Vasteras SK or Draw
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 72%
Kalmar have not won away all season (0W-1D-7L), while Vasteras SK have lost only 2 of 8 home matches, making the double chance a strong value play.
AllsvenskanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Vasteras SK's solid home form and Kalmar's winless away record make Vasteras or Draw (1.50) a strong value play with a +5.3 point edge.
The Over 1.5 second-half goals line at 2.40 offers even greater value (+13.3 points) given both teams' tendency for late goals. Avoid the match winner and Over 2.5 goals markets, where the odds do not provide sufficient cushion.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 72%
Kalmar have not won away all season (0W-1D-7L), while Vasteras SK have lost only 2 of 8 home matches, making the double chance a strong value play.
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves have been productive in matches involving these teams, with both defenses tiring and allowing goals after the break.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%
Kalmar's away defense has conceded 17 goals in 8 matches, and Vasteras SK home games average 3.4 total goals, supporting a high-scoring contest.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25-32 | 25 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21-28 | 18 |

