Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Union Espanola's strong home form and recent league results give them a slight edge, but San Marcos' solid away record and higher league position keep this close.
- Union Espanola home record: 6W-2D-2L, 16 goals for, 11 against in 10 home matches
- San Marcos away record: 3W-5D-1L, 13 goals for, 8 against in 9 away matches
- Union Espanola last 5 league form: W-L-W-D-W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
- San Marcos last 5 league form: D-D-W-L-W (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonUnion EspanolaEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are difficult to beat in their respective home/away splits, making a Union Espanola loss less likely, though San Marcos' away resilience supports a draw possibility.
- Union Espanola home record: 6W-2D-2L (80% unbeaten at home)
- San Marcos away record: 3W-5D-1L (89% unbeaten away)
- H2H: San Marcos won the only meeting this season 2-0 at home
BetBugs · Double ChancewonUnion Espanola or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half lead rates, and the most common first-half outcome for Union Espanola is a draw, making a level score at halftime plausible.
- Union Espanola leading at halftime in 20% of matches, trailing in 40%
- San Marcos leading at halftime in 20%, trailing in 20%
- Union Espanola first half result distribution: 20% W, 40% D, 40% L (from recent matches)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
San Marcos' high away draw rate and Union Espanola's moderate home draw rate make a full-time draw possible, but the specific HT/FT combination is inherently low probability.
- Union Espanola home matches: 2 draws in 10 (20%)
- San Marcos away matches: 5 draws in 9 (56%)
- H2H: only one meeting this season, not enough for pattern
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined home/away goal averages suggest a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals, but both teams' defensive solidity in their respective splits tempers confidence.
- Union Espanola home matches average 2.7 total goals (16 for, 11 against in 10 games)
- San Marcos away matches average 2.3 total goals (13 for, 8 against in 9 games)
- Union Espanola overall average: 1.3 goals for, 1.5 against; San Marcos: 1.1 for, 1.1 against
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns in their respective home/away splits, making both teams scoring a likely outcome.
- Union Espanola scored in 8 of 10 home matches, conceded in 7 of 10
- San Marcos scored in 7 of 9 away matches, conceded in 6 of 9
- Union Espanola overall: 26 goals for, 26 against in 19 matches; San Marcos: 23 for, 13 against in 18
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined first-half scoring rates suggest a reasonable chance of at least one goal before halftime, though San Marcos' low first-half concession rate adds caution.
- Union Espanola first half goals: 0.6 per match overall, 0.6 at home (from averages)
- San Marcos first half goals: 0.4 per match overall, 0.4 away
- Union Espanola first half goals conceded: 0.9 overall; San Marcos first half goals conceded: 0.3 overall
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates are moderate, but the combined expected second-half goals (1.4) is just below the 1.5 line, making this a low-confidence lean.
- Union Espanola second half goals: 0.7 per match (1.3 total - 0.6 first half)
- San Marcos second half goals: 0.7 per match (1.1 total - 0.4 first half)
- Union Espanola second half goals conceded: 0.6 (1.5 total - 0.9 first half); San Marcos: 0.8 (1.1 total - 0.3 first half)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without corner statistics, this prediction is based on a neutral assumption and should be treated with low confidence.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset
- No reliable corner averages can be derived from the input
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without card statistics, this prediction is based on a neutral assumption and should be treated with low confidence.
- Card data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset
- No reliable card averages can be derived from the input
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Union Espanola	19	8	4	7	26-26	28	WLLWD
3	San Marcos de Arica	18	7	9	2	23-13	30	DDWLL

Union Espanola2San Marcos de Arica1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Union Espanola

Union Espanola or Draw

Yes

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Union Espanola

San Marcos de Arica

Squad & Injuries

Union Espanola

San Marcos de Arica