Silkeborg IF1Viborg FF1

HT 1–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges3–175%

PossPossession 54%–46%ShotsShots 13–10On targetOn target 5–4CornersCorners 4–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 00:56 · Europe/Bucharest

Viborg FF are the likely winners based on form and league position, but the odds (1.80) offer no value — our model gives them only a 42% chance versus the implied 56%.

Avoid the away win and Over 2.5 goals markets; the best actionable takeaway is to stay away from these overpriced favourites and consider live betting or alternative markets.

Context

Viborg FF are 4th in the Superliga with 13 points, while Silkeborg IF are 9th with 6 points.
Viborg FF have won the last three meetings against Silkeborg IF, most recently a 1-0 away win on 2026-02-08. That run includes a 3-2 away win on 2025-08-17 and a 2-1 away win on 2025-05-24. The pattern suggests Viborg FF have found a way to beat Silkeborg IF recently, but the sample is small and the teams have changed since those matches.
- Viborg FF won 1-0 away at Silkeborg IF on 2026-02-08.
- Viborg FF won 3-2 away at Silkeborg IF on 2025-08-17.
- Viborg FF won 2-1 away at Silkeborg IF on 2025-05-24.
Silkeborg attacker Callum McCowatt, who made 111 appearances for the club, has been sold to AGF.
His departure removes an established attacking option and reduces Silkeborg's available cover for chance creation against Viborg. The team will need to rely on other players to fill that role.
- Silkeborg announced on 1 September that it had sold Callum McCowatt to AGF.
- The club said McCowatt had made 111 appearances for Silkeborg.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Sep 2026, 00:55 · Europe/BucharestSilkeborg IF — SIF sælger Callum McCowatt til AGFwww.silkeborgif.com · 1 Sep 2026
Silkeborg IF are 9th in the Superliga with 6 points from 7 matches, while Viborg FF are 4th with 13 points.
Silkeborg IF are currently in the relegation playoff zone, four points behind 7th-placed Randers FC. Their recent form is poor with only one win in their last five league matches. This match is important for Silkeborg IF to close the gap, but Viborg FF are also chasing a top-six playoff spot and will be motivated to win.
- Silkeborg IF are 9th with 6 points, four points behind 7th-placed Randers FC.
- Silkeborg IF have won only one of their last five Superliga matches.
- Viborg FF are 4th with 13 points and are in the playoff places.
Viborg defender Srdjan Kuzmić, who started 4 of the last 5 matches with available lineups, has joined FC Lorient.
His immediate transfer leaves Viborg without a regular defensive starter and narrows their cover for defensive changes in this match. Viborg will need to adjust their back line accordingly.
- Viborg announced on 31 August that Srdjan Kuzmić had joined FC Lorient with immediate effect.
- Viborg said Kuzmić had made 86 appearances for the club.
- S. Kuzmić started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Sep 2026, 00:55 · Europe/BucharestViborg FF — Kuzmic solgt til FC Lorientwww.vff.dk · 31 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Viborg FF

1.80fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

Viborg's superior league position and recent form give them the edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Viborg FF

1.29fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

The double chance is safer but the odds are short, offering no value relative to our estimate.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.50fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams regularly score and concede, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, leaving no value.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to score in the first half, but the odds are too short to offer value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Viborg FF's superior league position, recent form, and positive H2H record give them the edge despite playing away.
- Viborg FF are 4th with 13 points, while Silkeborg IF are 9th with 6 points after 7 matches.
- Viborg FF have won 4 of their last 5 Superliga matches, including a 4-0 home win over FC Copenhagen.
- Silkeborg IF have lost 3 of their last 5 Superliga matches and have only 1 win in 7 league games.
- H2H: Viborg FF have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent 1-0 away win.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostViborg FFEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Silkeborg's poor win rate and Viborg's consistency make a Viborg win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
- Silkeborg IF have drawn 3 of 7 league matches and lost 3, with only 1 win.
- Viborg FF have lost only 2 of 7 league matches, with 4 wins and 1 draw.
- Silkeborg IF's home record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in 3 matches.
- Viborg FF's away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Viborg FFEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Silkeborg's stronger first-half scoring record gives them a slight edge to lead at the break, though overall form is poor.
- Silkeborg IF have led at half-time in 40% of recent matches, compared to Viborg FF's 14%.
- Silkeborg IF average 1.1 first-half goals, while Viborg FF average 0.9.
- Silkeborg IF have scored first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 Superliga matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSilkeborg IFEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Viborg's superior fitness and form may lead to a stronger second half, but this is speculative.
- Viborg FF have a better overall goal difference (+4) than Silkeborg IF (-4).
- Viborg FF have won 4 of their last 5 matches, often scoring late.
- Silkeborg IF have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, with several second-half collapses.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostViborg FFEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Viborg win is a plausible scenario given Viborg's second-half strength and Silkeborg's tendency to fade.
- Silkeborg IF have drawn at half-time in 20% of recent matches.
- Viborg FF have drawn at half-time in 57% of recent matches.
- Viborg FF have won 4 of their last 5 matches overall.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Viborg FFEstimated chance22%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals, and their combined averages suggest a decent chance of over 2.5 goals.
- Silkeborg IF average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match in recent form.
- Viborg FF average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match in recent form.
- Combined average goals per match for both teams is 3.2 in recent form.
- H2H: 3 of the last 5 meetings had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly score and concede, making both teams scoring a likely outcome.
- Silkeborg IF have scored in 6 of their last 7 Superliga matches.
- Viborg FF have scored in 5 of their last 7 Superliga matches.
- Silkeborg IF have conceded in 6 of their last 7 Superliga matches.
- Viborg FF have conceded in 5 of their last 7 Superliga matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, with Silkeborg especially likely to be involved in early goals.
- Silkeborg IF average 1.1 first-half goals per match in recent form.
- Viborg FF average 0.9 first-half goals per match in recent form.
- Silkeborg IF have led at half-time in 40% of recent matches and trailed in 40%.
- Viborg FF have led at half-time in 14% and trailed in 14% of recent matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is less certain, but the combined averages suggest a moderate chance of over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Silkeborg IF average 1.8 total goals per match, with 1.1 in the first half, leaving 0.7 in the second half.
- Viborg FF average 1.4 total goals per match, with 0.9 in the first half, leaving 0.5 in the second half.
- Combined second-half average is approximately 1.2 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average suggests a coin-flip for over 9.5 corners.
- Silkeborg IF average 4.9 corners per match and concede 7.0 opponent corners per match.
- Viborg FF average 4.4 corners per match and concede 5.6 opponent corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match is approximately 10.5.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined shots on target averages are close to the line, making over 8.5 a slight lean.
- Silkeborg IF average 3.9 shots on target per match and concede 5.1 opponent shots on target.
- Viborg FF average 4.6 shots on target per match and concede 3.9 opponent shots on target.
- Combined average shots on target per match is approximately 8.8.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages are below the line, but derby intensity could push it over, making this a low-confidence lean.
- Silkeborg IF average 1.3 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 1.9 yellow cards.
- Viborg FF average 1.0 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 1.7 yellow cards.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is approximately 3.0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance48%