Over 2.5
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
CSKA 1948's attacking output (1.9 goals/game) and Septemvri's defensive vulnerabilities (1.1 conceded/game) support a high-scoring game, reinforced by the last H2H producing 5 goals.
First LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
CSKA 1948 Sofia are clear favorites based on H2H dominance and form, but the match winner odds offer no value.
The best betting opportunities are Over 2.5 goals (+4 edge), Both Teams to Score (+4 edge), and especially Over 1.5 second-half goals (+17 edge). Avoid the heavily juiced Match Winner, Double Chance, and Over 0.5 first-half goals markets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 60%
CSKA 1948's attacking output (1.9 goals/game) and Septemvri's defensive vulnerabilities (1.1 conceded/game) support a high-scoring game, reinforced by the last H2H producing 5 goals.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 55%
Septemvri have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, while CSKA 1948 have conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches, making both teams scoring plausible.
Market 38.5% · BetBugs 55%
CSKA 1948's second-half scoring strength (1.3 goals per second half) and Septemvri's defensive decline after the break (0.7 conceded per second half) support over 1.5 second-half goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 68% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Septemvri SofiaRelegation Playoffs | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 4 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 SofiaPlay-offs | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13-6 | 13 |

