Qviding FIF or Draw
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 70%
Qviding have not lost at home to Torslanda in listed H2H and Torslanda have only 2 away wins in 8, making the double chance a strong value.
Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Qviding FIF or Draw at 1.70 – our model gives it a 70% chance versus the 58.8% implied by the odds, a +11.2 point edge.
Avoid Over 2.5 goals at 1.36, as the price is far too short relative to our 60% estimate.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 70%
Qviding have not lost at home to Torslanda in listed H2H and Torslanda have only 2 away wins in 8, making the double chance a strong value.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Qviding FIFBetBugs 45% · Market 47.6%
Qviding's H2H dominance and Torslanda's low away win rate support a home lean, but the odds are slightly below our estimate.
BetBugs 60% · Market 73.5%
Our model estimates 60% for Over 2.5, but odds of 1.36 imply 73.5%, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 30% for Torslanda win; the price overestimates their away win probability.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Qviding FIF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 34-33 | 22 |
| 8 | Torslanda IK | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27-23 | 22 |

