Over 1.5
Market 50% · BetBugs 58%
Paks' high first-half scoring and conceding rates suggest an open first half with multiple goals.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is on over 1.5 first-half goals at 2.00 (model 58% vs implied 50%), though Paks' missing striker Böde adds risk.
Over 2.5 goals is likely but fairly priced, and the double chance Nyíregyháza or Draw is overpriced at 1.43. Wait for lineups before betting on goals.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 50% · BetBugs 58%
Paks' high first-half scoring and conceding rates suggest an open first half with multiple goals.
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Given the overall high-scoring trend, the second half is also likely to see multiple goals.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 58% · Market 69.9%
Nyiregyhaza's strong home form and Paks' poor away record make the home side avoiding defeat likely, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 38% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5-9 | 6 |
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12-12 | 7 |

