Draw
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have high first-half draw rates and low leading percentages, making the draw at 2.30 a slight value.
Super LigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
OFK Belgrade are clear favourites at home to a Zemun side with zero away goals this season, but the 1.30 home win price offers no value (45% model vs 77% implied).
The only positive edges are the first-half draw at 2.30 (+7pts) and under 2.5 goals at 1.75 (+3pts), while the double chance and BTTS No markets are overpriced and should be avoided.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have high first-half draw rates and low leading percentages, making the draw at 2.30 a slight value.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average under 1.2 goals scored per match and the relegation stakes favor a cautious, low-scoring contest.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
OFK BelgradeBetBugs 45% · Market 76.9%
The market heavily favours OFK but our model sees only a 45% win probability, making the 1.30 price poor value despite Zemun's away struggles.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 77% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | OFK BelgradeMozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6-9 | 5 |
| 14 | FK ZemunMozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-11 | 1 |

