Draw
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a high tendency to be level at halftime, especially in low-scoring affairs.
Liga ProFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
LDU Quito are favoured at home but the odds are too short to back them.
The real value lies in under 2.5 goals (1.85) and the first-half draw (2.30), both supported by a five-match H2H under streak and slow starts from both teams. Avoid the match winner and double chance markets due to negative edges.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a high tendency to be level at halftime, especially in low-scoring affairs.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60%
Five straight H2H meetings under 2.5 goals and both teams' modest attacking output support another low-scoring game.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 87.7%
LDU Quito's home form and Emelec's away struggles support the double chance, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 65.4% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LDU QuitoPlay-offs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 24-20 | 38 |
| 13 | CS EmelecRelegation Playoffs | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21-29 | 29 |

