Czech LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Zlin1Teplice3

HT 0–1Sun 6 Sept 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–283%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 57%–43%ShotsShots 15–17On targetOn target 2–7CornersCorners 5–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Sep 2026, 00:45 · Europe/Bucharest

Teplice are the value pick at 2.50 to win away at Zlin, with a +15-point edge over the implied probability.

Zlin's winless start and zero home goals make the double chance (Draw or Teplice) at 1.43 also attractive. Avoid the first-half over 0.5 goals market, as the odds overprice the likelihood of an early goal.

Context

Zlin are bottom of the Czech Liga with no points after six rounds.
They have lost all six league matches, including three at home without scoring. This run leaves them six points from safety and under pressure to get a result. Teplice are sixth with ten points, so Zlin face a difficult task to break their losing streak.
- Zlin have lost all six Czech Liga matches this season, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
- At home they have lost all three matches without scoring a goal.
- Their last league match was a 2-3 away loss to Zbrojovka Brno on 2026-08-29.
Teplice and Zlin have met five times in the last three seasons.
Teplice won the most recent match 4-2 at Zlin on 2026-05-12. They also won 3-1 at home in July 2025, while Zlin won 3-2 at home in April 2026. The recent results suggest Teplice can score against Zlin, but Zlin have also won at home in this fixture.
- Teplice won 4-2 away at Zlin on 2026-05-12.
- Teplice won 3-1 at home against Zlin on 2025-07-19.
- Zlin won 3-2 at home against Teplice on 2026-04-18.
Teplice defender M. Bílek has started 4 of the last 5 available lineups and now operates from a deeper line.
Bílek's deeper role makes him a first-phase build-up outlet, with Teplice looking to play through him and his partnership with Matěj Radosta. Zlín's pressing can target that specific outlet, but the adjustment is confirmed and may also give Teplice more security against direct play.
- On 2 September, Bílek said Teplice had discussed moving him a line deeper since the end of last season.
- He said Teplice are trying to keep the ball and that their build-up goes through him.
- He said his partnership with Matěj Radosta is a feature of the adjusted structure.
- M. Bílek started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 3 Sep 2026, 00:43 · Europe/BucharestFK Teplice interview with Michal Bílekwww.fkteplice.cz · 2 Sep 2026
Zlin's home form has been poor this season.
Zlin have not scored in three home league matches, losing 0-1 to Slovan Liberec, 0-2 to Bohemians 1905, and 0-1 to Baník Ostrava. Teplice have conceded four goals in two away matches, so Zlin may have chances, but their home scoring record is a concern.
- Zlin lost 0-1 at home to Slovan Liberec on 2026-08-22.
- Zlin lost 0-2 at home to Bohemians 1905 on 2026-08-08.
- Zlin lost 0-1 at home to Baník Ostrava on 2026-07-25.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Teplice's superior league form and recent H2H win outweigh Zlin's home advantage, which has yielded zero points this season.
- Zlin have lost all 6 league matches this season, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
- Teplice are 6th with 10 points from 6 games, scoring 12 and conceding 12.
- Teplice won the most recent H2H 4-2 away at Zlin on 2026-05-12.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTepliceEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zlin's winless start and poor home record make a Teplice win or draw highly likely.
- Zlin have 0 points from 6 league games, with 3 home losses and 0 goals scored at home.
- Teplice have won 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Teplice are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 H2H meetings with Zlin.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or TepliceEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teplice's stronger first-half performance and Zlin's tendency to trail make a Teplice half-time lead possible.
- Teplice led at half-time in 40% of their matches, while Zlin led in only 20%.
- Zlin trailed at half-time in 47% of matches.
- Teplice have scored first-half goals in 4 of their last 6 league games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonTepliceEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teplice's stronger second-half record and Zlin's defensive struggles support a Teplice second-half win.
- Teplice have won the second half in 3 of their last 6 league games.
- Zlin have lost the second half in 4 of their last 6 league games.
- Teplice scored 4 second-half goals in the last H2H.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonTepliceEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teplice's ability to lead at half-time and win matches makes HT/FT Teplice/Teplice a plausible low-probability outcome.
- Teplice led at half-time in 40% of matches and won 50% of matches.
- Zlin trailed at half-time in 47% and lost all matches.
- Teplice won the last H2H 4-2.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonTeplice/TepliceEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, and Teplice's attacking output supports over 2.5 goals.
- Zlin's league matches average 3.0 total goals (18 goals in 6 games).
- Teplice's league matches average 4.0 total goals (24 goals in 6 games).
- Last H2H ended 4-2 to Teplice.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score, and Teplice's defensive vulnerabilities make BTTS plausible.
- Zlin have scored in 4 of their 6 league games despite losing all.
- Teplice have scored in 5 of their 6 league games.
- Teplice have conceded in 5 of their 6 league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede first-half goals, making a first-half goal likely.
- Zlin average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
- Teplice average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
- In 5 of Teplice's last 6 league games, at least one first-half goal was scored.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have higher scoring rates in the second half, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Zlin's league games average 1.8 second-half goals (11 in 6 games).
- Teplice's league games average 2.2 second-half goals (13 in 6 games).
- Last H2H had 4 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, making over 8.5 corners a coin-flip.
- Zlin average 3.5 corners per game and concede 5.5 opponent corners.
- Teplice average 5.2 corners per game and concede 4.8 opponent corners.
- Combined average corners in their matches is 9.0.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teplice's higher shot volume could push total shots on target over 8.5, but Zlin's low output makes it uncertain.
- Zlin average 2.0 shots on target per game and concede 3.5 opponent shots on target.
- Teplice average 4.3 shots on target per game and concede 3.3 opponent shots on target.
- Combined average shots on target in their matches is 6.5.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, making over 3.5 cards a near coin-flip.
- Zlin average 2.5 yellow cards per game and 1 red card in 6 games.
- Teplice average 1.8 yellow cards per game and 0.4 red cards per game.
- Combined average cards in their matches is 4.3.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 38% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 20%; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L2-4ZlinvTepliceMay 12, 2026CZE

W3-2ZlinvTepliceApr 18, 2026CZE

W1-3TeplicevZlinJul 19, 2025CZE

L2-1TeplicevZlinFeb 11, 2024CZE

W2-1ZlinvTepliceAug 26, 2023CZE

4.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Czech Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Zlin Relegation Play-offs	6	0	0	6	5-13	0	LLLLL
6	Teplice Play-offs	6	3	1	2	12-12	10	WLLDW

10pt gap between teamsZlin in relegation zone

Recent Form

Zlin

L2-3Zbrojovka BrnoAug 29CZE

W2-0UničovAug 25CUP

L0-1Slovan LiberecAug 22CZE

L2-3PlzenAug 15CZE

L0-2Bohemians 1905Aug 8CZE

L1-3Sparta PrahaJul 31CZE

L0-1Baník OstravaJul 25CZE

L1-3Slask WroclawJul 18FRI

W2-0Polonia WarszawaJul 15FRI

W2-1Dukla Banská BystricaJul 10FRI

L1-2Hapoel Tel AvivJul 8FRI

W3-1AS TrencinJul 3FRI

L1-2SkalicaJun 27FRI

L0-2HanáckáJun 27FRI

D3-3PetržalkaJun 20FRI

Teplice

W2-0FK JablonecAug 30CZE

W2-1KřimiceAug 26CUP

L0-2Zbrojovka BrnoAug 23CZE

L1-4Sparta PrahaAug 15CZE

D5-5PlzenAug 8CZE

W1-0Slovan LiberecAug 1CZE

W3-1Bohemians 1905Jul 25CZE

W3-0RužomberokJul 18FRI

W3-0Wacker InnsbruckJul 13FRI

W3-0TáborskoJul 8FRI

D0-0PříbramJul 4FRI

W2-0Spartak TrnavaJun 27FRI

W2-0Mlada BoleslavMay 23CZE

W2-0Dukla PrahaMay 16CZE

W4-2ZlinMay 12CZE

Squad & Injuries

Zlin

33 available

Attackers6

Midfielders14

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Teplice

31 available

Attackers7

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Teplice

Draw or Teplice

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Zlin

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Zlin

Teplice

Squad & Injuries

Zlin

Teplice