Norrby IF or Draw
BetBugs 58% · Market 71%
Norrby are unbeaten in 7 of 9 home matches and draw 52.6% overall, but the odds imply 71% probability, far above our 58% estimate.
SuperettanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Sandvikens' new coach adds uncertainty, but the market has overpriced Norrby's home resilience and high-scoring trends.
All major markets show negative edges, so the top takeaway is to avoid betting pre-match and look for in-play value if the game opens up.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 58% · Market 71%
Norrby are unbeaten in 7 of 9 home matches and draw 52.6% overall, but the odds imply 71% probability, far above our 58% estimate.
BetBugs 58% · Market 67.6%
Both teams have scored in 78% of their respective home/away matches, but odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%
Both teams' recent matches trend higher scoring, but odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 37% vs our 42% estimate gives only a 5pt edge, but the away side's poor away record and new-manager uncertainty make this a coin-flip with no cushion.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Norrby IF | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 24-26 | 22 |
| 9 | Sandvikens IF | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 32-29 | 25 |

