Primera DivisiónFull time

Predictions graded

Zamora Barinas2Deportivo Tachira5

HT 0–1Wed 2 Sept 2026, 20:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–283%

Edges6–186%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Sep 2026, 22:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Deportivo Tachira are slight favorites but the market overprices them; the only positive edge is Both Teams to Score 'Yes' at +1.8 points, though it's thin.

Expect a low-scoring, competitive match with Under 2.5 goals likely, but avoid the overpriced Over 2.5 and second-half goals markets.

Context

Deportivo Tachira has 24 points from 13 matches and is in the promotion places. Zamora Barinas has 17 points and is mid-table.
The seven-point gap means Deportivo Tachira needs points to stay in the promotion race, while Zamora Barinas has less immediate pressure. This could affect how each team approaches the match, with the away side likely to push for a win.
- Deportivo Tachira is 3rd with 24 points from 13 matches.
- Zamora Barinas is 9th with 17 points from 13 matches.
- Deportivo Tachira's description is 'Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)'.
Deportivo Tachira defender G. Fratta has started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
His return from suspension restores a defensive selection option for the visit to Barinas. The club lists him among the players who travelled, so he is available again after completing a one-match ban.
- Deportivo Táchira’s September 2 preview says Guillermo Fratta returns to the call-up after completing a one-match suspension.
- The club lists Fratta among the players who travelled to Barinas.
- G. Fratta started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 22:32 · Europe/BucharestDeportivo Táchira FC previewdeportivotachira.com · 2 Sep 2026
Zamora Barinas' home record in the Apertura is 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss from 6 matches.
Their home form is not strong, which could give Deportivo Tachira confidence. However, Zamora Barinas did win their last home league match 2-0 against UCV on August 22, so they are capable of good results at home.
- Zamora Barinas home record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in 6 matches.
- Zamora Barinas beat UCV 2-0 at home on 2026-08-22.
- Zamora Barinas lost 0-1 at home to Puerto Cabello on 2026-08-09.
Deportivo Tachira attacker H. Ramírez has started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
He remains out with a right-thigh semitendinosus muscle contusion, removing an attacking option from the travelling group. His absence narrows the visitors' forward selection for this match.
- Deportivo Táchira says Heiderber Ramírez remains unavailable because of a semitendinosus muscle contusion in his right thigh.
- H. Ramírez started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 22:32 · Europe/BucharestDeportivo Táchira FC previewdeportivotachira.com · 2 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Deportivo Tachira

2.00fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 50%

0.0ppshort

Deportivo Tachira's stronger away form and unbeaten H2H record give them the edge, though Zamora's home resilience keeps the probability moderate.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Deportivo Tachira

1.48fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 68%

0.0ppshort

Zamora's low home win rate and Deportivo Tachira's solid away form make the away/draw double chance a strong play.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.40fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average over 0.5 first-half goals, making a first-half goal likely.

2 Nd Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.05fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 95.2%

0.0ppshort

Second-half scoring is common for both sides, supporting over 0.5 second-half goals.

1 St Half Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

No

1.35fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 74.1%

0.0ppshort

Low first-half concession rates for both teams make it unlikely both will score before halftime.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Tachira's stronger away form and unbeaten H2H record give them the edge, though Zamora's home resilience keeps the probability moderate.
- Deportivo Tachira away record: 3W 2D 1L in 6, goals 7:5
- Zamora home record: 2W 3D 1L in 6, goals 7:7
- H2H last 5: Deportivo Tachira 2W, 3D, 0L
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDeportivo TachiraEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zamora's low home win rate and Deportivo Tachira's solid away form make the away/draw double chance a strong play.
- Zamora home win rate only 33% (2/6)
- Deportivo Tachira unbeaten in 5 of 6 away matches
- H2H: Deportivo Tachira unbeaten in last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Deportivo TachiraEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half records and H2H often sees level scores at the break, making a first-half draw plausible.
- Zamora leading at half-time in 33% of matches
- Deportivo Tachira leading at half-time in 33% of matches
- H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings were level at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Tachira's superior second-half performance away from home gives them a slight edge to win the second half.
- Deportivo Tachira second-half goal difference: +0.4 per match
- Zamora second-half goal difference: -0.1 per match
- Deportivo Tachira stronger away form in second halves
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDeportivo TachiraEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A first-half draw followed by a Deportivo Tachira win is a plausible HT/FT combination given H2H patterns.
- H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings were draws at half-time
- Deportivo Tachira won 2 of last 5 H2H matches
- Zamora home matches often level at half-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/Deportivo TachiraEstimated chance22%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side shows a strong tendency to win both halves, making 'No' the likely outcome.
- Zamora won both halves in only 1 of 6 home matches
- Deportivo Tachira won both halves in 1 of 6 away matches
- Neither team dominates both halves consistently
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonNoEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Tachira's first-half away form and the high draw probability make the away/draw double chance in the first half attractive.
- Zamora first-half win rate: 33%
- Deportivo Tachira first-half win rate: 33%
- Draw probability in first half: 34%
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Deportivo TachiraEstimated chance60%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits and recent H2H suggest a low-scoring contest, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Zamora home matches average 2.33 total goals
- Deportivo Tachira away matches average 2.0 total goals
- H2H last 5: 3 matches had under 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away splits, making BTTS likely.
- Zamora scored in 5 of 6 home matches
- Deportivo Tachira scored in 5 of 6 away matches
- H2H: both teams scored in 3 of last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 0.5 first-half goals, making a first-half goal likely.
- Zamora first-half goals: 0.9 per match overall
- Deportivo Tachira first-half goals: 0.7 per match overall
- Combined first-half goal rate suggests a goal before halftime
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is common for both sides, supporting over 0.5 second-half goals.
- Zamora second-half goals: 0.7 per match (1.6 total - 0.9 first half)
- Deportivo Tachira second-half goals: 0.8 per match (1.5 total - 0.7 first half)
- Both teams score regularly in second halves
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low first-half concession rates for both teams make it unlikely both will score before halftime.
- Zamora first-half goals conceded: 0.7 per match
- Deportivo Tachira first-half goals conceded: 0.4 per match
- Both teams rarely concede in first halves
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

L2-1Deportivo Tachira FCvZamora FCMar 15, 2026PRI

D1-1Zamora FCvDeportivo Tachira FCJul 6, 2025PRI

D0-0Deportivo Tachira FCvZamora FCJan 26, 2025PRI

D1-1Deportivo Tachira FCvZamora FCNov 16, 2024PRI

W0-2Zamora FCvDeportivo Tachira FCOct 27, 2024PRI

Zamora Barinas: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Zamora Barinas	13	4	5	4	14-14	17	DDDWW
3	Deportivo Tachira Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)	13	7	3	3	17-12	24	WDLWW

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Zamora Barinas

D0-0Carabobo FCAug 30PRI

W5-0Real FronteraAug 26COP

W2-0UCVAug 22PRI

L1-3Club Atletico BarinasAug 19COP

L1-6Deportivo La GuairaAug 16PRI

L0-1Puerto CabelloAug 9PRI

L0-1Estudiantes de Merida FCAug 6PRI

W2-1Rayo ZulianoAug 2PRI

W6-1Atletico el Vigia FCJun 24COP

D1-1Anzoátegui FCApr 25PRI

D1-1Caracas FCApr 20PRI

D0-0Metropolitanos FCApr 11PRI

W2-1Monagas SCApr 4PRI

W3-0Trujillanos FCMar 22PRI

L0-2Portuguesa FCMar 18PRI

Deportivo Tachira

D0-0Caracas FCAug 30PRI

L1-3Metropolitanos FCAug 22PRI

W3-2Monagas SCAug 16PRI

W3-1Trujillanos FCAug 9PRI

W1-0Portuguesa FCAug 4PRI

W2-1Atletico NacionalJul 18FRI

W1-0Estudiantes de Merida FCMay 31PRI

D1-1Carabobo FCMay 24PRI

W1-0Metropolitanos FCMay 17PRI

D1-1Metropolitanos FCMay 12PRI

W3-1Carabobo FCMay 10PRI

L1-2Estudiantes de Merida FCMay 2PRI

W2-1Carabobo FCApr 25PRI

D1-1UCVApr 19PRI

L2-3Deportivo La GuairaApr 10PRI

Squad & Injuries

Zamora Barinas

35 available

Attackers15

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Deportivo Tachira

35 available

Attackers10

Midfielders10

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3