Cavalry FC1Vancouver0

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 21:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–625%

Edges2–433%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 04:45 · Europe/Bucharest

Cavalry are strong favourites at home and unbeaten this season, but the odds offer little value.

The best betting opportunity is over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15, which our model gives a 55% chance versus the implied 46.5%. Avoid the home win and first-half over 0.5 goals, as both are overpriced.

Context

Cavalry FC sit second in the Canadian Premier League with 40 points from 18 matches, one point behind leaders Forge.
At home they have won seven and drawn two of nine matches, scoring 22 goals and conceding only six. That record includes a 3-1 win over Atlético Ottawa on 22 August and a 5-0 win over York United on 2 August. Vancouver FC have lost five of nine away matches this season, so Cavalry's home form is a strong indicator for this fixture.
- Cavalry FC home record: 7 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in 9 matches.
- Cavalry FC have scored 22 goals and conceded 6 at home.
- Recent home wins: 3-1 vs Atlético Ottawa (22 Aug), 5-0 vs York United (2 Aug).
Cavalry begin the match one point behind Forge at the top, while Vancouver are fourth, three points behind Atlético Ottawa and seven clear of Halifax.
Both teams have immediate table objectives, reducing the scope for a low-priority selection or passive game approach. Vancouver's pursuit of a first playoff berth adds a concrete late-season target, while Cavalry's Shield chase keeps the top spot within reach.
- Cavalry entered Matchweek 19 second, one point behind Forge.
- Vancouver began the week fourth, three points behind Atlético Ottawa and seven clear of Halifax.
- The league preview identifies Vancouver's pursuit of a first playoff berth as a key late-season objective.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:39 · Europe/BucharestCPL match previewwww.cplsoccer.com · 28 Aug 2026
Vancouver FC are fourth in the Canadian Premier League with 27 points from 19 matches.
Their away record is 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded. They lost 0-1 at HFX Wanderers on 22 August and 0-4 at Atlético Ottawa on 19 August. Cavalry FC have not lost at home this season, so Vancouver's away struggles could be exposed.
- Vancouver FC away record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in 9 matches.
- Last two away matches: 0-1 at HFX Wanderers (22 Aug), 0-4 at Atlético Ottawa (19 Aug).
Cavalry FC are second in the Canadian Premier League with 40 points from 18 matches.
In their last five league matches they have won four and drawn one, scoring 13 goals and conceding 3. The wins include a 3-1 home victory over Atlético Ottawa on 22 August and a 5-0 home win over York United on 2 August. Vancouver FC have lost their last two away matches, so Cavalry's attacking form could be decisive.
- Cavalry FC last five league matches: 4 wins, 1 draw.
- Recent results: 3-1 vs Atlético Ottawa (22 Aug), 5-0 vs York United (2 Aug).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Cavalry FC

1.55fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Cavalry's home invincibility and Vancouver's away struggles support a home win, but the odds already price in a strong favourite and leave no value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's strong home form and Vancouver's poor away record, combined with H2H dominance, make a home win likely.
- Cavalry FC home record: 7W-2D-0L, 22 goals for, 6 against in 9 matches
- Cavalry FC overall form: WWDWW in last 5, 12W-4D-2L in 18 matches
- Vancouver away record: 3W-1D-5L, 12 goals for, 13 against in 9 matches
- H2H: Cavalry unbeaten in last 5 vs Vancouver (2W, 3D)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCavalry FCEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's home invincibility and Vancouver's away struggles strongly support Cavalry avoiding defeat.
- Cavalry FC unbeaten at home this season (7W, 2D)
- Vancouver have lost 5 of 9 away matches
- H2H: Cavalry have avoided defeat in all 5 recent meetings
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCavalry FC or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's slight first-half edge and Vancouver's tendency to trail early give a modest chance of a Cavalry half-time lead.
- Cavalry lead at half-time in 33% of matches
- Vancouver trail at half-time in 27% of matches
- Cavalry average 0.7 first-half goals vs Vancouver's 0.3 conceded
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostCavalry FCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry's overall superiority suggests a possible HT/FT double, but the probability is tempered by draw-heavy H2H.
- Cavalry win 33% of first halves and 67% of full matches
- Vancouver lose 27% of first halves and 42% of full matches
- H2H: Cavalry won 2 of last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostCavalry FC/Cavalry FCEstimated chance30%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have decent scoring rates, and Cavalry's home games tend to be high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Cavalry average 2.1 goals per match overall, 2.44 at home
- Vancouver average 1.6 goals per match, 1.33 away
- Combined average goals in Cavalry home matches: 3.11
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vancouver's away scoring consistency and Cavalry's occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring plausible.
- Cavalry have conceded in 6 of 9 home matches
- Vancouver have scored in 7 of 9 away matches
- H2H: both teams scored in 3 of last 5 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Cavalry average 0.7 first-half goals per match
- Vancouver average 0.9 first-half goals per match
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.6
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open, and both teams contribute to a combined average above 1.5.
- Cavalry average 1.4 second-half goals per match (2.1 total - 0.7 first half)
- Vancouver average 0.7 second-half goals per match (1.6 total - 0.9 first half)
- Combined second-half average: 2.1
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined average is near the line, making over 8.5 a coin flip.
- Cavalry average 4.8 corners per match, Vancouver 4.4
- Combined average corners: 9.2
- Cavalry home matches average 5.8 corners for Cavalry alone
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined shots on target average is right at the line, indicating an even chance for over 8.5.
- Cavalry average 5 shots on target per match
- Vancouver average 3.6 shots on target per match
- Combined average: 8.6
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%