AllsvenskanFull time

Predictions graded

Halmstad1Kalmar FF0

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–645%

Edges4–267%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 14–14On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 8–8

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 23:35 · Europe/Bucharest

Kalmar's head-to-head dominance and Halmstad's poor form suggest a low-scoring away win or draw, but Kalmar's winless away record makes the match winner market risky.

The best value is the first-half draw at 2.25, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring also offering positive edges.

Context

Halmstad are 16th in the 16-team Allsvenskan with 8 points, 8 points behind the relegation playoff place.
Their recent form is poor: they have not won in their last five league matches, drawing twice and losing three times. At home they have only one win in nine games, scoring six goals and conceding 17. This match is a chance to close the gap, but their overall record suggests they will struggle to control the game.
- Halmstad are 16th with 8 points from 18 matches (1 win, 5 draws, 12 losses).
- They have scored 12 goals and conceded 35, a goal difference of -23.
- Their last five league matches: D, L, L, L, D (no wins).
- Home record: 1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses in 9 matches.
Kalmar FF are 13th with 19 points, three points above the relegation playoff line.
Their away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with only 7 goals scored and 17 conceded. This is a clear weakness that Halmstad may try to exploit, especially since Kalmar's overall form is mixed with two wins in their last five. However, Kalmar did beat Halmstad 2-0 at home in May, so they have recent success in this fixture.
- Kalmar FF away record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses in 9 matches.
- They have scored 7 goals and conceded 17 away from home.
- Last five league matches: D, L, L, D, W (two wins).
- In their last away league match, they drew 0-0 with Vasteras SK FK on 2026-08-23.
The teams met in Allsvenskan on 2026-05-10, with Kalmar FF winning 2-0 at home.
In that match, Kalmar FF had 63% possession and 22 shots to Halmstad's 8, showing clear control. Halmstad have not beaten Kalmar in their last three competitive meetings, with two losses and a draw. This pattern suggests Kalmar may feel comfortable in this matchup, though Halmstad's home advantage could change the dynamic.
- 2026-05-10: Kalmar FF 2-0 Halmstad (Allsvenskan).
- 2024-09-26: Halmstad 2-2 Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan).
- 2024-05-04: Kalmar FF 5-2 Halmstad (Allsvenskan).
Halmstad made ten changes for the 26 August cup match at Skövde, keeping only the goalkeeper from the previous league side.
That rotation reduces the workload on most of the league XI and gives Stuart Baxter room to restore regulars for this match. The six starters named as substitutes in the cup are available without the extra midweek minutes.
- Halmstad played Skövde AIK in the Svenska Cupen on 26 August.
- The club said Stuart Baxter made ten changes from the 22 August league match at Örgryte.
- Only the goalkeeper remained in the starting XI, while six previous league starters were substitutes.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:04 · Europe/BucharestHalmstads BK: Dagen efter Skövde AIK-HBKhbk.se · 27 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Kalmar's recent H2H dominance and Halmstad's overall weakness give them the edge, but Kalmar's terrible away form tempers confidence.
- Kalmar FF have won the last two 2026 meetings vs Halmstad, including a 2-0 league win on 10 May 2026.
- Halmstad are bottom of the table with only 8 points from 18 matches and a -23 goal difference.
- Kalmar FF are 13th with 19 points, but their away record is poor: 0 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses in 9 away games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKalmar FFEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Halmstad's inability to win matches makes the double chance for Kalmar or draw a solid option.
- Halmstad have only 1 win in 18 league matches this season.
- Kalmar FF have avoided defeat in 9 of 18 matches overall.
- Halmstad's home record: 1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses in 9 home games.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Kalmar FFEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into the break level, and the H2H supports a cautious first half.
- Halmstad have drawn at halftime in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF have drawn at halftime in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- The last league meeting was 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Kalmar win aligns with Halmstad's pattern of fading in the second half.
- Kalmar have won the last two meetings vs Halmstad.
- Halmstad often draw at halftime but lose the match.
- Kalmar's away form is poor, making this a risky but plausible outcome.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Kalmar FFEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and Halmstad's attack is weak, suggesting a low-scoring game.
- Halmstad average 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match in the last 15.
- Kalmar FF average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match in the last 15.
- The last league meeting between these teams ended 2-0 to Kalmar.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Halmstad's poor scoring form and Kalmar's recent defensive success against them make BTTS No likely.
- Halmstad have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Kalmar kept a clean sheet against Halmstad in the last league meeting.
- Halmstad average only 0.9 goals per game overall.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Despite Kalmar's generally poor away defense, Halmstad's attacking struggles give them a chance at a clean sheet.
- Kalmar kept a clean sheet in the last league meeting vs Halmstad (2-0).
- Halmstad have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Kalmar's away defensive record: 17 goals conceded in 9 away games (1.89 per game).
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostHalmstad not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Halmstad average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded in the last 15.
- Kalmar FF average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded in the last 15.
- In the last league meeting, the first half ended 0-0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as fatigue sets in, and both teams have shown second-half scoring tendencies.
- Halmstad concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, with many coming after halftime.
- Kalmar score 1.7 goals per game on average, often in the second half.
- The last league meeting had both goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and the expected low-scoring game may limit corner opportunities.
- Halmstad average 4.5 corners per game and concede 7.5 corners per game in the last 15.
- Kalmar FF average 3.9 corners per game and concede 5.9 corners per game in the last 15.
- The last league meeting had 15 corners total, but that is an outlier.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low card averages, suggesting a relatively clean game.
- Halmstad average 1.4 yellow cards per game in the last 15.
- Kalmar FF average 0.7 yellow cards per game in the last 15.
- The last league meeting had 3 yellow cards total.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 30.3% vs our estimate of 25% leaves no value; the market is already pricing Halmstad's weakness.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L2-0Kalmar FFvHalmstadMay 10, 2026ALL

L0-4HalmstadvKalmar FFMar 13, 2026FRI

W0-1Kalmar FFvHalmstadMar 21, 2025FRI

D2-2HalmstadvKalmar FFSep 26, 2024ALL

L5-2Kalmar FFvHalmstadMay 4, 2024ALL

Kalmar FF: 2 clean sheets3.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Halmstad Relegation	18	1	5	12	12-35	8	DLLLD
13	Kalmar FF	18	5	4	9	21-28	19	DLLDW

11pt gap between teamsHalmstad in relegation zone

Recent Form

Halmstad

D1-1Orgryte ISAug 22ALL

L0-1BK HackenAug 17ALL

L0-2GaisAug 9ALL

L0-2SiriusAug 3ALL

D1-1GaisJul 26ALL

L0-2BK HackenJul 19ALL

L0-3Djurgardens IFJul 13ALL

L1-3Vasteras SK FKJul 4ALL

D3-3Mjallby AIFJun 24FRI

D1-1GaisJun 17FRI

L2-5Malmo FFMay 30ALL

W2-0Orgryte ISMay 23ALL

D1-1IF ElfsborgMay 16ALL

L0-2Kalmar FFMay 10ALL

L1-3IF BrommapojkarnaMay 4ALL

Kalmar FF

D0-0Vasteras SK FKAug 23ALL

W7-0Angelholms FFAug 19SVE

L0-4Hammarby FFAug 16ALL

L2-3IFK GoteborgAug 9ALL

D1-1BK HackenAug 1ALL

W2-1Mjallby AIFJul 25ALL

D2-2Malmo FFJul 20ALL

L0-2Hammarby FFJul 12ALL

W3-0Orgryte ISJul 5ALL

W2-0IF BrommapojkarnaJun 27FRI

W2-0AIK StockholmJun 22FRI

L0-3GaisMay 30ALL

W2-1Degerfors IFMay 23ALL

L0-1IF BrommapojkarnaMay 17ALL

W2-0HalmstadMay 10ALL

Squad & Injuries

Halmstad

22 available

Attackers7

Midfielders6

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Kalmar FF

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Kalmar FF

Draw or Kalmar FF

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 3.30

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Halmstad

Kalmar FF

Squad & Injuries

Halmstad

Kalmar FF