Draw or Antofagasta
Market 62% · BetBugs 70%
Antofagasta's strong overall form (3W-1D-1L last 5) and Union Espanola's recent struggles (1W-2D-2L) make the visitors avoiding defeat highly probable.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Antofagasta's strong recent form and head-to-head advantage make them favorites to avoid defeat, with the Double Chance (Antofagasta or Draw) offering an 8-point edge over implied odds.
Union Espanola's excellent home record prevents a straight away win bet, but first-half markets—particularly Antofagasta to win the first half—present value. Verify the fixture's validity due to a scheduling discrepancy in official sources.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 62% · BetBugs 70%
Antofagasta's strong overall form (3W-1D-1L last 5) and Union Espanola's recent struggles (1W-2D-2L) make the visitors avoiding defeat highly probable.
AntofagastaMarket 31% · BetBugs 40%
Antofagasta's superior first-half stats (led at HT in 47% of matches) contrast sharply with Union Espanola's slow starts (trailed at HT in 40%).
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 65%
Both sides consistently find the net, and defensive vulnerabilities make a clean sheet unlikely for either.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 36% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the away win is not sufficiently mispriced given Union Espanola's strong home record.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Espanola | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25-23 | 25 |
| 6 | Antofagasta | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29-20 | 26 |

