Austria Vienna0WSG Tirol1

HT 0–0Wed 2 Sept 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions3–827%

Edges0–50%

PossPossession 54%–46%ShotsShots 6–11On targetOn target 3–3CornersCorners 8–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 31 Aug 2026, 17:40 · Europe/Bucharest

Austria Vienna's fatigue and poor home form make the home win and double chance markets poor value.

The standout edge is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.50, where the model sees a 10-point positive edge driven by Austria's busy schedule and both teams' second-half scoring tendencies.

Context

Austria Vienna are 12th in the Bundesliga with three points from four matches, scoring three goals and conceding nine.
Their recent league results include a 4-1 loss at Red Bull Salzburg on 30 August and a 2-0 home defeat to LASK Linz on 9 August. They have not won at home this season, losing their only home league match. This poor run puts pressure on them to get a result against WSG Tirol, who are also near the bottom.
- Austria Vienna are 12th with 3 points from 4 games (W1 D0 L3), scoring 3 and conceding 9.
- They lost 4-1 at Red Bull Salzburg on 30 August and 2-0 at home to LASK Linz on 9 August.
- Their only home league match this season ended in a 2-0 defeat.
WSG Tirol are 8th with 4 points from 4 games, with a record of W1 D1 L2.
Away from home, they beat Austria Lustenau 4-0 on 28 August and lost 3-1 to SCR Altach on 7 August. Their away scoring average is 2.5 goals per game, which is higher than their overall average of 1.5. This suggests they can be dangerous on the road, especially against a struggling Austria Vienna side.
- WSG Tirol's away record: W1 D0 L1, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded in 2 away matches.
- They won 4-0 at Austria Lustenau on 28 August and lost 3-1 at SCR Altach on 7 August.
Austria Vienna defender I. Buhari has started 3 of the last 5 matches with available lineups.
His confirmed absence with a metacarpal fracture removes a defensive option for the home match. The back three used in Salzburg without him may continue, but the compressed week limits recovery and rotation.
- Austria listed I. Buhari as absent with a metacarpal fracture in its 28 August squad update.
- Austria’s official 30 August match report documented a back three of R. Ranftl, A. Dragović and Lee Kang-Hee without Buhari.
- I. Buhari started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Aug 2026, 17:38 · Europe/BucharestAustria Wien pre-Salzburg updatefk-austria.at · 28 Aug 2026Austria Wien Salzburg match reportfk-austria.at · 30 Aug 2026
The last five meetings between these teams have produced two Austria Vienna wins, two draws, and one WSG Tirol win.
Austria Vienna won 3-2 away on 18 October 2025 and 2-0 away on 16 March 2025, while the most recent match on 29 November 2025 ended 0-0. This recent success may give Austria Vienna confidence, but their current poor form could offset that advantage.
- Austria Vienna won 3-2 at WSG Tirol on 18 October 2025.
- Austria Vienna won 2-0 at WSG Tirol on 16 March 2025.
- The most recent meeting on 29 November 2025 ended 0-0.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Austria Vienna

1.91fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 52.4%

0.0ppshort

Despite home advantage, Austria Vienna's recent home struggles and WSG Tirol's stronger away scoring make the home win less likely than the odds imply.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Austria Vienna or Draw

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

The double chance is priced too short given Austria Vienna's shaky home form and WSG Tirol's ability to score away.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.75fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.1%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have high combined scoring/conceding averages (3.0 goals per match), but the edge is marginal and the odds are slightly below fair value.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.70fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams regularly find the net and concede, but the odds are essentially fair with no positive edge.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and slightly better H2H balance support Austria Vienna, but their poor home form and WSG Tirol's stronger away scoring keep this a close call.
- Austria Vienna home record this season: 0W-0D-1L, 0 goals scored, 2 conceded
- WSG Tirol away record this season: 1W-0D-1L, 5 goals scored, 3 conceded
- H2H last 5: Austria Vienna 2W, WSG Tirol 2W, 1D
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAustria ViennaEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Austria Vienna's home resilience and WSG Tirol's inconsistent away form make the double chance a safer play.
- Austria Vienna have lost only 1 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions
- WSG Tirol have won only 1 of their last 5 away matches
- H2H at Austria Vienna: 2 wins, 1 draw in last 3 home meetings
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAustria Vienna or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Neither team has a dominant first-half record, making a level score at the break plausible.
- Austria Vienna lead at half-time in 47% of matches
- WSG Tirol lead at half-time in 33% of matches
- H2H last 5: 2 draws at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Austria Vienna's stronger second-half performances and home crowd support could give them the edge after the break.
- Austria Vienna have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches
- WSG Tirol have lost the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Home teams often push for a winner late in close games
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostAustria ViennaEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by an Austria Vienna breakthrough is a plausible scenario given their second-half improvement.
- Austria Vienna have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Austria Vienna have won 2 of their last 5 matches
- WSG Tirol have lost 2 of their last 5 matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Austria ViennaEstimated chance20%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high scoring and conceding averages, suggesting an open game with multiple goals.
- Austria Vienna average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match
- WSG Tirol average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match
- Combined average goals per match: 3.0
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net and concede, making BTTS a strong possibility.
- Austria Vienna have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches
- WSG Tirol have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches
- WSG Tirol have conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score early, but first-half totals can be unpredictable, so confidence is low.
- Austria Vienna average 0.8 first-half goals scored
- WSG Tirol average 1.1 first-half goals scored
- Combined first-half average: 1.9 goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves often open up as fatigue sets in, and both teams have decent second-half scoring records.
- Austria Vienna average 0.9 second-half goals scored
- WSG Tirol average 1.1 second-half goals scored
- Combined second-half average: 2.0 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the total could exceed 8.5 in an open game.
- Austria Vienna average 3.9 corners per match
- WSG Tirol average 4.7 corners per match
- Combined average corners: 8.6
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to pick up cards, and a competitive relegation battle could increase the count.
- Austria Vienna average 1.5 yellow cards per match
- WSG Tirol average 2.1 yellow cards per match
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.6
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance40%