St Louis City22 – 1Houston Dynamo1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

St Louis City's strong home form and Houston's leaky away defense give the hosts a slight edge, though Houston's recent defensive solidity tempers confidence.

• St Louis City home record: 5W-2D-2L, 16 goals for, 10 against in 9 home matches
• Houston Dynamo away record: 4W-1D-4L, 15 goals for, 17 against in 9 away matches
• St Louis City last 5 MLS matches: 4W-1D-0L, 11 goals scored, 4 conceded
• Houston Dynamo last 5 MLS matches: 4W-1D-0L, 9 goals scored, 1 conceded

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSt Louis CityEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

St Louis City's strong home form and historical home advantage against Houston make them unlikely to lose, supporting a double chance on the hosts.

• St Louis City home record: 5W-2D-2L (77.8% unbeaten at home)
• Houston Dynamo away record: 4W-1D-4L (44.4% win rate away)
• H2H at St Louis City: 2 St Louis wins, 1 draw, 1 Houston win in last 4 meetings

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt Louis City or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring away/home splits, and recent H2H meetings have often exceeded 2.5 goals, making Over 2.5 a reasonable expectation.

• St Louis City home matches average 2.89 total goals (16 for, 10 against in 9 games)
• Houston Dynamo away matches average 3.56 total goals (15 for, 17 against in 9 games)
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 4, 5, 1, 3, 0 goals (average 2.6)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have consistent scoring records in their respective home/away splits, and recent head-to-head encounters frequently see both sides find the net.

• St Louis City scored in 8 of 9 home matches (88.9%)
• Houston Dynamo scored in 8 of 9 away matches (88.9%)
• Both teams scored in 5 of last 6 H2H meetings

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score in the first half, with a combined average above one goal, making Over 0.5 first half goals likely.

• St Louis City first half goals at home: 0.7 per match average
• Houston Dynamo first half goals away: 0.8 per match average
• Combined first half goal average in this matchup: 1.5

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second half tends to produce more goals for both teams, with a combined average near 2.0, supporting Over 1.5 second half goals.

• St Louis City second half goals at home: 1.1 per match average
• Houston Dynamo second half goals away: 0.9 per match average
• Combined second half goal average in this matchup: 2.0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined corner averages from both teams' home/away splits hover around 9.8, making Over 9.5 a coin-flip proposition.

• St Louis City average corners per home match: 6.5
• Houston Dynamo average corners per away match: 3.3
• Combined average corners in this matchup: 9.8

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams average around 2 cards per match, resulting in a combined total near 4.5, making the over/under a close call.

• St Louis City average yellow cards per home match: 2.4
• Houston Dynamo average yellow cards per away match: 2.1
• Combined average cards in this matchup: 4.5