Jeonnam Dragons2Gimpo2

HT 1–1Sun 13 Sept 2026, 07:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 11 Sep 2026, 00:26 · Europe/Bucharest

The draw is the standout value at 3.30, with a 35% model probability versus 30% implied.

Under 2.5 goals also offers a small edge at 1.80. Avoid Gimpo to win, as the market overprices their chances.

Context

Jeonnam Dragons are 16th in K League 2 with 20 points from 23 matches.
Their away record is poor: 1 win, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 14 away games, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded. This suggests they may be less effective on the road, though this match is at home for them, so the away weakness may not directly apply. However, it reflects overall inconsistency that could carry over.
- Jeonnam Dragons have 1 win, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 14 away league matches this season.
- They have scored 16 goals and conceded 28 in those away games.
Round 26 arrives in the promotion run-in, with the regular season ending on 29 November and the top two earning automatic promotion.
The competition structure heightens the incentive attached to late-season points for both sides. A draw is the most likely single outcome given balanced home/away splits and a history of draws, while Jeonnam Dragons' home resilience supports a home-or-draw double chance.
- K League’s 2026 regulations set a 34-round regular season running until 29 November.
- The regulations award automatic promotion to the top two and a playoff route to teams finishing third through sixth.
ConfirmedSources checked 11 Sep 2026, 00:25 · Europe/BucharestK League 2026 competition regulationswww.kleague.com · 10 Sep 2026
Gimpo Citizen are 8th in K League 2 with 31 points from 23 matches.
Their away record is solid: 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 14 away games, with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded. This suggests they are comfortable playing on the road, which could be an advantage in this away fixture.
- Gimpo Citizen have 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 14 away league matches this season.
- They have scored 17 goals and conceded 14 in those away games.
Jeonnam Dragons and Gimpo Citizen have faced each other five times in the last two seasons.
In their most recent meeting on 2026-06-07, the teams drew 2-2. Before that, Gimpo won 2-0 at home in August 2025, and Jeonnam won 1-0 away in April 2025. This suggests no clear dominance, and the match could be closely contested.
- 2026-06-07: Gimpo Citizen 2-2 Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2)
- 2025-08-30: Gimpo Citizen 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2)
- 2025-04-27: Gimpo Citizen 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2)

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have balanced home/away splits and a history of draws, making a stalemate the most likely single outcome.
- Jeonnam Dragons home record: 3W-3D-3L, 10 goals for, 10 against in 9 matches
- Gimpo away record: 6W-5D-3L, 17 goals for, 14 against in 14 matches
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, 2 Gimpo wins, 1 Jeonnam win
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Jeonnam Dragons' home resilience and Gimpo's inconsistent away form support a home-or-draw double chance.
- Jeonnam Dragons home record: 3W-3D-3L, 10 goals for, 10 against
- Gimpo away record: 6W-5D-3L, 17 goals for, 14 against
- Jeonnam Dragons recent home form: 2W-1D-2L in last 5 home matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonJeonnam Dragons or DrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely lead at the break, and their head-to-head matches often start evenly.
- Jeonnam Dragons led at half-time in only 20% of matches
- Gimpo led at half-time in only 13% of matches
- H2H last 5: 3 matches were level at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is plausible given both teams' high draw rates, but remains a low-probability exact outcome.
- Jeonnam Dragons drew 8 of 23 league matches
- Gimpo drew 10 of 23 league matches
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, both with level half-time scores
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring, favoring under 2.5 goals.
- Jeonnam Dragons average 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against per match
- Gimpo average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against per match
- H2H last 5: 3 matches had under 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams scoring likely.
- Jeonnam Dragons scored in 12 of 15 recent matches
- Gimpo scored in 12 of 15 recent matches
- Both teams conceded in most matches: Jeonnam 1.7 goals against, Gimpo 1.3 goals against
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages and a history of tight opening halves.
- Jeonnam Dragons average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.6 against
- Gimpo average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.7 against
- H2H last 5: 4 matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score more in the second half, but the margin is thin, so this is a low-confidence lean.
- Jeonnam Dragons average 0.7 second-half goals (1.2 total - 0.5 first half)
- Gimpo average 0.8 second-half goals (1.3 total - 0.5 first half)
- Combined second-half average is 1.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeonnam Dragons' defensive record is poor, and Gimpo's consistent scoring makes a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Jeonnam Dragons kept a clean sheet in only 3 of 15 recent matches
- Gimpo scored in 12 of 15 recent matches
- Jeonnam Dragons concede 1.7 goals per match on average
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGimpo to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gimpo's defense is not solid enough to keep a clean sheet against a Jeonnam side that regularly scores.
- Gimpo kept a clean sheet in only 4 of 15 recent matches
- Jeonnam Dragons scored in 12 of 15 recent matches
- Gimpo concede 1.3 goals per match on average
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonJeonnam Dragons to scoreEstimated chance60%