas have conceded in 10 of their last 15 matches.
- Trujillanos have scored in 8 of their last 15 matches.
- Trujillanos' away form shows they have scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zamora Barinas' tendency to start strongly makes a first-half goal likely.
- Zamora Barinas average 0.9 first-half goals per match over last 15.
- Trujillanos average 0.3 first-half goals per match over last 15.
- Zamora Barinas led at half-time in 33% of their recent matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half fatigue and defensive errors could lead to multiple goals after the break.
- Zamora Barinas average 0.7 second-half goals per match (calculated from total and first-half averages).
- Trujillanos average 0.4 second-half goals per match.
- Both teams have shown defensive lapses late in games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Trujillanos' weak first-half attack makes it unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Trujillanos average only 0.3 first-half goals per match.
- Zamora Barinas concede 0.6 first-half goals per match on average.
- Trujillanos have failed to score in the first half in 10 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

W0-3Trujillanos FCvZamora FCMar 22, 2026PRI

L2-1Zamora FCvTrujillanos FCSep 17, 2021PRI

W0-5Trujillanos FCvZamora FCJul 29, 2021PRI

L6-0Zamora FCvTrujillanos FCJun 11, 2021PRI

W0-4Trujillanos FCvZamora FCApr 23, 2021PRI

Zamora Barinas: 3 clean sheets4.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Zamora Barinas	21	6	7	8	22-29	25	DLDWL
14	Trujillanos Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2	21	2	5	14	16-38	11	LLWDL

14pt gap between teamsTrujillanos in relegation zone

Recent Form

Zamora Barinas

W2-0Real FronteraSep 9COP

D1-1Portuguesa FCSep 5PRI

L2-5Deportivo Tachira FCSep 2PRI

D0-0Carabobo FCAug 30PRI

W5-0Real FronteraAug 26COP

W2-0UCVAug 22PRI

L1-3Club Atletico BarinasAug 19COP

L1-6Deportivo La GuairaAug 16PRI

L0-1Puerto CabelloAug 9PRI

L0-1Estudiantes de Merida FCAug 6PRI

W2-1Rayo ZulianoAug 2PRI

W6-1Atletico el Vigia FCJun 24COP

D1-1Anzoátegui FCApr 25PRI

D1-1Caracas FCApr 20PRI

D0-0Metropolitanos FCApr 11PRI

Trujillanos

L1-2Deportivo LaraSep 10COP

L0-1Caracas FCSep 6PRI

L1-4Metropolitanos FCSep 3PRI

W3-1Monagas SCAug 30PRI

D0-0Deportivo LaraAug 26COP

D0-0Anzoátegui FCAug 21PRI

D2-2Urena SCAug 18COP

L0-1Portuguesa FCAug 15PRI

L1-3Deportivo Tachira FCAug 9PRI

L0-2Carabobo FCAug 4PRI

W2-0UCVAug 1PRI

D0-0Rayo ZulianoJun 24COP

L0-1Deportivo La GuairaApr 25PRI

L1-3Puerto CabelloApr 21PRI

L0-2Estudiantes de Merida FCApr 12PRI

Squad & Injuries

Zamora Barinas

35 available

Attackers16

Midfielders6

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Trujillanos

35 available

Attackers9

Midfielders14

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Zamora Barinas

Zamora Barinas or Draw

Zamora Barinas or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result1 of 6 landed

Goals4 of 5 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Zamora Barinas

Trujillanos

Squad & Injuries

Zamora Barinas

Trujillanos