Czech LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Bohemians 19052Slovacko0

HT 1–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–645%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 63%–37%ShotsShots 19–4On targetOn target 8–0CornersCorners 6–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Sep 2026, 23:11 · Europe/Bucharest

The draw at 3.40 and under 2.5 goals at 1.91 offer small value based on both teams' poor form and low-scoring trends.

Avoid double chance Bohemians or Draw and BTTS Yes, as the odds are too short relative to the model's probabilities.

Context

Slovacko are 14th in the Czech Liga with 3 points from 7 matches, in the relegation play-off zone.
They have drawn three and lost four, scoring only 5 goals while conceding 12. Their away record is worse: 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded. This match is a chance to close the gap on Bohemians 1905, who are 12th with 6 points, but Slovacko's lack of wins suggests they may struggle to take control.
- Slovacko are 14th with 3 points from 7 matches (0W, 3D, 4L).
- They have scored 5 goals and conceded 12, a -7 goal difference.
- Away from home, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 4 matches.
Bohemians 1905 are 12th with 6 points from 6 matches, in the relegation play-off zone.
At home, they have played 2 matches, drawing both with a 1-1 aggregate score. Their overall form is mixed: 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses. They have scored 6 and conceded 9. A home win against a struggling Slovacko side could lift them further from danger, but their inability to win at home so far is a concern.
- Bohemians 1905 have 2 home draws (0W, 2D, 0L) with 1 goal scored and 1 conceded.
- They are 12th with 6 points from 6 matches (1W, 3D, 2L).
- Their last home league match was a 0-0 draw with Hradec Králové on 2026-08-02.
Slovacko's away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses in 4 matches.
Their last three away league matches were losses: 1-2 at Mlada Boleslav on 2026-08-22, 0-1 at FK Jablonec on 2026-08-09, and 1-5 at Slavia Praha on 2026-07-26. They have conceded 9 goals in those three games. Bohemians 1905, though not strong at home, may find opportunities against this vulnerable away side.
- Slovacko lost 1-2 at Mlada Boleslav on 2026-08-22.
- Slovacko lost 0-1 at FK Jablonec on 2026-08-09.
- Slovacko lost 1-5 at Slavia Praha on 2026-07-26.
Slovácko head coach Jan Jelínek has identified chance conversion and dead-ball execution as current areas for improvement after the 0-0 draw with Pardubice.
Jelínek said Slovácko struggled to convert chances in the final third and did not make enough of their set pieces in that match. This suggests their ability to turn territory and dead balls into shots is a relevant tactical question against Bohemians, though the sample is limited to one game.
- Jelínek said Slovácko were struggling to convert chances in the final third after the 5 September draw with Pardubice.
- He said the team had enough set pieces in that match but did not make them count.
ConfirmedSources checked 8 Sep 2026, 23:09 · Europe/Bucharest1.FC Slovácko post-match press conferencewww.fcslovacko.cz · 5 Sep 20261.FC Slovácko match report: Slovácko 0-0 Pardubicewww.fcslovacko.cz · 5 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Bohemians 1905 or Draw

1.30fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Home advantage and Slovacko's poor away form make Bohemians avoiding defeat likely, but the odds are too short.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in relegation trouble with poor win rates, and H2H shows frequent draws, making a stalemate the most likely single outcome.
- Bohemians 1905 home record this season: 0W 2D 0L (2 matches)
- Slovacko away record this season: 0W 1D 3L (4 matches)
- Last 5 H2H: 2 draws, 2 Bohemians wins, 1 Slovacko win
- Both teams average 1.5 goals scored and ~1.5 conceded per match in recent form
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance34%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and Slovacko's poor away form make Bohemians avoiding defeat likely.
- Bohemians 1905 are unbeaten at home this season (2 draws)
- Slovacko have not won away this season (0W 1D 3L)
- Bohemians won 2 of last 5 H2H, with 2 draws
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBohemians 1905 or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into the break level, making a first-half draw the most likely outcome.
- Bohemians led at half-time in only 20% of recent matches, trailed in 47%
- Slovacko led at half-time in 27%, trailed in 27%
- Both teams have high draw rates at half-time in recent matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is a plausible but low-probability outcome given both teams' tendencies.
- Bohemians drew 3 of last 6 league matches
- Slovacko drew 3 of last 7 league matches
- H2H has 2 draws in last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low-scoring trends for both sides, especially Bohemians at home, support a low total.
- Bohemians home matches this season: 1 goal for, 1 against in 2 games
- Slovacko away matches: 3 goals for, 9 against in 4 games (avg 3.0 total)
- Last 5 H2H: 3 matches had under 2.5 goals
- Both teams average around 1.5 goals scored per game in recent form
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks have been finding the net recently while both defenses are leaky, making BTTS plausible.
- Bohemians scored in 4 of last 5 matches
- Slovacko scored in 4 of last 5 matches
- Both teams concede on average over 1.5 goals per game
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with first-half scoring below 1.5 goals on average.
- Bohemians average 0.7 first-half goals scored, 0.9 conceded
- Slovacko average 0.7 first-half goals scored, 0.8 conceded
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.5, but many matches have 0 or 1 first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as fatigue sets in, slightly favoring over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Bohemians average 0.8 second-half goals scored (1.5 total - 0.7 first half)
- Slovacko average 0.8 second-half goals scored
- Both teams concede more in second halves on average
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce moderate corner counts, and the total is likely to stay under 10.
- Bohemians average 4.5 corners per match, concede 5.4
- Slovacko average 4.2 corners per match, concede 4.3
- Combined average corners in recent matches: ~9.7
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have modest shot accuracy, suggesting a total under 8.5 shots on target.
- Bohemians average 3.8 shots on target per match
- Slovacko average 4.3 shots on target per match
- Combined average shots on target: ~8.1
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams pick up cards regularly, and the total is likely to exceed 3.5.
- Bohemians average 1.7 yellow cards per match
- Slovacko average 2.0 yellow cards per match
- Combined average yellow cards: ~3.7
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 77% leaves no cushion vs our 68% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W1-2SlováckovBohemians 1905Feb 14, 2026CZE

W1-0Bohemians 1905vSlováckoSep 14, 2025CZE

D3-3Bohemians 1905vSlováckoNov 30, 2024CZE

D0-0SlováckovBohemians 1905Aug 3, 2024CZE

L5-2SlováckovBohemians 1905Dec 9, 2023CZE

Bohemians 1905: 2 clean sheets3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Czech Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Bohemians 1905 Relegation Play-offs	6	1	3	2	6-9	6	LDDWD
14	Slovacko Relegation Play-offs	7	0	3	4	5-12	3	DDLLL

3pt gap between teamsBohemians 1905 in relegation zoneSlovacko in relegation zone

Recent Form

Bohemians 1905

L0-3Sigma OlomoucSep 5CZE

D1-1FK JablonecSep 2CZE

W3-2Sokol ZápyAug 25CUP

D2-2Slavia PrahaAug 22CZE

W2-0ZlinAug 8CZE

D0-0Hradec KrálovéAug 2CZE

L1-3TepliceJul 25CZE

W2-0Zaglebie LubinJul 17FRI

L0-2Wisla PlockJul 14FRI

L0-4Lech PoznanJul 11FRI

W4-2TáborskoJul 4FRI

L1-3Sigma OlomoucMay 2CZE

W2-0Sparta PrahaApr 25CZE

W2-0Baník OstravaApr 18CZE

W2-1ZlinApr 11CZE

Slovacko

D0-0PardubiceSep 5CZE

D1-1PlzenAug 30CZE

W2-1Velká BítešAug 26CUP

L1-2Mlada BoleslavAug 22CZE

L1-2Sigma OlomoucAug 15CZE

L0-1FK JablonecAug 9CZE

D1-1ArtisAug 1CZE

L1-5Slavia PrahaJul 26CZE

L1-3SkalicaJul 18FRI

D3-3Zalaegerszegi TEJul 11FRI

W2-1Zorya LuhanskJul 8FRI

D1-1Spartak TrnavaJul 4FRI

L1-2Vysočina JihlavaJun 24FRI

W3-0ArtisMay 31CZE

W4-1ArtisMay 27CZE

Squad & Injuries

Bohemians 1905

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Slovacko

32 available

Attackers5

Midfielders13

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Bohemians 1905 or Draw

Draw

Yes

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Bohemians 1905 or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Bohemians 1905

Slovacko

Squad & Injuries

Bohemians 1905

Slovacko