NEC Nijmegen11 – 3Bodo/Glimt3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bodo/Glimt's superior recent form and goal difference, combined with NEC's defensive vulnerabilities, give the away side a clear edge despite the away leg.

• Bodo/Glimt average 3.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over last 15 matches
• NEC Nijmegen average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over last 15 matches
• Bodo/Glimt won 11 of last 15 matches, NEC won 5 of last 15
• Bodo/Glimt leading at half-time in 80% of recent matches

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBodo/GlimtEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bodo/Glimt's consistency and NEC's inconsistent form make the away side or draw highly likely.

• Bodo/Glimt unbeaten in 13 of last 15 matches
• NEC Nijmegen lost 6 of last 15 matches
• Bodo/Glimt have not lost away in last 5 competitive matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Bodo/GlimtEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bodo/Glimt's habit of starting strongly and NEC's slow starts give the away side an edge at the break.

• Bodo/Glimt led at half-time in 80% of recent matches
• NEC trailed at half-time in 40% of recent matches
• Bodo/Glimt average 1.3 first-half goals vs NEC's 0.7

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonBodo/GlimtEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bodo/Glimt's pattern of leading at half-time and converting to wins supports this outcome, though away context lowers confidence.

• Bodo/Glimt led at half-time and won full-time in 9 of last 15 matches
• NEC lost after trailing at half-time in 4 of last 15 matches

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonBodo/Glimt/Bodo/GlimtEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high-scoring tendencies, with Bodo/Glimt's attacking output and NEC's leaky defense pointing to multiple goals.

• Bodo/Glimt matches average 3.7 total goals over last 15
• NEC matches average 3.4 total goals over last 15
• Bodo/Glimt scored 3+ goals in 9 of last 15 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

NEC's home scoring ability and Bodo/Glimt's occasional defensive lapses suggest both teams can find the net.

• NEC scored in 12 of last 15 matches
• Bodo/Glimt conceded in 6 of last 15 matches
• NEC average 1.8 goals per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bodo/Glimt's strong first-half performances and NEC's tendency to concede early make over 1.5 first-half goals plausible.

• Bodo/Glimt average 1.3 first-half goals, NEC average 0.7
• Bodo/Glimt led at half-time in 80% of recent matches
• Combined first-half goals average 2.0 per match