Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Groningen's strong early-season form and home advantage give them the edge, though the tight H2H history suggests a close contest.
- Groningen have won both league matches this season, scoring 6 and conceding 2.
- Fortuna Sittard have only 1 win in 3 league games, with a 0 goal difference.
- Groningen's home record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses, 2 goals scored, 1 conceded.
- Last 5 H2H: Groningen won 2, Fortuna won 2, 1 draw; all league meetings decided by one goal.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGroningenEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Groningen's solid home form and Fortuna's inconsistent away performances make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Groningen are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches across all competitions (3W, 2D).
- Fortuna Sittard have lost 2 of their last 3 away league matches.
- Groningen have not lost at home to Fortuna in the last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostGroningen or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Groningen's home advantage may give them a slight edge, but Fortuna's first-half record is comparable, making this a low-confidence pick.
- Groningen have led at half-time in 40% of recent matches.
- Fortuna have led at half-time in 47% of recent matches.
- In the last 5 H2H, Groningen led at half-time in 2 matches, Fortuna in 1, and 2 were level.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostGroningenEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A home win with a half-time lead is possible but not strongly supported by recent patterns.
- Groningen have won both halves in 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Fortuna have not won both halves in any of their last 5 matches.
- Groningen's home form suggests they can control the game from the start.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostGroningen/GroningenEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting a relatively high-scoring game.
- Groningen's league matches this season average 4.0 total goals (6 scored, 2 conceded in 2 games).
- Fortuna's league matches average 3.33 total goals (5 scored, 5 conceded in 3 games).
- Both teams have scored in 2 of Fortuna's 3 league games.
- Last 5 H2H: 3 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Fortuna's consistent scoring and Groningen's occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring a plausible outcome.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored in all 3 league matches this season.
- Groningen have conceded in 1 of 2 league matches, but their overall defensive record is solid.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Fortuna's away match this season ended 2-2, with both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring has been moderate for both sides, making over 1.5 goals in the first half a less certain but possible outcome.
- Groningen average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded in recent form.
- Fortuna average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- In Groningen's last 5 matches, 3 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- In Fortuna's last 5 matches, 2 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be more open in the second half, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals after the break.
- Groningen's second-half goal difference is positive, with 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in recent form.
- Fortuna's second-half goal difference is negative, with 0.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
- In Groningen's last 5 matches, 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- In Fortuna's last 5 matches, 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, but the total may fall short of 10, making over 9.5 a borderline call.
- Groningen average 5.0 corners per game, while conceding 5.0 corners per game.
- Fortuna average 3.7 corners per game, while conceding 7.0 corners per game.
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams: Groningen games 10.0, Fortuna games 10.7.
- Last 5 H2H: corner counts were 7, 6, 8, 5, 9 (average 7.0).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Discipline has been relatively clean for both sides, so over 3.5 cards is less likely.
- Groningen average 1.7 yellow cards per game, while their opponents average 1.2.
- Fortuna average 1.2 yellow cards per game, while their opponents average 1.3.
- Combined average cards in matches involving these teams: Groningen games 2.9, Fortuna games 2.5.
- Last 5 H2H: total cards were 3, 2, 4, 2, 3 (average 2.8).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance40%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Groningen Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)	2	2	0	0	6-2	6	WW
8	Fortuna Sittard	3	1	1	1	5-5	4	LWD

Groningen2Fortuna Sittard3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

Groningen

Groningen or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Groningen

Groningen or Draw

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Groningen

Fortuna Sittard

Squad & Injuries

Groningen

Fortuna Sittard