Cobreloa
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 62%
Cobreloa are unbeaten at home this season (8W-2D-0L) while Union Espanola have lost five of nine away matches, making the home side clear value at odds against.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Cobreloa's unbeaten home record (8W-2D-0L) and Union Espanola's poor away form (2W-2D-5L) make the home win at 1.95 a strong value bet (62% estimated vs 51% implied).
The second-half Over 1.5 goals at 2.63 also offers a significant edge (55% vs 38% implied). Avoid the Asian Handicap -1.0 and first-half Over 1.5 goals, which are overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
CobreloaMarket 51.3% · BetBugs 62%
Cobreloa are unbeaten at home this season (8W-2D-0L) while Union Espanola have lost five of nine away matches, making the home side clear value at odds against.
Market 76.9% · BetBugs 88%
Cobreloa have not lost at home all season and Union Espanola's away win rate is only 22%, making the home-or-draw double chance a high-probability safety net.
Market 38% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves tend to produce more goals as both teams push for results, with Cobreloa's attacking strength likely to create chances.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The -1 handicap line is priced at 3.25, implying only a 31% chance of Cobreloa winning by two or more goals; our model estimates that probability at around 35%, leaving minimal edge and high variance.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 38-22 | 38 |
| 7 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28-27 | 31 |

