Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar: result, stats and head-to-head

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AZ's superior early-season form and top-of-table motivation give them the edge, though Fortuna's recent home H2H win tempers confidence.
- AZ Alkmaar are top of the Eredivisie with 6 points from 2 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 1.
- Fortuna Sittard have 4 points from 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3.
- AZ won the most recent H2H 2-0 in April 2026, but Fortuna won the previous home meeting 4-3 in December 2025.
- AZ's away record this season: 1 win, 4 goals scored, 1 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAZ AlkmaarEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AZ's strong form and historical dominance make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance of draw or away win.
- AZ have not lost in their last 5 competitive matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Fortuna have lost 3 of their last 5 home matches against AZ.
- AZ's away record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or AZ AlkmaarEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half performances are balanced, but AZ's recent H2H first-half dominance slightly favors them, though draw is a plausible outcome.
- Fortuna led at half-time in 53% of matches, trailed in 20%.
- AZ led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailed in 13%.
- Both teams have similar first-half goal averages (0.9 vs 0.8).
- In the last H2H, AZ led 2-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AZ often start slowly but finish strong, making a half-time draw and full-time AZ win a plausible combination.
- AZ have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- AZ have won 4 of their last 5 matches overall.
- Fortuna have drawn at half-time in 2 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/AZ AlkmaarEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring tendencies and recent H2H has been open, making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Fortuna's matches average 3.1 total goals (1.4 for, 1.7 against).
- AZ's matches average 3.6 total goals (2.4 for, 1.2 against).
- The last H2H meeting produced 7 goals (4-3).
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Fortuna's last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and the recent H2H saw both score, supporting BTTS.
- Fortuna have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- AZ have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Both teams scored in the last H2H meeting (4-3).
- Fortuna's home matches average 1.4 goals for and 1.7 against.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring averages are moderate, but the last H2H had an early flurry, giving a slight lean to over 1.5.
- Fortuna average 0.9 first-half goals and concede 0.5.
- AZ average 0.8 first-half goals and concede 0.4.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.3.
- In the last H2H, first half had 2 goals (2-0 at HT).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AZ's strong second-half scoring and the open nature of recent meetings support over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Fortuna's second-half goal difference is +0.2 (1.4 total - 1.2 first half).
- AZ's second-half goal difference is +1.6 (2.4 total - 0.8 first half).
- AZ tend to score more in the second half.
- The last H2H had 5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the last H2H exceeded 9.5, making over 9.5 a coin-flip.
- Fortuna average 4.0 corners per match and concede 6.0.
- AZ average 5.6 corners per match and concede 5.0.
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams is around 10.6.
- In the last H2H, total corners were 13 (6 for Fortuna, 7 for AZ).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce a decent number of shots on target, and the last meeting exceeded 8.5, supporting over.
- Fortuna average 4.4 shots on target per match and concede 5.0.
- AZ average 5.9 shots on target per match and concede 3.5.
- Combined average shots on target is around 9.4.
- In the last H2H, total shots on target were 13 (7 for Fortuna, 6 for AZ).
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Fortuna Sittard Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	2	1	1	0	5-3	4	WD
1	AZ Alkmaar Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	2	2	0	0	6-1	6	WW

Fortuna Sittard0AZ Alkmaar2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

AZ Alkmaar

Draw or AZ Alkmaar

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fortuna Sittard

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fortuna Sittard

AZ Alkmaar

Squad & Injuries

Fortuna Sittard

AZ Alkmaar