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Back Austria Lustenau or Draw at 1.43 for a small edge (72% model vs 69.9% implied), but be wary of the H2H away-win skew.
Cards over 4.5 at 1.85 offers a +5.9 point value edge, while over 2.5 goals and BTTS are overpriced and should be avoided.
Routine league fixture with only modest form and H2H patterns; no major absences, schedule pressure, or unusual conditions.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69.9% · BetBugs 72%
Austria Lustenau are unbeaten at home this season while WSG Tirol are winless in their last three league matches, making the home side avoiding defeat highly likely.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average close to the line and WSG Tirol's high foul rate increases card probability.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 70% · Market 77.5%
WSG Tirol's first-half involvement is strong (1.1 scored, 0.9 conceded per game) and 3 of last 5 H2H meetings had a first-half goal, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Austria LustenauPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5-5 | 5 |
| 12 |  WSG TirolBundesliga (Relegation Group) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 1 |
