ÚrvalsdeildFull time

Predictions graded

Fram Reykjavik2KA Akureyri2

HT 1–1Sun 30 Aug 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges6–367%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 00:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Fram Reykjavik are strong favourites and goals are expected, but the market has already priced in most of the value.

The only positive edge is on Fram Reykjavik/Fram Reykjavik in the Half-Time/Full-Time market at 2.10. Avoid over 2.5 goals and both teams to score due to poor odds.

Context

Fram Reykjavik sit third in the Úrvalsdeild with 43 points from 20 matches, inside the play-off places.
They have won four of their last five league games, including a 4-3 away win at Breidablik on 24 August and a 3-1 home win over Stjarnan on 17 August. At home this season they have scored 29 goals in 10 matches, averaging nearly three per game. This attacking output gives them a clear edge against a KA Akureyri side that has conceded 45 goals in 20 matches.
- Fram Reykjavik won 4-3 at Breidablik on 24 August 2026.
- Fram Reykjavik won 3-1 at home to Stjarnan on 17 August 2026.
- Fram Reykjavik have scored 29 goals in 10 home league matches this season.
KA Akureyri are 11th in the Úrvalsdeild with 16 points from 20 matches, in the relegation play-off places.
They have lost five of their last six league matches, including a 5-3 home defeat to KR Reykjavik on 23 August and a 3-0 away loss at Keflavik on 5 August. Away from home they have conceded 25 goals in 10 matches, an average of 2.5 per game. This defensive vulnerability is likely to be tested by a Fram Reykjavik side that scores freely at home.
- KA Akureyri lost 5-3 at home to KR Reykjavik on 23 August 2026.
- KA Akureyri lost 3-0 away at Keflavik on 5 August 2026.
- KA Akureyri have conceded 25 goals in 10 away league matches this season.
The teams last met on 15 June 2026 in the Úrvalsdeild.
Fram Reykjavik won that match 4-3 away from home, with both teams scoring multiple goals. In their last five meetings, Fram Reykjavik have won four, including a 5-2 League Cup win in February 2025. These matches have often been high-scoring, suggesting another open game is possible.
- Fram Reykjavik won 4-3 at KA Akureyri on 15 June 2026.
- Fram Reykjavik won 5-2 at KA Akureyri in the League Cup on 27 February 2025.
- Fram Reykjavik have won four of the last five meetings between the teams.
Fram Reykjavik attacker Fred Saraiva missed the 24 August win at Breiðablik after an injury against Stjarnan.
His return remains unresolved, with coach Rúnar Kristinsson saying he would resume training during the week and hoped he would be fit for the weekend. If Saraiva is unavailable, Fram must adjust their attacking selection without a player who was absent from their most recent match.
- Fred Saraiva was absent from Fram's 24 August match at Breiðablik after being injured against Stjarnan.
- Rúnar Kristinsson said Fred would begin training during the week and that he hoped he would be fit for the weekend.
To watchSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 11:14 · Europe/BucharestFótbolti.net — Rúnar vonast til að endurheimta tvo öfluga menn fyrir næsta leikfotbolti.net · 25 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 7

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Fram Reykjavik

1.50fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Fram Reykjavik's superior league position, home record, and recent H2H win give them a strong edge over struggling KA Akureyri.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's superior league position, home record, and recent H2H win give them a strong edge over struggling KA Akureyri.
- Fram Reykjavik are 3rd with 43 points, KA Akureyri are 11th with 16 points.
- Fram Reykjavik have won 13 of 20 league matches, KA Akureyri have lost 12 of 20.
- Fram Reykjavik have won 6 of 10 home matches, KA Akureyri have won only 2 of 10 away matches.
- Fram Reykjavik won the most recent H2H 4-3 away in June 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFram ReykjavikEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's low loss rate and KA Akureyri's poor win rate make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Fram Reykjavik have lost only 3 of 20 league matches this season.
- Fram Reykjavik have lost only 2 of 10 home matches.
- KA Akureyri have won only 4 of 20 league matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFram Reykjavik or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's first-half dominance and KA Akureyri's tendency to trail at the break make a home half-time lead likely.
- Fram Reykjavik led at half-time in 53% of matches.
- KA Akureyri trailed at half-time in 60% of matches.
- Fram Reykjavik average 1.7 first-half goals, KA Akureyri average 0.7.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFram ReykjavikEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's tendency to lead at half-time and win matches, combined with KA Akureyri's poor form, supports a home HT/FT double.
- Fram Reykjavik led at half-time in 53% of matches and won 65% overall.
- KA Akureyri trailed at half-time in 60% of matches and lost 60% overall.
- Fram Reykjavik won the most recent H2H.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostFram Reykjavik/Fram ReykjavikEstimated chance50%

Goals6 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring tendencies and the H2H history strongly supports over 2.5 goals.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match.
- KA Akureyri average 1.7 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match.
- The last four league H2H meetings all had at least three goals.
- Fram Reykjavik's home matches average 5.1 total goals (29 scored, 22 conceded in 10).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns, making both teams scoring likely.
- Fram Reykjavik have conceded in 15 of 20 league matches.
- KA Akureyri have scored in 15 of 20 league matches.
- Both teams scored in the most recent H2H (4-3).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's strong first-half scoring and KA Akureyri's first-half defensive weakness support over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Fram Reykjavik average 1.7 first-half goals per match.
- KA Akureyri average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 1.5 first-half goals conceded per match.
- Fram Reykjavik led at half-time in 53% of their matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the second half, and KA Akureyri's defensive frailty continues after the break.
- Fram Reykjavik average 0.8 second-half goals scored (2.5 total - 1.7 first half).
- KA Akureyri average 1.0 second-half goals scored (1.7 total - 0.7 first half).
- KA Akureyri concede 1.1 second-half goals on average (2.6 total - 1.5 first half).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's inconsistent defense and KA Akureyri's ability to score make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Fram Reykjavik have kept only 5 clean sheets in 20 league matches.
- KA Akureyri have scored in 15 of 20 league matches.
- KA Akureyri scored 3 goals in the most recent H2H.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonKA Akureyri to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
KA Akureyri's poor defensive record and Fram Reykjavik's strong attack make an away clean sheet very unlikely.
- KA Akureyri have kept only 2 clean sheets in 20 league matches.
- Fram Reykjavik have scored in 18 of 20 league matches.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.5 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFram Reykjavik to scoreEstimated chance80%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner statistics, this is a speculative pick based on the expected open, attacking nature of the match.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset.
- High-scoring matches often correlate with more corners.
- Both teams have attacking tendencies.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 48% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

W3-4KA AkureyrivFram ReykjavikJun 15, 2026ÚRV

L2-0KA AkureyrivFram ReykjavikAug 24, 2025ÚRV

L1-2Fram ReykjavikvKA AkureyriMay 29, 2025ÚRV

W2-4KA AkureyrivFram ReykjavikMay 15, 2025CUP

W2-5KA AkureyrivFram ReykjavikFeb 27, 2025LEA

5 goals/game avg

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Fram Reykjavik Play-offs	20	13	4	3	52-38	43	WWLWD
11	KA Akureyri Relegation Playoffs	20	4	4	12	31-45	16	LDLLD

27pt gap between teamsKA Akureyri in relegation zone

Recent Form

Fram Reykjavik

W4-3BreidablikAug 24ÚRV

W3-1StjarnanAug 17ÚRV

L2-5KR ReykjavikAug 10ÚRV

W2-1IBV VestmannaeyjarAug 1ÚRV

D0-0FH hafnarfjordurJul 26ÚRV

W3-2Valur ReykjavikJul 18ÚRV

W6-1Thor AkureyriJul 12ÚRV

D1-1KeflavikJul 6ÚRV

W2-0IA AkranesJun 29ÚRV

L0-5Vikingur ReykjavikJun 21ÚRV

W4-3KA AkureyriJun 15ÚRV

W4-3BreidablikMay 29ÚRV

W1-0StjarnanMay 22ÚRV

D2-2KR ReykjavikMay 17ÚRV

W3-2Valur ReykjavikMay 8ÚRV

KA Akureyri

L3-5KR ReykjavikAug 23ÚRV

D4-4Valur ReykjavikAug 17ÚRV

L0-1FH hafnarfjordurAug 9ÚRV

L0-3KeflavikAug 5ÚRV

D0-0Thor AkureyriJul 27ÚRV

D2-2IBV VestmannaeyjarJul 19ÚRV

W3-2IA AkranesJul 12ÚRV

L2-3Vikingur ReykjavikJul 2ÚRV

L1-3StjarnanJun 28ÚRV

L1-3BreidablikJun 21ÚRV

L3-4Fram ReykjavikJun 15ÚRV

L3-5KR ReykjavikMay 31ÚRV

L0-1Valur ReykjavikMay 22ÚRV

W2-1FH hafnarfjordurMay 17ÚRV

L1-2ÆgirMay 14CUP

Squad & Injuries

Fram Reykjavik

24 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

KA Akureyri

32 available

Attackers4

Midfielders15

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Fram Reykjavik2KA Akureyri2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Fram Reykjavik or Draw

Fram Reykjavik at half-time / Fram Reykjavik at full-time

Fram Reykjavik

Fram Reykjavik

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Yes

Over 1.5

Fram Reykjavik to score

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals6 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fram Reykjavik -2

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri

Squad & Injuries

Fram Reykjavik

KA Akureyri